How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/8100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Shrewsbury 2 Bristol City 3 +11.6
-0.9
Peterborough 4 Crewe 2 -1.3
+0.1
Gillingham 1 Crawley Town 0 +1.0
-0.1
Oldham 1 Preston 3 -1.0
+0.1
Port Vale 2 Carlisle 1 -0.8
Stevenage 3 Tranmere 1 +0.6
Colchester 2 Coventry 1 +0.6
Brentford 2 Bradford City 0 -0.3
Notts County 0 Leyton Orient 0 -0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town-12.1+3.0+10.2
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Peterborough vs Bristol City-1.1-0.2+1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Notts County vs MK Dons+0.9-0.2-0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Stevenage vs Preston+1.4-0.3-1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Walsall vs Crewe-1.2-0.3+1.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Oldham vs Rotherham+1.3-0.2-1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brentford vs Tranmere-1.0-0.2+1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sheffield Utd vs Carlisle-1.0-0.2+1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Gillingham vs Coventry+0.3-0.1-0.2
Colchester vs Bradford City+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Wolverhampton vs Shrewsbury+9.9+2.9-11.9
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Colchester vs Shrewsbury+10.5+2.9-12.4
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Bristol City vs Swindon+1.2-0.2-1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Crewe vs Oldham+0.3-0.6+0.1
Tranmere vs Notts County+0.4-0.5-0.1
Carlisle vs Stevenage-0.0-0.5+0.4
Coventry vs Port Vale+0.4*-0.0-0.4
Crawley Town vs Colchester-0.3-0.1+0.3
Crawley Town vs Wolverhampton+0.3*-0.0-0.3
Bradford City vs Gillingham-0.2-0.1+0.2
Preston vs Sheffield Utd-0.1*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Shrewsbury finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
6712-0-1No2.8%0114534910No4,782
6611-2-0No1.406363916300No12,419
6511-1-1No0.5022139279100No37,797
6410-3-0No0.2111303418510No58,734*
6310-2-1No0.004193328133000No137,734
6210-1-2No0.001823322492000No257,425*
619-3-1No0.00031226312071000No408,857*
609-2-2NoNo0041428291861000No747,530*
599-1-3NoNo0015162828165100No1,144,150*
588-3-2NoNo000161729271551000No1,686,576*
578-2-3NoNo0001617282715510000.0%2,549,661*
567-4-2NoNo0001617282715510000.03,410,373*
557-3-3NoNo0001617282715510000.14,505,288*
547-2-4NoNo000161728271551000.95,847,856*
536-4-3NoNo000171829271441004.44,271,780
7-1-5NoNo000151628281651006.02,688,482*
526-3-4NoNo000161830271430017.26,412,965
5-6-2NoNo000171930261330016.41,762,577*
516-2-5NoNo00017193127122041.45,770,268
5-5-3NoNo00028223225102035.93,509,489*
505-4-4NoNo00002102534237163.46,408,200
6-1-6NoNo000282334258166.83,429,902*
495-3-5NoNo000313303517284.57,693,465
4-6-3NoNo000314313416282.92,539,136*
485-2-6NoNo00004183832795.25,769,452
4-5-4NoNo0015213829694.04,449,834*
474-4-5NoNo00011032421598.66,405,091
5-1-7NoNo0001931431698.73,203,533*
464-3-6NoNo000421482799.76,408,829
3-6-4NoNo000422482699.72,399,096*
454-2-7NoNo001114642100.04,123,611
3-5-5NoNo001134640100.03,598,313*
443-4-6NoNo00063955100.04,274,786
4-1-8NoNo00053956100.02,095,516*
433-3-7NoNo0023068100.05,084,282*
423-2-8NoNo0012079100.02,061,167
2-5-6NoNo012277Yes1,798,364*
412-4-7NoNo001486Yes2,735,504*
402-3-8NoNo0991Yes1,864,316*
392-2-9NoNo0595Yes1,193,355*
381-4-8NoNo0397Yes700,746*
371-3-9NoNo199Yes388,801*
361-2-10NoNo199Yes198,868*
350-4-9NoNo0100Yes88,426*
340-3-10NoNo0100Yes35,404*
330-2-11NoNo0100Yes12,451
320-1-12NoNo100Yes3,116
310-0-13NoNo0100Yes13,224
-1013-0-0No11.402444770No13,230
-1212-1-0No5.1020522330No3,095
Total:No0.0%000000011123346791114192063.3%124,217,856

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship