Australian Football League Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Avg.	Change	RPI

Bombers	20		5	-	0	-	0	270	86.9	%	+0.1	24	17	13	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	4.3	-0.03	3	Essendon Bombers
Cats	20		5	-	0	-	0	69	84.3		+6.9	21	16	12	10	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	4.7	+0.86	1	Geelong Cats
Power	16	1	4	-	0	-	0	182	77.6		+0.1	15	13	11	10	8	7	6	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	5.5	-0.02	7	Port Adelaide Power
Swans	16		4	-	0	-	1	105	70.8		+0.1	10	11	10	10	9	8	7	7	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	6.4	-0.01	8	Sydney Swans
Hawks	12	1	3	-	0	-	1	140	64.4		+0.0	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	7.2	-0.01	2	Hawthorn Hawks
Magpies	12		3	-	0	-	2	-34	53.4		+0.0	4	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	8.4		4	Collingwood Magpies
Dockers	12		3	-	0	-	2	11	53.2		+0.0	4	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	8.4		5	Fremantle Dockers
Tigers	12		3	-	0	-	2	54	52.5		+0.1	4	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	8.5		10	Richmond Tigers

Crows	8	1	2	-	0	-	2	27	43.9		+0.0	3	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	9.5	+0.01	6	Adelaide Crows
Eagles	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	10	27.1		+0.1	1	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	11.5	+0.02	12	West Coast Eagles
Kangaroos	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	4	26.7		+0.0	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	11.6	+0.03	11	North Melbourne Kangaroos
Blues	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-17	26.7		+0.1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	11.6	+0.03	9	Carlton Blues
Suns	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-68	26.6		+0.0	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	11.6	+0.02	15	Gold Coast Suns
Bulldogs	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-79	26.5		-0.0	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	11.6	+0.02	17	Western Bulldogs
Demons	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-295	26.6		-0.0	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	11.6	+0.02	14	Melbourne Demons
Saints	4		1	-	0	-	4	-11	19.5		-0.0	0	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	10	11	11	12.5	+0.03	13	St. Kilda Saints
Lions	4		1	-	0	-	4	-169	19.1		-7.5	0	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	10	11	12	12.6	-0.99	16	Brisbane Lions
Giants	0	1	0	-	0	-	4	-199	14.2		+0.0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	8	9	11	13	17	13.5	+0.03	18	Greater Western Sydney

Week of 4/19
Hawks 118 Dockers 76
1:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hawks	+9.4		+1.1
Dockers	-9.0		-1.0

Tigers 79 Magpies 113
2:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Magpies	+9.2		+1.1
Tigers	-8.2		-1.0
Bulldogs	-0.1

Saints 63 Swans 79
7:50 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	+8.9		+1.0
Tigers	*-0.1
Bulldogs	-0.1
Saints	-7.8		-1.0

Crows 80 Bulldogs 28
2:45 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Crows	+8.5		+1.1
Bulldogs	-8.4		-1.1

Bombers 121 Magpies 75
2:40 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bombers	+6.8		+0.9
Magpies	-8.7		-1.0
Dockers	+0.2
Tigers	+0.2
Crows	+0.1
Kangaroos	*+0.1
Bulldogs	+0.1
Demons	+0.1
Saints	+0.1

Suns 66 Power 104
7:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Power	+8.0		+1.0
Suns	-8.4		-1.0

Saints 91 Bombers 128
4:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bombers	+7.9		+1.0
Saints	-8.3		-1.0

Eagles 68 Blues 89
5:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bombers	*+0.1
Cats	+0.2
Power	*+0.1
Hawks	*+0.1
Crows	+0.1
Eagles	-8.3		-1.1
Blues	+6.5		+1.0
Suns	*+0.1
Bulldogs	+0.1
Saints	+0.1
Giants	+0.1

Swans 103 Cats 124
7:50 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	+8.0		+1.0
Swans	-8.0		-1.0

Kangaroos 125 Lions 62
4:40 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	+0.2
Swans	+0.2
Magpies	+0.1
Tigers	+0.2
Crows	+0.2
Eagles	+0.1
Kangaroos	+6.5		+1.0
Lions	-8.3		-1.1
Giants	*+0.1

Demons 144 Giants 103
1:10 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Demons	+6.3		+1.0
Giants	-6.3		-1.0

Week of 4/26
Dockers 81 Tigers 80
6:40 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	-0.1
Dockers	+9.4		+1.1
Tigers	-9.2		-1.0

Blues vs CrowsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	84.4*84.484.2
Power	77.7*77.777.5
Swans	70.9*70.970.7
Magpies	53.5*53.453.3
Crows	34.643.453.2		10.59.58.4
Blues	34.626.218.8		10.511.612.6
Lions	19.3*19.119.0

Hawks vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	84.2*84.584.4
Swans	70.7*70.871.0
Hawks	73.4*64.655.3		6.27.28.3
Magpies	53.3*53.353.5
Tigers	52.4*52.452.7
Crows	43.8*44.144.0
Kangaroos	19.1*26.634.3		12.511.610.6
Suns	26.5*26.426.7

Power vs EaglesHomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Power	84.678.270.5		4.75.56.4
Eagles	19.426.534.8		12.511.610.5
Demons	26.8*26.826.5

Giants vs SunsHomeDrawAway
1:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bombers	*86.987.286.8
Power	77.7*77.777.4
Swans	71.0*70.770.7
Hawks	64.5*64.664.2
Magpies	53.6*53.553.2
Dockers	53.4*53.453.1
Tigers	52.7*52.652.3
Eagles	27.2*27.326.9
Kangaroos	26.9*26.726.6
Blues	26.8*26.726.5
Suns	19.225.734.1		12.611.610.6
Bulldogs	26.6*26.826.3
Demons	26.8*26.526.4
Saints	19.7*19.419.3
Lions	19.2*19.219.0
Giants	19.413.69.0		12.613.514.4

Bulldogs vs CatsHomeDrawAway
7:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	78.585.090.0		5.54.63.9
Power	77.4*77.777.7
Swans	70.6*70.971.0
Hawks	64.3*64.664.5
Magpies	53.2*53.253.6
Kangaroos	26.6*26.926.9
Blues	26.5*26.726.8
Bulldogs	34.025.819.0		10.611.612.6
Lions	19.0*19.419.3

Lions vs DemonsHomeDrawAway
3:12 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	84.4*84.484.2
Crows	44.0*44.143.8
Demons	19.126.034.2		12.611.610.6
Lions	25.618.412.7		11.612.613.6
Giants	14.3*14.214.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Australian Football League Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

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