"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Querétaro 1 Monterrey 0 +11.5
+1.5
Pachuca 2 San Luis 1 -0.8
León 0 Puebla 1 -0.6
Jaguares 1 Santos Laguna 3 -0.5
UANL 1 Morelia 1 +0.2
+0.0
Atlas 1 Tijuana 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
UNAM vs Guadalajara-0.3+0.6-0.1
Atlante vs Toluca+0.1+0.5-0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tijuana vs Querétaro-12.2-3.9+14.9
-1.3-0.3+1.5
Toluca vs Atlas-0.7+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Monterrey vs León-0.8+0.4+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Cruz Azul vs Jaguares-0.7+0.4+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Santos Laguna vs Atlante-0.6+0.5+0.3
Morelia vs América-0.7+0.4+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Puebla vs UNAM-0.2+0.6-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Querétaro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415161718Count
358-0-0In59365058,025
337-1-0In324718200230,856
327-0-1In1844317100342,926
316-2-0In9363915200546,536
306-1-1100.0%3203929910001,620,137
296-0-2100.01726372361001,198,867
5-3-0100.01103137184000736,676
285-2-1100.0021432331530003,279,303
275-1-299.50031531311640004,860,919
4-4-099.900520352710200621,402
264-3-197.300151933281220003,689,271
5-0-394.60031429311751002,396,722
254-2-280.800041631301540008,196,594
3-5-088.800172234259200336,976
244-1-343.5000313283119610008,098,367
3-4-154.900151831281330002,490,447
233-3-217.5000314293117510007,381,100
4-0-411.600021025322281002,998,970
2-6-025.601619322812300113,485
223-2-32.3000210253222710010,931,383
2-5-13.900031429311751001,007,938
213-1-40.10001823332491008,097,675
2-4-20.200021126332061003,736,617
1-7-00.50041531311540021,896
202-3-30.00002925342271007,383,036
3-0-50.00001722342591002,398,234
1-6-10.000312283318500227,411
192-2-40.0000192635226108,196,085
1-5-20.00002112834195001,010,504
0-8-0Out04133132163001,885
182-1-5Out000210293619404,859,246
1-4-3Out000212313517302,489,309
0-7-1Out003143333142021,707
171-3-4Out00031636331113,689,103
2-0-6Out0031535341211,198,885
0-6-2Out00418383191113,722
161-2-5Out001626412343,281,480
0-5-3Out00172741213337,723
151-1-6Out001123738111,619,109
0-4-4Out00213383710622,366
140-3-5Out005274622736,417
1-0-7Out004254624342,578
130-2-6Out001144639547,380
120-1-7Out0063658231,079
110-0-8Out02247458,625
Total:29.5%012345678999998631112,358,972
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs