MLS Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Supporters Shield			Chance will finish regular season at seed												Wooden Spoon
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	%	Change	RPI

Red Bulls	59		17	-	8	-	9	17	In			Yes		+62.7	100										1.0	+0.63	No		6	New York Red Bulls
Timbers	57		14	-	15	-	5	21	In			No			100										1.0		No		1	Portland Timbers
Sporting KC	58		17	-	7	-	10	17	In			No		-62.7		100									2.0	-0.63	No		9	Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake	56		16	-	8	-	10	16	In			No				100									2.0		No		2	Real Salt Lake
Galaxy	53		15	-	8	-	11	15	In			No					100								3.0	+0.61	No		4	Los Angeles Galaxy
New England	51		14	-	9	-	11	11	In		+33.9	No					100								3.0	+1.74	No		12	New England Revolution
Sounders	52		15	-	7	-	12	0	In			No						100							4.0	-0.04	No		5	Seattle Sounders
Dynamo	51		14	-	9	-	11	0	In		+52.2	No						100							4.0	+1.05	No		10	Houston Dynamo
Rapids	51		14	-	9	-	11	7	In			No							100						5.0	-0.56	No		7	Colorado Rapids
Impact	49		14	-	7	-	13	1	In		+10.7	No							100						5.0	-0.49	No		13	Montreal Impact
Earthquakes	51		14	-	9	-	11	-7	Out			No								100					6.0		No		3	San Jose Earthquakes
Fire	49		14	-	7	-	13	-5	Out		-96.7	No								100					6.0	-2.30	No		14	Chicago Fire
Whitecaps	48		13	-	9	-	12	8	Out			No									100				7.0		No		8	Vancouver Whitecaps
Union	46		12	-	10	-	12	-2	Out			No									100				7.0		No		15	Philadelphia Union
FC Dallas	44		11	-	11	-	12	-4	Out			No										100			8.0		No		11	FC Dallas
Crew	41		12	-	5	-	17	-4	Out			No										100			8.0		No		16	Columbus Crew
Toronto FC	29		6	-	11	-	17	-17	Out			No											100		9.0		No		17	Toronto FC
Chivas USA	26		6	-	8	-	20	-37	Out			No											100		9.0		No		18	CD Chivas USA
DC United	16		3	-	7	-	24	-37	Out			No												100	10.0		Yes		19	DC United

Week of 10/12
Galaxy 1 Impact 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Galaxy	+13.7		+5.1		+0.9
New England	+3.7
Impact	-14.5		No		-0.7
Earthquakes	-8.2
Fire	+3.5				+0.2
Union	+3.6

FC Dallas 2 Fire 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
New England	-5.1				-0.2
Dynamo	-5.9
Fire	+24.6				+0.8
Union	-9.4				-0.2
FC Dallas	Out				-0.2

Impact 0 New England 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
New England	+19.7				+0.7
Impact	-10.0		-2.9		-0.7
Union	-5.2

DC United 1 Union 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC	In
New England	+0.4
Fire	+2.4
Union	-5.2		No		-0.2

Timbers 1 Sounders 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			+2.3
Timbers	+3.7		+13.6		+0.9
Real Salt Lake			+1.6
Sounders	-0.5		-17.1		-0.7
Earthquakes	-2.2		*No

Sporting KC 1 DC United 0
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			-4.5		-0.2
Timbers			-4.0
Sporting KC			+15.8		+0.3
Dynamo			No
Rapids			No

Week of 10/19
Impact 2 Union 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
New England	-2.1
Impact	+34.9				+1.2
Union	-33.1				-1.0

Rapids 3 Whitecaps 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Timbers	-0.1
Real Salt Lake	-0.1
Galaxy	-2.0
Sounders	-1.2
Rapids	+34.6				+0.9
Earthquakes	-11.9
Whitecaps	Out				-0.5

Fire 1 Toronto FC 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
New England	-10.2				-0.2
Dynamo	-5.5				-0.2
Impact	-5.8				-0.2
Fire	+31.9				+1.0
Union	-7.7				-0.2

New England 3 Crew 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
New England	+29.9				+1.1
Dynamo	-5.9				-0.2
Impact	-5.9				-0.2
Fire	-8.4				-0.2
Union	-6.5				-0.2
Crew	Out				-0.3

Dynamo 0 Red Bulls 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			+29.4		+0.4
Timbers			-6.0
Sporting KC			-16.0		-0.3
Real Salt Lake			-4.3
New England	+12.4				+0.3
Dynamo	-25.8				-0.9
Impact	+3.8				+0.2
Fire	+5.2				+0.2
Union	+4.4

Galaxy 0 Earthquakes 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			+2.8
Galaxy	In		-6.5		-0.4
Sounders	In				+0.2
Rapids	+2.3
Earthquakes	-10.2				-0.2

FC Dallas 2 Sounders 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Timbers	In		+1.5		+0.2
Sounders	-1.2		No		-0.6

Timbers 0 Real Salt Lake 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Timbers	In		-8.4
Sporting KC			+10.8
Real Salt Lake	+0.1		-10.5		-0.3

Real Salt Lake 2 Chivas USA 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			-7.7
Real Salt Lake			+8.5		+1.0

Week of 10/26
DC United 1 Dynamo 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
New England	-28.8				-0.3
Dynamo	In				+1.3
Impact	-17.9				-0.6
Fire	-5.5				-0.4

Crew 0 New England 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
New England	In				+1.4
Dynamo	-10.5				-0.3
Impact	-17.9				-0.6
Fire	-5.5				-0.4

Union 1 Sporting KC 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			-22.4		-0.4
Timbers			No
Sporting KC			+38.3		+0.4
Real Salt Lake			No
New England	+6.3				+0.2
Dynamo	+3.1				+0.2
Union	Out				-0.4

Red Bulls 5 Fire 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			Yes		+0.6
Sporting KC			No		-0.6
Impact	+5.5				+0.4
Fire	-5.5				-0.7

Toronto FC 1 Impact 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Impact	-4.5				-0.6

Earthquakes 2 FC Dallas 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Rapids	-2.3
Earthquakes	+2.3				+0.2
FC Dallas					-0.2

Chivas USA 0 Timbers 5
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			-6.5
Timbers			+14.7		+1.1
Real Salt Lake			No		-0.6

Whitecaps 3 Rapids 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Galaxy					+0.2
Sounders					+0.3
Rapids					-0.6

Sounders 1 Galaxy 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Average seed
Galaxy					+0.2
Sounders					-0.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

MLS Playoff Chances 2013 50/50

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