National League Playoff Chances 2014-2

No up, no down
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Dodgers169-52-0.5705898.9%5425144210000000001.86.553Los Angeles Dodgers
Nationals464-54-0.5428395.72531371221100000002.411.577Washington Nationals
Brewers167-54-0.5544188.5132324171163110000003.310.536Milwaukee Brewers
Pirates464-54-0.5421866.441092419149631000004.813.516Pittsburgh Pirates
Giants263-57-0.5252854.123325221912842100005.517.526San Francisco Giants
Cardinals363-56-0.529-849.816716201813963100005.67.492St. Louis Cardinals
Reds259-61-0.4921817.0012591316181612710007.616.517Cincinnati Reds
Braves261-59-0.508016.9013481317171512710007.618.500Atlanta Braves
Marlins260-60-0.500-277.1002147121719191531008.620.476Miami Marlins
Mets58-64-0.475-52.900102481318232561009.419.495New York Mets
Padres456-62-0.475-122.700012471117242672109.624.488San Diego Padres
Cubs352-67-0.437-420.000000000128352919412.626.462Chicago Cubs
Phillies154-67-0.446-710.000000000126293323612.827.438Philadelphia Phillies
Diamondbacks351-68-0.429-840.000000000131526371713.529.428Arizona Diamondbacks
Rockies246-73-1.388-760.000000000027197214.630.440Colorado Rockies

We use the real MLB tiebreakers.
Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Reds 1 Brewers 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers+3.3
+0.4
Reds-3.2
-0.4
Braves 4 Mets 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves+2.5
+0.3
Mets-2.6
-0.3
Mets 3 Nationals 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals-2.5
-0.3
Mets+2.5
+0.3
Tigers 4 Marlins 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals-0.4
Pirates-0.2
Cardinals-0.2
Braves-0.3
Marlins+2.9
+0.3
Mets-0.3
Phillies-0.4
Athletics 6 Cubs 10
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals-0.3
Pirates-0.3
Cardinals-0.3
Reds-0.4
Marlins-0.3
Cubs+2.9
+0.3
Orioles 6 Pirates 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers+0.2
Pirates-2.2
-0.3
Giants*+0.2
Cardinals+0.3
Reds+0.3
Cubs+0.2
Phillies*+0.2
Diamondbacks+0.2
Cardinals 6 Astros 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers-0.2
Pirates-0.3
Cardinals+2.2
+0.3
Reds-0.3
Braves-0.2
Cubs-0.3
Phillies 5 Twins 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals-0.3
Braves-0.3
Marlins-0.2
Cubs-0.3
Phillies+2.2
+0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.