Australian Football League Playoff Chances 2013

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Bombers	20		5	-	0	-	0	270	99.4	%	+0.0	39	27	16	9	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.4	-0.11	3	.667	Essendon Bombers
Cats	20		5	-	0	-	0	69	98.8		+2.5	31	26	18	11	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.7	+0.75	1	.659	Geelong Cats
Power	16	1	4	-	0	-	0	182	96.4		-0.0	17	20	20	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3.6	-0.13	7	.627	Port Adelaide Power
Swans	16		4	-	0	-	1	105	89.7		+0.2	6	11	15	17	15	12	9	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5.0	-0.07	8	.595	Sydney Swans
Hawks	12	1	3	-	0	-	1	140	82.1		+0.3	3	7	11	14	15	13	10	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	5.9	-0.05	2	.567	Hawthorn Hawks
Dockers	12		3	-	0	-	2	11	70.0		+0.4	1	3	6	10	12	13	13	11	9	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	7.1	-0.02	5	.532	Fremantle Dockers
Magpies	12		3	-	0	-	2	-34	63.6		+0.5	1	3	5	8	11	12	13	12	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	7.7		4	.532	Collingwood Magpies
Tigers	12		3	-	0	-	2	54	60.9		+0.5	1	2	4	7	10	12	13	12	11	8	6	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	7.9		10	.532	Richmond Tigers

Crows	8	1	2	-	0	-	2	27	47.1		-0.3	0	1	3	5	7	9	11	11	11	10	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	9.0	-0.02	6	.500	Adelaide Crows
Demons	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-295	16.2		+0.6	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	6	7	9	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	5	12.2	+0.14	14	.436	Melbourne Demons
Suns	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-68	14.7		+0.3	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	10	10	9	9	7	6	12.4	+0.10	15	.436	Gold Coast Suns
Bulldogs	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-79	12.9		+0.2	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	9	8	6	12.6	+0.10	17	.436	Western Bulldogs
Kangaroos	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	4	12.3		+0.2	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	10	10	10	10	10	8	6	12.7	+0.10	11	.436	North Melbourne Kangaroos
Blues	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	-17	12.0		+0.5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	10	10	10	10	10	9	7	12.7	+0.15	9	.436	Carlton Blues
Eagles	4	1	1	-	0	-	3	10	12.2		+0.2	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	10	10	10	10	10	9	7	12.8	+0.10	12	.436	West Coast Eagles
Saints	4		1	-	0	-	4	-11	5.3		+0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	11	12	14	15	12	14.2	+0.10	13	.405	St. Kilda Saints
Lions	4		1	-	0	-	4	-169	5.0		-6.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	6	8	9	11	12	13	15	14	14.2	-1.21	16	.405	Brisbane Lions
Giants	0	1	0	-	0	-	4	-199	1.3		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	13	19	37	16.0	+0.09	18	.373	Greater Western Sydney

Week of 4/19
Tigers 79 Magpies 113
2:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	-0.4
Hawks	-0.4
Dockers	-0.5
Magpies	+9.7		+1.0
Tigers	-5.0		-0.7
Crows	-0.4
Suns	-0.4
Bulldogs	-0.4
Eagles	-0.4
Saints	-0.4
Lions	-0.4

Hawks 118 Dockers 76
1:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hawks	+9.1		+0.9
Dockers	-8.6		-0.8

Crows 80 Bulldogs 28
2:45 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Crows	+8.0		+0.9
Bulldogs	-7.8		-0.9

Kangaroos 125 Lions 62
4:40 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	+0.5
Hawks	+0.3
Dockers	+0.5
Magpies	+0.5
Tigers	+0.5
Crows	+0.4
Suns	+0.3
Bulldogs	+0.4
Kangaroos	+2.7		+0.8
Saints	+0.3
Lions	-7.5		-0.9

Eagles 68 Blues 89
5:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	+0.4
Hawks	+0.4
Dockers	+0.5
Magpies	+0.5
Crows	+0.4
Suns	+0.4
Bulldogs	+0.4
Blues	+2.5		+0.7
Eagles	-7.4		-0.9
Saints	+0.4
Lions	+0.4

Suns 66 Power 104
7:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Power	+3.2		+0.5
Hawks	+0.2
Dockers	+0.3
Magpies	+0.3
Crows	+0.2
Suns	-5.6		-0.6
Bulldogs	+0.2

Saints 63 Swans 79
7:50 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	+5.4		+0.5
Dockers	-0.2
Crows	-0.2
Saints	-3.7		-0.6

Bombers 121 Magpies 75
2:40 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bombers	+1.3		+0.4
Swans	+0.3
Hawks	+0.2
Dockers	+0.5
Magpies	-5.3		-0.6
Tigers	+0.3
Crows	+0.5
Demons	+0.3
Suns	+0.3
Bulldogs	+0.3
Kangaroos	+0.2
Eagles	+0.2
Saints	+0.2
Lions	+0.2

Saints 91 Bombers 128
4:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bombers	+2.8		+0.5
Swans	+0.2
Hawks	+0.2
Dockers	+0.2
Magpies	+0.3
Crows	+0.2
Saints	-5.0		-0.6

Swans 103 Cats 124
7:50 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	+4.2		+0.7
Swans	-4.2		-0.7

Demons 144 Giants 103
1:10 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Demons	+2.6		+0.7
Giants	-1.9		-0.7

Week of 4/26
Dockers 81 Tigers 80
6:40 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dockers	+10.6		+0.9
Tigers	-8.4		-0.8
Crows	-0.4

Blues vs CrowsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dockers	70.5*70.269.7
Magpies	64.2*63.663.2
Tigers	61.6*61.060.4
Crows	36.845.955.1		9.99.18.3
Blues	18.0*11.97.5		11.912.713.4

Hawks vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hawks	87.181.473.7		5.46.06.8
Kangaroos	8.612.818.6		13.312.611.8

Lions vs DemonsHomeDrawAway
3:12 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Crows	47.5*47.246.7
Demons	10.715.321.1		13.112.211.4
Lions	7.64.72.7		13.514.214.9

Bulldogs vs CatsHomeDrawAway
7:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats	97.598.799.3		3.22.82.5
Dockers	69.5*69.970.3
Magpies	62.9*63.564.0
Tigers	60.3*60.761.2
Crows	46.5*47.047.4
Bulldogs	20.014.510.0		11.612.313.0

Power vs EaglesHomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Power	97.796.193.6		3.33.74.2
Crows	47.3*47.146.6
Eagles	9.213.318.8		13.212.511.8

Giants vs SunsHomeDrawAway
1:40 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dockers	70.5*70.169.6
Magpies	64.2*63.963.2
Tigers	61.5*61.060.5
Crows	47.7*47.446.7
Suns	9.413.518.9		13.212.511.7
Giants	2.21.20.6		15.416.016.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Australian Football League Playoff Chances 2013

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