Juventus Title Chances 2013-2014Tied Inter Milan 1-1, title odds up 0.6 to 13.6% 7 points 2-1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | | Napoli 2 Atalanta 0 | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | | | | | | Inter Milan 1 Juventus 1 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | +0.0 | | | Torino 2 AC Milan 2 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Parma vs Roma | +0.4+0.1-0.6 | | +0.4+0.2-0.7 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | Fiorentina vs Cagliari | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.3+0.4+0.2 | | | | | | | Livorno vs Catania | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | | Udinese vs Bologna | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | | | | | | Lazio vs Chievo | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | | | | | | | Verona vs Sassuolo | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | | | | | | Sampdoria vs Genoa | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | | Chievo vs Juventus | -3.2-0.8+4.6 | | -5.9-1.2+8.2 | | +0.9-0.0-1.1 | | -0.7-0.1+1.0 | | | Juventus vs Verona | +3.2-1.9-4.2 | | +6.0-3.4-8.1 | | -0.9+0.3+1.4 | | +0.7-0.4-1.0 | | | Napoli vs Sassuolo | -0.6+0.4+0.8 | | -0.6+0.4+0.7 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | | | AC Milan vs Napoli | +0.4+0.2-0.8 | | +0.2+0.3-0.6 | | | | | | | Sassuolo vs Inter Milan | +0.5+0.2-0.6 | | +0.5+0.2-0.7 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | Sampdoria vs Roma | +0.3+0.1-0.6 | | +0.3+0.2-0.7 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | | Roma vs Lazio | -0.4+0.3+0.4 | | -0.4+0.4+0.3 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | | | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | +0.2+0.1-0.5 | | +0.3+0.2-0.6 | | | | | | | Inter Milan vs Fiorentina | -0.2+0.3*-0.0 | | -0.2+0.4-0.1 | | | | | | | Genoa vs Livorno | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.4 | | | | | | | Bologna vs AC Milan | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.2-0.4 | | | | | | | Chievo vs Udinese | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.2-0.3 | | | | | | | Udinese vs Genoa | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | | Bologna vs Torino | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | | Livorno vs Cagliari | -0.1+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | | Lazio vs Catania | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | | | | | | Cagliari vs Sampdoria | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | | | | | | | Parma vs Atalanta | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | | Torino vs Verona | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | Catania vs Parma | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Juventus finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | -112 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 122,600 | * | | 92 | | 27 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,688 | * | | 91 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,174 | * | | 90 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,879 | * | | 89 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,652 | * | | 88 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,534 | * | | 87 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,963 | * | | 86 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 53,617 | * | | 85 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 87,892 | * | | 84 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 142,803 | * | | 83 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 225,013 | * | | 82 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 348,054 | * | | 81 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 527,410 | * | | 80 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 787,590 | * | | 79 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,148,783 | * | | 78 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,642,334 | * | | 77 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 97.6 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,310,124 | * | | 76 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 96.5 | | 100.0 | % | 96 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,184,344 | * | | 75 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 94.9 | | 100.0 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,315,245 | * | | 74 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 92.7 | | 100.0 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,737,183 | * | | 73 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 89.7 | | 100.0 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,505,948 | * | | 72 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 85.8 | | 100.0 | | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,623,900 | * | | 71 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 80.8 | | 100.0 | | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,140,310 | * | | 70 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 74.6 | | 99.9 | | 75 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,042,024 | * | | 69 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 67.1 | | 99.8 | | 67 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,325,035 | * | | 68 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 58.4 | | 99.5 | | 58 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,918,829 | * | | 67 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 48.7 | | 98.7 | | 49 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,791,357 | * | | 66 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 38.6 | | 97.2 | | 39 | 43 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,804,229 | * | | 65 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 28.7 | | 94.3 | | 29 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,879,651 | * | | 64 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 19.7 | | 89.0 | | 20 | 40 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,843,563 | * | | 63 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 12.2 | | 80.4 | | 12 | 34 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,557,892 | * | | 62 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 6.7 | | 68.0 | | 7 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 44,857,786 | * | | 61 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 3.1 | | 52.3 | | 3 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 47,593,201 | * | | 60 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 1.2 | | 35.3 | | 1 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 49,647,711 | * | | 59 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 0.4 | | 20.0 | | 0 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 50,900,531 | * | | 58 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.1 | | 9.1 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 51,292,447 | * | | 57 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 3.1 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 50,788,513 | * | | 56 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 0.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 49,449,274 | * | | 55 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 47,290,717 | * | | 54 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 44,464,292 | * | | 53 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 41,040,396 | * | | 52 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 37,227,269 | * | | 51 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 33,163,673 | * | | 50 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 28,999,266 | * | | 49 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 24,903,940 | * | | 48 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 20,996,500 | * | | 47 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | | 17,367,667 | * | | 46 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4.8 | | 14,103,773 | * | | 45 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 13.1 | | 11,223,340 | * | | 44 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 27.3 | | 8,764,119 | * | | 43 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 2 | 45.3 | | 6,705,979 | * | | 42 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 63.3 | | 5,025,501 | * | | 41 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 33 | 11 | 78.1 | | 3,693,030 | * | | 40 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 88.3 | | 2,658,068 | * | | 39 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 30 | 94.4 | | 1,869,819 | * | | 38 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 41 | 97.6 | | 1,288,037 | * | | 37 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 99.0 | | 867,448 | * | | 36 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 64 | 99.6 | | 569,773 | * | | 35 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 99.9 | | 365,219 | * | | 34 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 80 | 100.0 | | 230,005 | * | | 33 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 100.0 | | 140,017 | * | | 32 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | 100.0 | | 83,216 | * | | 31 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 48,135 | * | | 30 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 27,099 | * | | 29 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 15,046 | * | | 28 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 7,882 | * | | 27 | | 3 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 4,057 | * | | 26 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,936 | * | | 25 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 995 | * | | 24 | | 2 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 454 | * | | 7 | -23 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 121,209 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 13.6 | % | 35.8 | % | 14 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.2 | % | 971,934,960 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |