How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Gillingham 1 Crawley Town 0 No
-0.6
+2.1
-1.1
Walsall 0 Wolverhampton 3 +0.1
+0.1
Peterborough 4 Crewe 2 -0.3
-0.2
Port Vale 2 Carlisle 1 -0.1
Colchester 2 Coventry 1 +0.1
Brentford 2 Bradford City 0 -0.1
+0.1
Oldham 1 Preston 3 -0.1
+0.0
Stevenage 3 Tranmere 1 +0.1
Shrewsbury 2 Bristol City 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Shrewsbury vs Crawley TownNoNo+0.0
-0.3-0.1+0.4
+2.9-0.0-2.9
-1.1-0.2+1.2
Brentford vs Tranmere-0.2-0.0+0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Swindon vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.0+0.1
Peterborough vs Bristol City-0.2+0.0+0.2
-0.3-0.0+0.3
Notts County vs MK Dons+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Port Vale vs Leyton Orient-0.1+0.0+0.1
Walsall vs Crewe-0.3-0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sheffield Utd vs Carlisle-0.2-0.0+0.3
Oldham vs Rotherham+0.3-0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Stevenage vs Preston+0.4-0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Gillingham vs Coventry+0.1-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Crawley Town vs Wolverhampton+0.0NoNo
+0.4-0.1-0.3
-2.7+0.2+2.6
+1.2-0.2-1.0
Crawley Town vs Colchester+0.0NoNo
+0.4-0.1-0.3
-2.8+0.1+2.7
+1.3-0.2-1.1
Wolverhampton vs Shrewsbury-0.3-0.1+0.3
MK Dons vs Peterborough+0.1+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Bristol City vs Swindon+0.3-0.0-0.2
Coventry vs Port Vale+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Preston vs Sheffield Utd+0.1+0.0-0.1
Rotherham vs Walsall+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bradford City vs Gillingham-0.1-0.0+0.1
Colchester vs Shrewsbury-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Crewe vs Oldham+0.1-0.1-0.0
Carlisle vs Stevenage-0.0-0.1+0.1
Tranmere vs Notts County+0.1-0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crawley Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
8415-0-01.2%37.1%115433370No12,930
8214-1-0No27.132544235No498
8114-0-1No25.6114443470No771
8013-2-0No25.3073742140No2,400
7913-1-1No24.9032648231No7,244
7812-3-0No24.6011648342No12,058*
7712-2-1No24.109424540No30,782
7612-1-2No23.205345570No59,879*
7511-3-1No21.8022461130No104,977*
7411-2-2No20.00116632000No203,272*
7311-1-3No17.60010602910No334,584*
7210-3-2No14.80055438200No542,291*
7110-2-3No11.7024447600No877,053*
709-4-2No8.601335411100No1,277,614*
699-3-3No5.80235519200No1,854,291*
689-2-4No3.4014512961000No2,602,538*
678-4-3No1.8074137132000No3,422,474*
668-3-4No0.80328402261000No4,442,040*
658-2-5No0.301163531133000No5,533,155*
647-4-4No0.10725342382000No6,562,466*
637-3-5No0.0021429311851000No7,640,372*
626-5-4No0.0016193127123000No4,470,167*
7-2-6No0.00051730291541000No4,059,764
616-4-5No0.000182131251130000No9,128,580*
606-3-6NoNo00021023312292000No9,538,960*
595-5-5NoNo00031225302072000No5,047,779
6-2-7NoNo000210243022920000No4,506,429*
585-4-6NoNo00031225302082000No6,312,534
6-1-8NoNo00031225292082000No2,884,470*
575-3-7NoNo000312252920820000.0%5,407,362
4-6-5NoNo001414272918610000.03,190,130*
564-5-6NoNo0001414262918710000.04,206,975
5-2-8NoNo000312252920820000.03,494,976*
554-4-7NoNo0001413262919720000.26,615,113*
544-3-8NoNo000141326291971001.55,495,234*
533-5-7NoNo000141426291861007.24,365,984*
523-4-8NoNo000151528301751022.23,305,545*
513-3-9NoNo00015173029143046.32,411,006*
502-5-8NoNo000172134279171.11,664,210*
492-4-9NoNo000210273721488.21,090,598*
482-3-10NoNo00031636341096.4682,168*
471-5-9NoNo001728442199.2396,530*
461-4-10NoNo00217453599.9215,326*
451-3-11NoNo0194051100.0109,438*
441-2-12NoNo0043165100.050,565*
430-4-11NoNo012178Yes20,926*
420-3-12NoNo01288Yes7,591*
410-2-13NoNo0694Yes2,349
400-1-14NoNo496Yes520
390-0-15NoNo0199Yes12,938
Total:0.0%0.6%0000027889998876544321104.7%124,217,856

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship