SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hawks 118 Dockers 76 -8.6
-0.8
Kangaroos 125 Lions 62 +0.5
Bombers 121 Magpies 75 +0.5
Tigers 79 Magpies 113 -0.5
Eagles 68 Blues 89 +0.5
Suns 66 Power 104 +0.3
Saints 91 Bombers 128 +0.2
Saints 63 Swans 79 -0.2
Crows 80 Bulldogs 28 -0.1
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dockers 81 Tigers 80 +10.6
+0.9
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Giants vs Suns+0.5*+0.1-0.4
Bulldogs vs Cats-0.6*-0.1+0.2
Blues vs Crows+0.5*+0.2-0.4
Lions vs Demons+0.3*+0.1-0.3
Power vs Eagles+0.2*-0.3-0.4
Hawks vs Kangaroos-0.1*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dockers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415161718Count
8017-0-0In9821,584
7816-1-0In937188
7616-0-1In901003,102*
7415-1-1In782112,393*
7215-0-2In69292021,887*
7014-1-2In49438015,473*
6814-0-3In3747151093,655*
6613-1-3In1947295060,787*
6413-0-4In1038381210260,172
12-2-3In113938111018,912*
6212-1-4In3234325500166,673*
6012-0-5In112373612100561,407
11-2-4In1133836121047,306*
5811-1-5In04224127600323,772
10-3-4In042340275008,263*
5611-0-6100.0%0111343715200929,583
10-2-5100.0011134371420086,502*
5410-1-6100.00031839309100489,084
9-3-5100.00318393091013,725*
5210-0-799.600182838215001,196,598
9-2-699.6018283820400119,065*
509-1-797.100112333515300571,943
8-3-697.202123435153016,687*
489-0-887.6004193529112001,218,752
8-2-788.000041935291020124,616*
468-1-865.10162236268100521,861
7-3-765.20623362681015,759*
448-0-935.900192634227100985,534
7-2-835.900192635227100101,008*
427-1-912.200210283420510374,609
6-3-812.4021128342051010,910*
407-0-102.5002122732196100632,971
6-2-92.20021128332061062,544*
386-1-100.2002112833196100209,519
5-3-90.102122734206105,933*
366-0-110.0002112632206100321,610
5-2-10Out021126322061030,019*
345-1-11Out0021127332061093,455*
325-0-12Out0031228331950127,661
4-2-11Out002122734205110,880*
304-1-12Out00314323315230,595*
284-0-13Out004183732941,588*
263-1-13Out0162844217,410*
243-0-14Out021444409,258*
222-1-14Out0734591,191*
202-0-15Out0223751,378*
181-1-15Out11881110
161-0-16Out1892145*
140-1-16Out1007
120-0-17Out1991,380
Total:70.0%136101213131197532211009,949,464

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)