Crawley Town Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50Tied Scunthorpe 2-2, title odds down 0.08 to 0.4% 21 points 5-6-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | -0.7 | | -2.3 | | +4.1 | | -1.1 | | Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 | -0.1 | | | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | -0.4 | | -1.8 | | +5.0 | | -1.1 | | Crawley Town 1 Walsall 0 | +0.3 | | +1.6 | | -6.5 | | +1.2 | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | | | +0.1 | | +0.6 | | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | | | *+0.1 | | *-0.2 | | | | Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Walsall 0 Crewe 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Crawley Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | -105 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,488 | * | 93 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 98.6 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72 | * | 92 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 145 | * | 91 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 98.5 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 333 | * | 90 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 97.7 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 694 | * | 89 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 97.6 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,306 | * | 88 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 95.1 | | 99.9 | % | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,460 | * | 87 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 92.1 | | 99.9 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,625 | * | 86 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 89.8 | | 99.7 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,992 | * | 85 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 84.7 | | 99.4 | | 85 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,905 | * | 84 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 79.7 | | 98.9 | | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,846 | * | 83 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 72.6 | | 97.9 | | 73 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,060 | * | 82 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 64.6 | | 96.1 | | 65 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 62,953 | * | 81 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 55.1 | | 93.2 | | 55 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 98,920 | * | 80 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 45.1 | | 89.1 | | 45 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 152,859 | * | 79 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 34.9 | | 83.1 | | 35 | 43 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 230,062 | * | 78 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 25.3 | | 75.3 | | 25 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 336,699 | * | 77 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 16.8 | | 65.7 | | 17 | 37 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 485,012 | * | 76 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 10.0 | | 55.4 | | 10 | 31 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 685,384 | * | 75 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 5.3 | | 45.4 | | 5 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 943,693 | * | 74 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 2.4 | | 36.8 | | 2 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,273,720 | * | 73 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.9 | | 30.2 | | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,685,453 | * | 72 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.3 | | 25.3 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,187,326 | * | 71 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | 20.8 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,777,923 | * | 70 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 15.7 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,466,498 | * | 69 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 10.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,232,262 | * | 68 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 5.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,069,794 | * | 67 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 1.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 5,950,099 | * | 66 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 6,850,316 | * | 65 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | No | 7,739,686 | * | 64 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 8,568,022 | * | 63 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 9,307,653 | * | 62 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 9,914,144 | * | 61 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 10,353,975 | * | 60 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 10,595,070 | * | 59 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 10,632,195 | * | 58 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | | 10,461,746 | * | 57 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | | 10,080,288 | * | 56 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12.5 | | 9,532,128 | * | 55 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27.5 | | 8,814,362 | * | 54 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 47.1 | | 7,989,593 | * | 53 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 66.5 | | 7,089,593 | * | 52 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 81.7 | | 6,157,462 | * | 51 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 28 | 8 | 91.4 | | 5,232,604 | * | 50 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 36 | 15 | 96.4 | | 4,349,326 | * | 49 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 24 | 98.7 | | 3,536,222 | * | 48 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 42 | 35 | 99.6 | | 2,804,963 | * | 47 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 47 | 99.9 | | 2,177,076 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 58 | 100.0 | | 1,644,453 | * | 45 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 68 | 100.0 | | 1,216,513 | * | 44 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 100.0 | | 872,957 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | Yes | 611,723 | * | 42 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | Yes | 416,125 | * | 41 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 275,785 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 176,535 | * | 39 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 110,014 | * | 38 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 66,183 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 38,487 | * | 36 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 21,787 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 11,738 | * | 34 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,056 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,984 | * | 32 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,430 | * | 21 | -31 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 20,479 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.4 | % | 2.9 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21.7 | % | 187,432,256 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |