Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2014-2 50/50

Tied with Athletics 0-0 (End 1st), playoff odds unchanged at 61.4%
64-54-0   .542

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Tigers 4 Marlins 8 +0.4
Phillies 5 Twins 1 +0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs