Campeonato Paulista Playoff Chances 2013

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed																						Serie A2
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Sao Paulo	41		13	-	2	-	4	16	In			100																				1.0		No			4	.683	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Mogi Mirim	39		12	-	3	-	4	17	In				100																			2.0	+1.36	No			5	.684	Mogi Mirim Esporte Clube
Santos	39		11	-	6	-	2	14	In					100																		3.0	+0.59	No			2	.650	Santos Futebol Clube
Ponte Preta	38		10	-	8	-	1	14	In						100																	4.0	-1.44	No			1	.707	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Corinthians	35		9	-	8	-	2	15	In							100																5.0	+1.02	No			3	.690	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Palmeiras	34		9	-	7	-	3	10	In								100															6.0	-1.18	No			6	.603	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Botafogo-SP	31		9	-	4	-	6	3	In									100														7.0	-0.26	No			7	.534	Botafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Penapolense	28		8	-	4	-	7	4	In		+28.7								100													8.0	+0.19	No			10	.548	Clube Atletico Penapolense

Linense	27		7	-	6	-	6	-2	Out		-28.7									100												9.0	-0.24	No			8	.473	Clube Atletico Linense
XV Piracicaba	25		6	-	7	-	6	1	Out												100											10.0	+1.04	No			9	.506	Esporte Clube XV de Novembro
Bragantino	25		6	-	7	-	6	-3	Out													100										11.0	-0.80	No			11	.460	Clube Atletico Bragantino
Sao Bernardo	20		5	-	5	-	9	-6	Out														100									12.0	+2.74	No		-11.1	15	.426	Sao Bernardo Futebol Clube
Paulista	20		5	-	5	-	9	-6	Out															100								13.0	+1.44	No		-6.2	13	.410	Paulista Futebol Clube
Ituano	20		5	-	5	-	9	-9	Out																100							14.0	+1.37	No		-16.6	12	.381	Ituano Futebol Clube
A. Sorocaba	19		5	-	4	-	10	-4	Out																	100						15.0	-2.04	No			17	.450	Clube Atletico Sorocaba
Oeste	19		5	-	4	-	10	-11	Out																		100					16.0	-3.08	No			16	.366	Oeste Futebol Clube

Mirassol	18		5	-	3	-	11	-2	Out																			100				17.0	-0.44	Yes		+33.8	18	.476	Mirassol Futebol Clube
U. Barbarense	16		3	-	7	-	9	-14	Out																				100			18.0	+0.93	Yes			14	.293	Uniao Agricola Barbarense Futebol Clube
Sao Caetano	13		2	-	7	-	10	-16	Out																					100		19.0	-0.59	Yes			19	.314	Associacao Desportiva Sao Caetano
Guarani	10		2	-	4	-	13	-21	Out																						100	20.0	-0.62	Yes			20	.287	Guarani Futebol Clube

Week of 4/6
Penapolense 3 Guarani 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Penapolense	+12.6				+0.4
Linense	-3.8
XV Piracicaba	Out
Bragantino	-5.6
Sao Bernardo	Out
Paulista	Out
Ituano			-1.6
A. Sorocaba			-1.6
Oeste	-2.0
Mirassol	Out
Guarani			+6.0		-0.5

Linense 3 Oeste 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Penapolense	-2.0
Linense	+6.9		*No		+0.9
Oeste	-3.0		+0.1		-0.9

Botafogo-SP 1 Sao Paulo 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-SP	-1.7				-0.6

Ponte Preta 1 Palmeiras 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta					-0.7
Palmeiras	In				+1.1

Corinthians 2 Sao Bernardo 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	In				+0.6
Sao Bernardo			+2.4		-0.5

Mogi Mirim 2 Paulista 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Mogi Mirim					+0.6
Paulista	Out		+2.3		-0.6

Paulista 2 Ituano 3
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Bernardo			+5.0
Paulista			+10.3		-1.3
Ituano			-42.7		+1.6
A. Sorocaba			+7.7
Oeste			+0.1
Mirassol			+12.6
U. Barbarense			+5.2		-0.2

A. Sorocaba 3 Mirassol 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ituano			+4.4
A. Sorocaba			-29.5		+1.4
Mirassol			+18.5		-1.3

A. Sorocaba 1 Oeste 0
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Bernardo			+2.1
Ituano			+3.6
A. Sorocaba			-12.1		+1.3
Oeste			+0.1		-0.9
Mirassol			+2.4		-0.2

U. Barbarense 1 Sao Paulo 2
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Bernardo			-1.3
Ituano			-1.3
A. Sorocaba			-2.1
Mirassol			-2.6
U. Barbarense			+8.4		-0.4

Week of 4/13
Linense 2 Corinthians 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians					-0.9
Botafogo-SP	-4.6
Penapolense	-17.1				-0.2
Linense	+22.3				+0.7

Botafogo-SP 1 Bragantino 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo-SP	In				+0.4
Penapolense	+2.1
Bragantino	Out				-0.4

Penapolense 1 Sao Caetano 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Penapolense	-2.4				-0.3
Linense	+1.4
Bragantino	+0.3
Sao Bernardo			-1.0
Paulista			-3.1
Ituano			-2.0
Sao Caetano			Yes

Ponte Preta 2 Mirassol 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta					+0.7
Sao Bernardo			-4.2
Paulista			-3.8
Ituano			-9.1		+0.2
A. Sorocaba			No
Oeste			No
Mirassol			+18.0		-0.8

Sao Bernardo 1 Mogi Mirim 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Mogi Mirim					+0.6
Sao Bernardo			+7.4		-0.6
Paulista			-2.1		+0.2
Ituano			-4.3

U. Barbarense 0 Santos 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Santos					+0.6
Sao Bernardo			-1.2
Paulista			-1.3
Ituano			-2.0
U. Barbarense			Yes		-0.4

Sao Paulo 0 XV Piracicaba 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
XV Piracicaba			No		+1.6

Palmeiras 4 Guarani 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras					+0.5

Week of 4/21
Mirassol 3 Linense 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Penapolense	In				+0.3
Linense	Out				-0.4
Sao Bernardo			+20.7		-0.4
Paulista			+11.6		-0.4
Ituano			+31.0		-0.5
Mirassol			-63.3		+1.6

Santos 2 Penapolense 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Santos					+0.7
Penapolense	-12.4				-0.2
Linense	+12.4

Ituano 2 Palmeiras 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras					-1.2
Sao Bernardo			+7.6		-0.4
Paulista			+5.2		-0.4
Ituano			No		+1.9

Oeste 0 Sao Bernardo 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Bernardo			No		+1.9
Paulista			+3.1
Ituano			+6.0		-0.2
Oeste					-1.6

Sao Caetano 0 Paulista 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Bernardo			+1.9		-0.3
Paulista			No		+1.3
Ituano			+2.9		-0.2
Sao Caetano					-0.7

Corinthians 2 A. Sorocaba 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians					+0.5
A. Sorocaba					-0.7

XV Piracicaba 4 Botafogo-SP 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
XV Piracicaba					+0.8

Guarani 1 U. Barbarense 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
U. Barbarense					+1.1
Guarani					-0.6

Mogi Mirim 1 Sao Paulo 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Mogi Mirim					+0.8

Bragantino 0 Ponte Preta 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie A2	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta					-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Paulista Playoff Chances 2013

Big Games