SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +0.3
+1.1
-7.2
+1.1
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 +0.2
Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3 +0.2
Crewe 2 Coventry 1 +0.2
Port Vale 4 Yeovil 1 *+0.2
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 *-0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 *-0.1
Oldham 2 Walsall 1 *-0.1
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 +0.3
+1.3
-6.6
+1.2
Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 -0.1
-0.5
+1.1
-0.3
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -0.1
-0.4
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.1
-0.3
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.1
+0.4
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 *-0.1
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 *-0.1
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 *-0.1
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.3
Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2 -0.3
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.2
Doncaster 0 Leyton Orient 2 +0.2
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 *-0.2
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 *-0.2
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 *-0.1
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 *-0.1
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Colchester finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
90-101YesYes100No19,488*
8923-3-296.1%Yes964No76*
8823-2-394.8Yes955No173*
8722-4-294.2Yes946No327*
8622-3-391.299.7%9190No669*
8521-5-284.299.284151No1,326*
8421-4-381.698.7821720No2,458*
8321-3-473.698.0742430No4,526*
8220-5-365.896.5663040No8,005*
8120-4-457.594.05735710No14,183*
8019-6-347.890.448391110No23,742*
7919-5-437.484.73742173000No39,001*
7819-4-527.877.72843236100No63,154*
7718-6-419.268.719392910200No99,119*
7618-5-511.858.5123334174100No152,464*
7518-4-66.448.362535248200No230,330*
7417-6-53.039.13163130154100No336,741*
7317-5-61.232.01924322392000No485,700*
7216-7-50.426.6041529291651000No685,709*
7116-6-60.122.20182130251231000No944,518*
7016-5-70.017.300312242920920000No1,271,762*
6915-7-60.011.8001515262717720000No1,688,200*
6815-6-70.06.4000171827261551000No2,189,518*
6715-5-8No2.6000281928241341000No2,783,892*
6614-7-7No0.700002920272312410000No3,465,124*
6514-6-8No0.100003102127221141000No4,226,670*
6414-5-9No0.0000131021272211410000No5,064,628*
6313-7-8No0.000013112127221141000No5,951,687*
6213-6-9No0.0000013102127221141000No6,850,456*
6112-8-8NoNo0000131021272212410000.0%7,741,979*
6012-7-9NoNo000131021272212410000.08,570,734*
5912-6-10NoNo000131121272211410000.19,309,766*
5811-8-9NoNo0000141121272211310000.79,911,027*
5711-7-10NoNo00014122227211030003.210,350,400*
5611-6-11NoNo0001513242719820010.310,596,191*
5510-8-10NoNo000161526271761024.210,638,445*
5410-7-11NoNo000027192926133043.310,458,465*
5310-6-12NoNo00003102331239163.310,084,129*
529-8-11NoNo0001515293116379.59,527,185*
519-7-12NoNo00028223426790.18,814,613*
509-6-13NoNo000041532351495.97,989,339*
498-8-12NoNo0001827412398.57,088,983*
488-7-13NoNo0000419423399.56,159,359*
478-6-14NoNo000213404599.95,234,818*
467-8-13NoNo00183556100.04,349,878*
457-7-14NoNo00042966100.03,536,271*
447-6-15NoNo00022375100.02,804,130*
436-8-14NoNo0011782100.02,172,974*
426-7-15NoNo001288Yes1,645,215*
416-6-16NoNo00892Yes1,213,552*
405-8-15NoNo00694Yes872,289*
395-7-16NoNo0496Yes611,052*
385-6-17NoNo0298Yes416,454*
374-8-16NoNo0199Yes275,958*
364-7-17NoNo199Yes176,570*
354-6-18NoNo0100Yes109,633*
343-8-17NoNo0100Yes66,133*
333-7-18NoNo0100Yes38,978*
323-6-19NoNo0100Yes21,649*
312-8-18NoNo0100Yes11,647*
302-7-19NoNo0100Yes6,011*
292-6-20NoNo0100Yes2,940*
17-28NoNo100Yes21,843*
Total:0.1%0.9%0001111222334455667889101239.9%187,432,256

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:29 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)