National Football League Playoff Chances 2013-2014

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed																		#1 Pick
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Denver		13	-	3	-	0	.813	207	In			100																1.0	+0.09	No			5	.804	Denver Broncos
Seattle		13	-	3	-	0	.813	186	In			100																1.0	+0.31	No			2	.843	Seattle Seahawks
Carolina		12	-	4	-	0	.750	125	In				100															2.0	+0.42	No			1	.770	Carolina Panthers
New England		12	-	4	-	0	.750	106	In				100															2.0	+0.22	No			6	.705	New England Patriots
Cincinnati		11	-	5	-	0	.688	125	In					100														3.0	+0.02	No			9	.744	Cincinnati Bengals
Philadelphia		10	-	6	-	0	.625	60	In		+48.6			100														3.0	+2.43	No			11	.618	Philadelphia Eagles
Indianapolis		11	-	5	-	0	.688	55	In						100													4.0	-0.33	No			7	.617	Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay		8	-	7	-	1	.531	-11	In		+59.8				100													4.0	+3.45	No			20	.478	Green Bay Packers
San Francisco		12	-	4	-	0	.750	134	In							100												5.0	+0.11	No			4	.769	San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City		11	-	5	-	0	.688	125	In							100												5.0		No			12	.744	Kansas City Chiefs
New Orleans		11	-	5	-	0	.688	110	In		+6.2						100											6.0	-0.79	No			3	.722	New Orleans Saints
San Diego		9	-	7	-	0	.563	48	In		+92.7						100											6.0	+2.13	No			10	.601	San Diego Chargers
Arizona		10	-	6	-	0	.625	55	Out		-6.2							100										7.0	-0.06	No			8	.620	Arizona Cardinals
Miami		8	-	8	-	0	.500	-18	Out		-70.7							100										7.0	-0.67	No			14	.458	Miami Dolphins
Chicago		8	-	8	-	0	.500	-33	Out		-59.8								100									8.0	-2.15	No			23	.439	Chicago Bears
Pittsburgh		8	-	8	-	0	.500	9	Out		-7.5								100									8.0	+0.14	No			18	.519	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore		8	-	8	-	0	.500	-32	Out		-14.6									100								9.0	-1.20	No			19	.427	Baltimore Ravens
Dallas		8	-	8	-	0	.500	7	Out		-48.6									100								9.0	-2.64	No			17	.514	Dallas Cowboys
NY Jets		8	-	8	-	0	.500	-97	Out												100							10.0	+0.61	No			15	.293	NY Jets
NY Giants		7	-	9	-	0	.438	-89	Out												100							10.0	+1.22	No			16	.308	NY Giants
Detroit		7	-	9	-	0	.438	19	Out													100						11.0	-1.67	No			25	.540	Detroit Lions
Tennessee		7	-	9	-	0	.438	-19	Out													100						11.0	-0.79	No			22	.459	Tennessee Titans
St. Louis		7	-	9	-	0	.438	-16	Out														100					12.0	-0.64	No			13	.465	St. Louis Rams
Buffalo		6	-	10	-	0	.375	-49	Out														100					12.0	-0.21	No			21	.395	Buffalo Bills
Minnesota		5	-	10	-	1	.344	-89	Out															100				13.0	+0.19	No			28	.335	Minnesota Vikings
Oakland		4	-	12	-	0	.250	-131	Out															100				13.0	+0.30	No			29	.254	Oakland Raiders
Atlanta		4	-	12	-	0	.250	-90	Out																100			14.0	+0.02	No			26	.324	Atlanta Falcons
Jacksonville		4	-	12	-	0	.250	-202	Out																100			14.0	+0.14	No			27	.150	Jacksonville Jaguars
Cleveland		4	-	12	-	0	.250	-98	Out																	100		15.0	-0.44	No			30	.298	Cleveland Browns
Tampa Bay		4	-	12	-	0	.250	-101	Out																	100		15.0	-0.21	No			24	.286	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington		3	-	13	-	0	.188	-144	Out																		100	16.0		No		-12.0	32	.241	Washington Redskins
Houston		2	-	14	-	0	.125	-152	Out																		100	16.0		Yes		+12.0	31	.210	Houston Texans

Week of 12/12
Detroit 16 Baltimore 18
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
New England	-0.7
Miami	-10.3
Chicago	+20.6				+1.0
Baltimore	+16.3				+0.8
NY Jets	Out
Detroit	-29.3				-1.7

Dallas 36 Green Bay 37
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia	+15.6				+0.7
Green Bay	+10.2				+1.1
Dallas	-18.2				-1.5
Detroit	-9.2				-0.4

Minnesota 48 Philadelphia 30
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia	-18.7				-1.0
Dallas	+16.3				+0.6

Miami 24 New England 20
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
New England	-0.2				-0.5
Miami	+18.3				+0.4
Baltimore	-11.9				-0.2
Buffalo	Out
Oakland	Out
Jacksonville	Out
Cleveland	Out

Cleveland 31 Chicago 38
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	+8.8				+0.7
Detroit	-7.3				-0.3
Cleveland	Out				-0.6

Carolina 30 NY Jets 20
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	+1.3

St. Louis 27 New Orleans 16
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	-0.9				-1.1

Atlanta 27 Washington 26
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta			-5.0		+0.6
Washington			+7.5		-0.5
Houston			-3.1

Oakland 31 Kansas City 56
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Kansas City	In
Oakland	Out				-0.3

Jacksonville 20 Buffalo 27
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo			No		+0.8
Jacksonville	Out				-0.8

Indianapolis 25 Houston 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay			No
Washington			-5.2
Houston			+9.4

Week of 12/22
Buffalo 19 Miami 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
New England	In
San Diego	+0.9
Miami	-26.1				-0.4
Pittsburgh	+0.3
Baltimore	+18.9				+0.2

Detroit 20 NY Giants 23
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	+22.1				+1.2
Detroit	Out				-2.2

Philadelphia 54 Chicago 11
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia	+7.3				+0.8
Chicago	-14.8				-1.0
Dallas	-7.3				-0.4
Detroit	+12.4				+0.6

Baltimore 7 New England 41
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
New England	In				+0.6
San Diego	+0.7
Miami	+14.6
Pittsburgh	+0.2
Baltimore	-21.2				-0.8

Green Bay 31 Pittsburgh 38
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	-14.2				-1.3
Pittsburgh	+0.4				+0.9
Detroit	+10.0				+0.6

Washington 23 Dallas 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia	-11.8				-0.5
Dallas	+11.8				+0.7
Washington			+6.1		-0.2
Houston			-5.7

Seattle 10 Arizona 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco	-3.3
New Orleans	-3.3

San Francisco 34 Atlanta 24
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco	In
Arizona	-3.6

Cincinnati 42 Minnesota 14
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
New England	-0.2
Cincinnati	+3.1				+0.2

Carolina 17 New Orleans 13
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina	In				+1.0
New Orleans	-0.3				-1.0

San Diego 26 Oakland 13
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
San Diego	+0.1				+0.2
Atlanta			*No

NY Jets 24 Cleveland 13
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh	+0.2

Houston 13 Denver 37
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Oakland			No
Atlanta			*No
Jacksonville			No
Cleveland			No
Washington			-4.2
Houston			+4.9

Jacksonville 16 Tennessee 20
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville			+0.2		-0.5

Week of 12/29
Miami 7 NY Jets 20
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
San Diego	+27.0
Miami	Out				-0.8
Pittsburgh	+28.4
Baltimore	+15.2				+0.2

Chicago 28 Green Bay 33
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay	In				+3.5
Chicago	Out				-3.5

Dallas 22 Philadelphia 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia	In				+2.4
Dallas	Out				-2.6

San Diego 27 Kansas City 24
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
San Diego	+10.1				+1.2
Miami	+8.1
Pittsburgh	Out				-0.5
Baltimore	-10.8				-0.6

Cincinnati 34 Baltimore 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
San Diego	+1.6
Miami	+8.4
Pittsburgh	+1.7				+0.2
Baltimore	-11.7				-0.3

Arizona 20 San Francisco 23
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	In				-0.2
Arizona	Out

New Orleans 42 Tampa Bay 17
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans	In				+0.2
Arizona	Out

Pittsburgh 20 Cleveland 7
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh	+2.4				+0.6

Tennessee 16 Houston 10
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Washington			No
Houston			Yes

NY Giants 20 Washington 6
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Washington			+6.7
Houston			-6.7

Minnesota 14 Detroit 13
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit					-1.5

Atlanta 20 Carolina 21
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	#1 Pick	100.0*	Average seed
Carolina					+0.5
New Orleans					-0.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

National Football League Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Big Games