Super Rugby Playoff Chances 2013

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Brumbies	35		6	-	2	-	1	84	96.6	%	-1.4	44	24	13	9	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		2.3	-0.20	1	.694	Brumbies
Blues	31	2	4	-	0	-	3	52	85.8		-3.6	22	20	11	13	11	8	5	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	3.7	-0.16	7	.632	Blues
Chiefs	30	1	5	-	0	-	3	71	79.4		-5.7	11	14	8	21	14	10	8	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	4.5	-0.30	9	.664	Chiefs
Reds	33		6	-	1	-	2	13	69.8		-2.6	6	7	4	23	17	12	10	8	6	4	2	0	0	0		5.3	-0.06	3	.535	Reds
Bulls	28	1	5	-	0	-	3	35	65.8		+31.8	5	12	26	4	8	10	10	9	7	5	3	0	0	0	0	5.2	+2.35	2	.590	Bulls
Sharks	27	1	5	-	0	-	3	51	64.4		-18.3	6	12	17	7	10	12	11	10	8	5	2	0	0	0	0	5.3	-1.39	6	.648	Sharks

Crusaders	26	1	4	-	0	-	4	52	47.3		+10.5	2	4	4	10	13	14	14	13	11	8	5	1	0	0	0	6.7	+0.71	10	.632	Crusaders
Stormers	24	2	3	-	0	-	4	1	36.9		-7.1	2	4	9	4	8	10	12	13	13	12	10	2	1	0	0	7.3	-0.37	4	.503	Stormers
Cheetahs	27		6	-	0	-	3	-2	24.3		+8.6	0	2	5	3	6	8	11	15	17	17	13	2	0	0	0	8.1	+0.91	5	.495	Cheetahs
Hurricanes	27	1	5	-	0	-	3	-7	17.9		-7.0	1	1	1	3	5	7	9	12	15	20	22	4	1	0	0	8.7	-0.54	11	.483	Hurricanes
Waratahs	25	1	4	-	0	-	4	-30	11.6		-4.2	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	14	21	26	7	2	1	0	9.3	-0.36	8	.426	Waratahs
Rebels	19	1	2	-	0	-	6	-96	0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	34	31	23	3	12.7	+0.19	13	.293	Rebels
Kings	15	1	2	-	1	-	5	-90	0.0		-0.8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	23	29	34	8	13.1	-0.89	12	.304	Kings
Force	16		2	-	0	-	7	-42	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	24	32	31	7	13.1	+0.27	15	.392	Force
Highlanders	6	1	0	-	0	-	8	-92	0.0		-0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	82	14.7	-0.14	14	.288	Highlanders

Week of 4/19
Sharks 6 Cheetahs 12
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Reds	-0.3
Bulls	+0.3
Sharks	-12.8		-1.0
Stormers	+0.5
Cheetahs	+12.7		+1.1

Waratahs 25 Chiefs 20
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues			+0.3
Chiefs	-8.6		-0.9
Crusaders	+0.4
Cheetahs			-0.1
Hurricanes	+0.2
Waratahs	+8.2		+1.0

Kings 0 Bulls 34
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues	-0.5
Chiefs	-0.7
Reds	-1.0
Bulls	+8.4		+0.6
Sharks	-1.0		-0.1
Crusaders	-1.2
Stormers	-1.2		-0.1
Cheetahs	-0.6
Hurricanes	-0.9
Waratahs	-0.6
Rebels			+0.1
Kings	-0.6		-0.4
Force			+0.1

Hurricanes 22 Force 20
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues	-0.5
Chiefs	-0.5
Reds	-0.9
Bulls	-0.8
Sharks	-0.5
Crusaders	-1.1
Stormers	-0.9
Cheetahs	-0.5
Hurricanes	+6.3		+0.6
Waratahs	-0.4
Rebels			+0.1
Force			-0.4

Crusaders 24 Highlanders 8
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues	-0.4
Chiefs	-0.6
Reds	-0.8
Bulls	-0.8		-0.0
Sharks	-0.4
Crusaders	+6.0		+0.4
Stormers	-1.0		-0.0
Cheetahs	-0.6		-0.0
Hurricanes	-0.7		-0.0
Waratahs	-0.6		-0.0
Highlanders			-0.1

Reds 19 Brumbies 19
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Brumbies			-0.1
Chiefs	-0.2
Reds	+3.8		+0.2
Bulls	-0.6
Sharks	*-0.1
Crusaders	-0.4
Stormers	-1.1
Cheetahs	-0.8
Hurricanes	-0.4
Waratahs	-0.2

Week of 4/26
Chiefs vs SharksIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues			3.83.73.5
Chiefs	89.580.368.6		3.74.55.3
Bulls	66.565.265.0		5.05.25.3
Sharks	51.065.978.6		6.25.24.3
Stormers	37.736.336.0		7.27.37.3
Cheetahs	25.023.423.6		8.08.18.1

Hurricanes vs StormersHomeDrawAway
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks	65.265.263.6		5.25.25.4
Crusaders	47.748.846.9		6.76.66.7
Stormers	23.534.849.4		8.27.46.4
Hurricanes	27.915.98.9		7.98.89.5

Bulls vs WaratahsHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bulls	75.259.948.3		4.55.66.3
Sharks	63.765.565.7		5.45.25.2
Crusaders	46.748.048.4
Stormers	36.238.037.9		7.37.27.2
Waratahs	6.111.822.2		9.99.38.3

Crusaders vs RebelsHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues	85.486.187.4		3.73.63.5
Chiefs	78.880.681.6		4.64.44.4
Reds	69.171.472.4		5.45.35.2
Bulls	65.167.568.2		5.25.15.1
Sharks	63.765.167.1		5.35.35.2
Crusaders	52.838.626.6		6.37.28.0
Stormers	36.138.039.6		7.37.27.1
Cheetahs	23.724.826.7		8.18.07.9
Hurricanes	17.518.319.7		8.88.78.6
Waratahs	11.212.513.0		9.49.39.3
Rebels			12.912.512.1

Reds vs BluesHomeDrawAway
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Brumbies	96.396.696.8		2.52.32.2
Blues	75.985.992.4		4.63.83.0
Reds	84.872.059.6		4.35.36.0
Crusaders	46.446.548.1

Cheetahs vs KingsHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues	85.386.486.8
Chiefs	78.980.280.6
Reds	69.069.971.6		5.45.35.3
Bulls	65.066.067.5		5.25.25.1
Sharks	63.465.766.4		5.45.25.2
Crusaders	46.448.549.2		6.76.66.6
Stormers	36.237.138.2		7.37.27.1
Cheetahs	30.619.110.9		7.68.49.1
Hurricanes	17.418.619.0		8.88.78.6
Kings			13.313.012.6

Brumbies vs ForceHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Brumbies	98.295.491.2		2.02.73.2
Reds	69.570.270.7		5.45.15.0
Rebels			12.712.712.9
Force			13.213.012.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Super Rugby Playoff Chances 2013

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