American League Playoff Chances 2014-2

No up, no down
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Athletics173-48-0.603169100.0%863011100000001.41.641Oakland Athletics
Angels370-49-0.5888897.91010741320000000003.93.575Los Angeles Angels
Orioles468-50-0.5765696.7473180221000000002.42.550Baltimore Orioles
Mariners265-55-0.5428968.30001454189310000005.49.585Seattle Mariners
Royals464-54-0.5421861.601242071612631000004.54.517Kansas City Royals
Tigers463-55-0.5343348.30833081916952000005.28.528Detroit Tigers
Blue Jays64-58-0.5251816.2022111242517116100006.95.515Toronto Blue Jays
Indians260-60-0.50076.900502714242516620008.214.506Cleveland Indians
Yankees361-58-0.513-352.600002712202523720008.712.469New York Yankees
Rays358-61-0.48791.5000015101723291131009.115.508Tampa Bay Rays
White Sox57-64-1.471-600.100000125133726152011.321.450Chicago White Sox
Twins254-66-0.450-410.00000000252132326012.123.465Minnesota Twins
Red Sox354-65-0.454-550.000000000141632378112.322.450Boston Red Sox
Astros50-72-0.410-950.0000000000311612514.125.420Houston Astros
Rangers347-72-0.395-1220.00000000002237414.728.399Texas Rangers

We use the real MLB tiebreakers.
Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Red Sox 1 Rays 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays+3.4
+0.4
Red Sox-3.3
-0.4
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays+3.3
+0.4
Yankees-3.3
-0.4
Angels 5 Indians 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-0.2
Angels+2.3
+0.3
Mariners*-0.2
Indians-2.3
-0.3
White Sox*+0.2
Twins*+0.2
Athletics 6 Cubs 10
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-3.0
-0.3
Angels+0.3
Mariners+0.4
Tigers+0.2
White Sox+0.3
Red Sox+0.3
Astros+0.4
Rangers+0.3
Tigers 4 Marlins 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels+0.3
Royals+0.3
Tigers-2.9
-0.3
Blue Jays+0.3
Indians+0.4
White Sox+0.2
Twins+0.3
Astros+0.3
Mariners 6 Athletics 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-2.5
-0.3
Mariners+2.4
+0.3
Phillies 5 Twins 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels+0.2
Royals+0.3
Tigers+0.2
Indians+0.3
Yankees+0.2
White Sox+0.2
Twins-2.2
-0.3
Astros*+0.2
Orioles 6 Pirates 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles+2.2
+0.3
Mariners*-0.2
Blue Jays-0.3
Indians*-0.2
Yankees-0.3
Rays-0.2
Red Sox-0.3
Cardinals 6 Astros 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+0.2
Angels+0.2
Mariners+0.2
Rays*+0.2
Twins*+0.2
Astros-2.2
-0.3
Rangers+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.