SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tigers 79 Magpies 113 +9.7
+1.0
Bombers 121 Magpies 75 -5.3
-0.6
Eagles 68 Blues 89 +0.5
Kangaroos 125 Lions 62 +0.5
Suns 66 Power 104 +0.3
Saints 91 Bombers 128 +0.3
Saints 63 Swans 79 -0.1
Demons 144 Giants 103 -0.1
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dockers 81 Tigers 80 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Bulldogs vs Cats-0.8*-0.1+0.3
Blues vs Crows+0.6*-0.0-0.5
Giants vs Suns+0.6*+0.2-0.5
Lions vs Demons+0.4*+0.1-0.3
Power vs Eagles+0.2*-0.0-0.5
Hawks vs Kangaroos-0.1*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Magpies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415161718Count
8017-0-0In10001,461
7816-1-0In97364
7616-0-1In9371,541*
7415-1-1In861401,254*
7215-0-2In7623212,005*
7014-1-2In5738608,805*
6814-0-3In4345111057,500*
6613-1-3In2348253039,281*
6413-0-4In134236910178,204
12-2-3In13423591012,910*
6212-1-4In4264423400119,623*
6012-0-5In114393410100426,858
11-2-4In1153934101035,662*
5811-1-5In04234125600256,798
10-3-4In05244125506,577*
5611-0-6100.0%0112343614200779,267
10-2-5In01123535142071,926*
5410-1-6100.00031838309100430,704
9-3-5100.00318383091011,955*
5210-0-799.601828372150001,110,703
9-2-699.6018283821500108,738*
509-1-796.900112323616300552,522
8-3-697.102123335163016,248*
489-0-887.9004193629102001,247,734
8-2-788.100419362910100125,728*
468-1-864.90052237268100556,788
7-3-764.800522372681016,812*
448-0-937.1001926342161001,107,472
7-2-836.70192635216100112,007*
427-1-912.6002112934195100438,066
6-3-812.80211293419510013,028*
407-0-102.9003132832185100779,305
6-2-92.80031228321951076,863*
386-1-100.2002122932185100270,072
5-3-90.10312293219517,550*
366-0-110.00003132831186100434,010
5-2-100.00031327311961040,398*
345-1-11Out00312293218500131,079*
325-0-12Out00031329321740187,928
4-2-11Out003132932185015,876*
304-1-12Out00315333214247,001*
284-0-13Out015193730866,350*
263-1-13Out01828432012,228*
243-0-14Out0216453815,896*
222-1-14Out0738552,241*
202-0-15Out0224732,506*
181-1-15Out11386259*
161-0-16Out793263*
140-1-16Out10012
120-0-17Out1991,386
Total:63.6%135811121312108643211009,949,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)