"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bristol Rovers 1 Rochdale 2 +13.2
+7.6
+0.5
Scunthorpe Utd 1 Oxford Utd 0 -7.2
-0.2
-0.1
Dag & Red 0 Chesterfield 1 -4.1
-1.8
-0.2
Fleetwood 1 Wycombe 0 -0.3
-3.2
-0.1
Newport County 1 Burton Albion 1 +0.8
+0.0
Burton Albion 3 Hartlepool Utd 0 -0.7
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Burton Albion 0 Chesterfield 2 -18.9
-0.3
Exeter 2 Scunthorpe Utd 0 +12.6
+0.1
+0.2
Rochdale 2 Cheltenham 0 +9.7
+4.0
+0.3
Fleetwood 1 Southend Utd 1 +0.1
+2.3
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Newport County vs Rochdale-24.3-13.2+27.9
-0.6-0.2+0.6
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood-21.1+16.4+29.7
-0.2+0.1+0.4
Scunthorpe Utd vs York-3.1+2.7+3.3
-0.2+0.0+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well Rochdale finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
841-0-052.7%Yes5347No6,475,107,219
820-1-011.6Yes125038No3,926,033,644
810-0-10.5Yes02673No5,309,417,729
Total:24.8%Yes254134No15,710,558,592
Points
Chance Will Win Championship