Major League Baseball Playoff Chances 2014-2

No up, no down
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Athletics173-48-0.603169100.0%863011100000001.41.641Oakland Athletics
Dodgers169-52-0.5705898.95425144210000000001.86.553Los Angeles Dodgers
Angels370-49-0.5888897.91010741320000000003.93.575Los Angeles Angels
Orioles468-50-0.5765696.7473180221000000002.42.550Baltimore Orioles
Nationals464-54-0.5428395.72531371221100000002.411.577Washington Nationals
Brewers167-54-0.5544188.5132324171163110000003.310.536Milwaukee Brewers
Mariners265-55-0.5428968.30001454189310000005.49.585Seattle Mariners
Pirates464-54-0.5421866.441092419149631000004.813.516Pittsburgh Pirates
Royals464-54-0.5421861.601242071612631000004.54.517Kansas City Royals
Giants263-57-0.5252854.123325221912842100005.517.526San Francisco Giants
Cardinals363-56-0.529-849.816716201813963100005.67.492St. Louis Cardinals
Tigers463-55-0.5343348.30833081916952000005.28.528Detroit Tigers
Reds259-61-0.4921817.0012591316181612710007.616.517Cincinnati Reds
Braves261-59-0.508016.9013481317171512710007.618.500Atlanta Braves
Blue Jays64-58-0.5251816.2022111242517116100006.95.515Toronto Blue Jays
Marlins260-60-0.500-277.1002147121719191531008.620.476Miami Marlins
Indians260-60-0.50076.900502714242516620008.214.506Cleveland Indians
Mets58-64-0.475-52.900102481318232561009.419.495New York Mets
Padres456-62-0.475-122.700012471117242672109.624.488San Diego Padres
Yankees361-58-0.513-352.600002712202523720008.712.469New York Yankees
Rays358-61-0.48791.5000015101723291131009.115.508Tampa Bay Rays
White Sox57-64-1.471-600.100000125133726152011.321.450Chicago White Sox
Twins254-66-0.450-410.00000000252132326012.123.465Minnesota Twins
Cubs352-67-0.437-420.000000000128352919412.626.462Chicago Cubs
Phillies154-67-0.446-710.000000000126293323612.827.438Philadelphia Phillies
Red Sox354-65-0.454-550.000000000141632378112.322.450Boston Red Sox
Diamondbacks351-68-0.429-840.000000000131526371713.529.428Arizona Diamondbacks
Rockies246-73-1.388-760.000000000027197214.630.440Colorado Rockies
Astros50-72-0.410-950.0000000000311612514.125.420Houston Astros
Rangers347-72-0.395-1220.00000000002237414.728.399Texas Rangers

We use the real MLB tiebreakers.
Adam updates the scores (email errors to adamv at mad dot scientist dot com).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Tigers 4 Marlins 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels+0.3
Nationals-0.4
Pirates-0.2
Royals+0.3
Cardinals-0.2
Tigers-2.9
-0.3
Braves-0.3
Blue Jays+0.3
Marlins+2.9
+0.3
Indians+0.4
Mets-0.3
White Sox+0.2
Twins+0.3
Phillies-0.4
Astros+0.3
Athletics 6 Cubs 10
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-3.0
-0.3
Angels+0.3
Nationals-0.3
Mariners+0.4
Pirates-0.3
Cardinals-0.3
Tigers+0.2
Reds-0.4
Marlins-0.3
White Sox+0.3
Cubs+2.9
+0.3
Red Sox+0.3
Astros+0.4
Rangers+0.3
Orioles 6 Pirates 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles+2.2
+0.3
Brewers+0.2
Mariners*-0.2
Pirates-2.2
-0.3
Giants*+0.2
Cardinals+0.3
Reds+0.3
Blue Jays-0.3
Indians*-0.2
Yankees-0.3
Rays-0.2
Cubs+0.2
Phillies*+0.2
Red Sox-0.3
Diamondbacks+0.2
Cardinals 6 Astros 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+0.2
Angels+0.2
Brewers-0.2
Mariners+0.2
Pirates-0.3
Cardinals+2.2
+0.3
Reds-0.3
Braves-0.2
Rays*+0.2
Twins*+0.2
Cubs-0.3
Astros-2.2
-0.3
Rangers+0.2
Phillies 5 Twins 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Angels+0.2
Nationals-0.3
Royals+0.3
Tigers+0.2
Braves-0.3
Marlins-0.2
Indians+0.3
Yankees+0.2
White Sox+0.2
Twins-2.2
-0.3
Cubs-0.3
Phillies+2.2
+0.3
Astros*+0.2
Red Sox 1 Rays 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays+3.4
+0.4
Red Sox-3.3
-0.4
Yankees 1 Blue Jays 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays+3.3
+0.4
Yankees-3.3
-0.4
Reds 1 Brewers 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers+3.3
+0.4
Reds-3.2
-0.4
Angels 5 Indians 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-0.2
Angels+2.3
+0.3
Mariners*-0.2
Indians-2.3
-0.3
White Sox*+0.2
Twins*+0.2
Braves 4 Mets 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves+2.5
+0.3
Mets-2.6
-0.3
Mets 3 Nationals 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals-2.5
-0.3
Mets+2.5
+0.3
Mariners 6 Athletics 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-2.5
-0.3
Mariners+2.4
+0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.