Cagliari Title Chances 2013-2014Did not play, title odds down 0.3 to 2.6% 3 points 1-0-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | | Inter Milan 1 Juventus 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Napoli 2 Atalanta 0 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | Torino 2 AC Milan 2 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Fiorentina vs Cagliari | -0.8-0.1+1.7 | | -2.5-0.1+5.1 | | +2.7-0.3-4.9 | | -0.7+0.0+1.3 | | | Parma vs Roma | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | | | | | Livorno vs Catania | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.3 | | | | | Udinese vs Bologna | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | | Verona vs Sassuolo | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.1+0.2 | | | | | Lazio vs Chievo | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | | Sampdoria vs Genoa | | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | | Livorno vs Cagliari | -0.8-0.1+1.6 | | -2.5-0.2+4.9 | | +2.9-0.3-5.0 | | -0.7+0.0+1.3 | | | Cagliari vs Sampdoria | +1.0-0.5-1.1 | | +3.0-1.6-3.5 | | -3.8+1.4+5.0 | | +0.9-0.4-1.1 | | | Napoli vs Sassuolo | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | | -0.2+0.0+0.4 | | | | | AC Milan vs Napoli | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | | | | | Sassuolo vs Inter Milan | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | | | | | Chievo vs Juventus | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Sampdoria vs Roma | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Juventus vs Verona | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.2 | | | | | Roma vs Lazio | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.2 | | | | | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.3 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Inter Milan vs Fiorentina | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | | Genoa vs Livorno | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Bologna vs AC Milan | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Chievo vs Udinese | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | | Udinese vs Genoa | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | | | | Bologna vs Torino | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | | Lazio vs Catania | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.1+0.2 | | | | | Parma vs Atalanta | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | | Torino vs Verona | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | | Catania vs Parma | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Cagliari finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | -111 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 122,357 | * | | 86 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,425 | * | | 85 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,604 | * | | 84 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,679 | * | | 83 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 4 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,055 | * | | 82 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,125 | * | | 81 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,128 | * | | 80 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,781 | * | | 79 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 66,486 | * | | 78 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 98.5 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,753 | * | | 77 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 97.7 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 166,785 | * | | 76 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 96.5 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 258,608 | * | | 75 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 94.9 | | 100.0 | % | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 391,881 | * | | 74 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 92.7 | | 100.0 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 585,560 | * | | 73 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 89.6 | | 100.0 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 858,200 | * | | 72 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 85.5 | | 100.0 | | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,235,039 | * | | 71 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 80.4 | | 100.0 | | 80 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,741,388 | * | | 70 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 73.9 | | 99.9 | | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,421,665 | * | | 69 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 66.1 | | 99.7 | | 66 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,311,394 | * | | 68 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 57.2 | | 99.4 | | 57 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,446,619 | * | | 67 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 47.4 | | 98.5 | | 47 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,871,772 | * | | 66 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 37.2 | | 96.8 | | 37 | 43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,615,685 | * | | 65 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 27.3 | | 93.4 | | 27 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,734,528 | * | | 64 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 18.4 | | 87.6 | | 18 | 39 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,210,261 | * | | 63 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 11.2 | | 78.3 | | 11 | 33 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,070,072 | * | | 62 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 6.0 | | 65.3 | | 6 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,291,790 | * | | 61 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 2.7 | | 49.4 | | 3 | 15 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,835,532 | * | | 60 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 1.0 | | 32.6 | | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 25,647,290 | * | | 59 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 0.3 | | 18.1 | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 29,615,453 | * | | 58 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 0.1 | | 8.0 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 33,633,129 | * | | 57 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 2.7 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 37,553,307 | * | | 56 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 0.6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 41,263,300 | * | | 55 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 44,561,689 | * | | 54 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 47,319,498 | * | | 53 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 49,408,397 | * | | 52 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 50,721,813 | * | | 51 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 51,181,623 | * | | 50 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 50,764,172 | * | | 49 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 49,486,259 | * | | 48 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 47,391,370 | * | | 47 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | | 44,607,306 | * | | 46 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | | 41,238,565 | * | | 45 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11.8 | | 37,432,262 | * | | 44 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 24.9 | | 33,382,439 | * | | 43 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 42.2 | | 29,207,218 | * | | 42 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 60.3 | | 25,076,267 | * | | 41 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 31 | 10 | 75.6 | | 21,139,599 | * | | 40 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 86.6 | | 17,467,070 | * | | 39 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 43 | 27 | 93.4 | | 14,158,705 | * | | 38 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 39 | 97.0 | | 11,248,591 | * | | 37 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 98.8 | | 8,753,166 | * | | 36 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 61 | 99.5 | | 6,674,787 | * | | 35 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 70 | 99.8 | | 4,974,445 | * | | 34 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 100.0 | | 3,637,593 | * | | 33 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 85 | 100.0 | | 2,596,415 | * | | 32 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 100.0 | | 1,811,987 | * | | 31 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 100.0 | | 1,236,775 | * | | 30 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | | 822,403 | * | | 29 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 533,712 | * | | 28 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 337,869 | * | | 27 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 208,088 | * | | 26 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 124,484 | * | | 25 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 72,862 | * | | 24 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 41,169 | * | | 23 | | 3 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 22,165 | * | | 22 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 11,848 | * | | 21 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,169 | * | | 20 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,109 | * | | 3 | -19 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 123,420 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.6 | % | 10.4 | % | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 13.3 | % | 971,934,960 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |