"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20 +8.2
+1.0
Kings 0 Bulls 34 -0.6
Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8 -0.6
-0.0
Hurricanes 22 Force 20 -0.4
Reds 19 Brumbies 19 -0.2
Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bulls vs Waratahs-5.5+0.2+10.7
-0.5+0.1+1.0
Crusaders vs Rebels-0.4+0.9+1.4
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Cheetahs vs Kings-0.4+0.1+0.9
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Reds vs Blues-0.5-0.1+0.4
Brumbies vs Force-0.2+0.3+0.5
Chiefs vs Sharks+0.2+0.0-0.2
Hurricanes vs Stormers+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Waratahs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
488-0-0In63270100697,663
467-1-0In353133010469,760
447-0-1100.0%10327429006,811,281
6-2-0100.09297441100170,375
426-1-199.91121244273004,893,822
5-3-099.91109423360034,925
406-0-297.304921432030034,928,750
5-2-196.40371944244001,486,211
4-4-096.6025194525304,389
385-1-271.30044244023500020,970,801
4-3-166.6023214126710246,964
3-5-066.21319432671352
365-0-331.7010525392460098,000,764
4-2-226.201042239277105,168,213
3-4-125.500042139278124,226
2-6-023.12323388813
344-1-33.300003163632111047,754,520
3-3-22.60002153634121669,346
2-5-12.60021437331121,413
1-7-0Out1001
324-0-40.4000004224127500164,097,637
3-2-30.20003194131609,159,392
2-4-20.20031941316048,200
1-6-1Out6223928654
303-1-40.00000320472900062,236,520
2-3-30.0000319473010864,926
1-5-2Out0318493011,855
0-7-1Out1002
283-0-50.0000194345200167,536,863
2-2-40.00000841483008,711,137
1-4-3Out0840493040,297
0-6-2Out1335391323
262-1-5Out0011669131046,355,077
1-3-4Out0115681510532,643
0-5-3Out01470141723
242-0-6Out0096623200101,661,431
1-2-5Out0076327304,205,998
0-4-4Out0658315011,942
221-1-6Out013944152018,237,743
0-3-5Out013546172125,374
201-0-7Out002446264033,497,965
0-2-6Out019433170806,056
180-1-7Out425452602,923,282
160-0-8Out112424414,730,451
Total:11.6%0112357101421267210848,119,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs