Taca Rio Playoff Chances 2013

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs											Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	L	-	E	GD	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Botafogo	21		7	-	0	-	0	17	In		100								1.0		1	.887	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Resende	18		6	-	1	-	0	6	In		100								1.0	+0.28	3	.664	Resende Futebol Clube
Fluminense	16		5	-	1	-	1	7	In			100							2.0	-0.28	2	.771	Fluminense Football Club
Volta Redonda	13		4	-	2	-	1	2	In			100							2.0		4	.651	Volta Redonda Futebol Clube
Macae	12		4	-	3	-	0	1	Out				100						3.0	+0.61	7	.524	Macae Esporte Futebol Clube
Friburguense	10		3	-	3	-	1	5	Out				100						3.0	+1.05	6	.621	Friburguense Atletico Clube
Audax Rio	10		3	-	3	-	1	0	Out					100					4.0	+0.94	8	.496	Audax Rio de Janeiro Esporte Clube
Olaria	9		2	-	2	-	3	-6	Out					100					4.0	+2.26	5	.206	Olaria Atletico Clube
Flamengo	8		2	-	3	-	2	0	Out						100				5.0	-0.89	11	.496	Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Madureira	8		2	-	3	-	2	-1	Out						100				5.0	+0.97	10	.439	Madureira Esporte Clube
Nova Iguacu	8		2	-	3	-	2	-3	Out							100			6.0	-2.41	9	.386	Nova Iguacu Futebol Clube
Duque de Caxias	6		1	-	3	-	3	-4	Out							100			6.0	-0.22	12	.359	Duque de Caxias Futebol Clube
Vasco da Gama	7		2	-	4	-	1	-4	Out								100		7.0	-1.85	13	.321	Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Boavista	5		1	-	4	-	2	-5	Out								100		7.0	-0.28	14	.334	Boavista Sport Club
Bangu	3		0	-	4	-	3	-5	Out									100	8.0	-0.16	16	.294	Bangu Atletico Clube
Quissama	2		0	-	5	-	2	-10	Out									100	8.0	-0.02	15	.228	Quissama Futebol Clube

Week of 4/3
Vasco da Gama 2 Friburguense 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	+9.4		+0.2
Volta Redonda	+15.8		+0.3
Friburguense	-28.1		-0.7
Olaria			-0.4
Madureira			-0.2
Nova Iguacu	+3.0
Vasco da Gama			+0.9
Quissama			-0.2

Nova Iguacu 1 Volta Redonda 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	+3.7		+0.2
Volta Redonda	-14.6		-0.4
Friburguense	+8.6
Nova Iguacu	+2.3		+0.6

Vasco da Gama 0 Botafogo 3
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	+10.9		+0.3
Volta Redonda	-1.7
Friburguense	-8.4
Nova Iguacu	-0.4
Vasco da Gama	-0.4		-0.4

Audax Rio 1 Macae 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Resende	+2.6
Fluminense	+0.8
Macae	-6.5		-0.6
Audax Rio	+3.1		+1.1

Botafogo 3 Olaria 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	+6.3		+0.2
Volta Redonda	-2.4
Friburguense	-2.9
Olaria	Out		-0.2
Madureira	*Out
Nova Iguacu	-0.9
Vasco da Gama	*Out

Resende 0 Fluminense 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Resende	-3.1		-0.3
Fluminense	+5.7		+0.4
Macae	-2.0
Flamengo	-0.7
Duque de Caxias	Out
Bangu	Out

Bangu 1 Boavista 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Resende	+1.0
Macae	+0.3
Boavista	Out		-0.1
Bangu			-0.4

Flamengo 1 Duque de Caxias 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense	+0.6
Flamengo	-0.8		-0.4
Duque de Caxias	Out		-0.1

Quissama 0 Madureira 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Madureira			+1.0
Quissama	Out		-1.0

Week of 4/10
Botafogo 3 Friburguense 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	In		+0.2
Volta Redonda	+7.3
Friburguense	-11.5		-0.3
Nova Iguacu	-1.2

Botafogo 4 Nova Iguacu 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	In
Nova Iguacu	Out		-0.2

Resende 2 Audax Rio 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Resende	In		+0.2
Fluminense	In
Macae	Out
Audax Rio	Out		-0.4

Volta Redonda 0 Olaria 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	-3.8
Friburguense	Out
Olaria			+0.3
Nova Iguacu	+4.6

Macae 1 Bangu 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Resende	-0.8
Macae	+0.8		+0.7
Audax Rio			-0.2
Duque de Caxias			+0.2
Bangu			-0.5

Friburguense 2 Madureira 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Volta Redonda	+0.8
Friburguense	Out		-0.3
Madureira			+0.2
Nova Iguacu			+0.3

Flamengo 3 Fluminense 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Resende			+0.4
Fluminense			-0.4
Macae			-0.3
Audax Rio			-0.5
Flamengo			+1.5
Duque de Caxias			-0.4
Boavista			-0.3

Boavista 1 Duque de Caxias 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Duque de Caxias			+1.3
Boavista			-1.2
Bangu			-0.2

Vasco da Gama 3 Quissama 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Vasco da Gama			+0.9
Quissama			-0.7

Week of 4/21
Olaria 2 Nova Iguacu 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Friburguense			+0.3
Olaria			+2.3
Madureira			-0.2
Nova Iguacu			-2.2
Vasco da Gama			-0.2

Madureira 1 Vasco da Gama 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Olaria			-0.3
Madureira			+1.2
Vasco da Gama			-1.0

Duque de Caxias 0 Audax Rio 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Macae			-0.3
Audax Rio			+1.1
Flamengo			-0.2
Duque de Caxias			-0.8

Macae 3 Flamengo 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Macae			+0.6
Flamengo			-0.9
Duque de Caxias			+0.2

Boavista 1 Resende 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Resende			+0.3
Fluminense			-0.3
Duque de Caxias			+0.2
Boavista			-0.4

Friburguense 4 Quissama 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Friburguense			+0.4

Fluminense 2 Bangu 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Resende			-0.2
Fluminense			+0.2
Bangu			-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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