How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Gillingham 1 Crawley Town 0 *No
-0.2
+1.3
-0.8
Peterborough 4 Crewe 2 -0.1
-0.1
Walsall 0 Wolverhampton 3 +0.0
Port Vale 2 Carlisle 1 -0.1
Colchester 2 Coventry 1 +0.1
Brentford 2 Bradford City 0 +0.1
Oldham 1 Preston 3 -0.1
+0.0
Stevenage 3 Tranmere 1 +0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town-0.1-0.0+0.1
+2.1-0.3-2.4
-0.9-0.1+1.2
Peterborough vs Bristol City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Notts County vs MK Dons+0.2-0.1-0.2
Walsall vs Crewe-0.2+0.0+0.4
Swindon vs Wolverhampton-0.1-0.0+0.0
Port Vale vs Leyton Orient-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sheffield Utd vs Carlisle-0.2+0.0+0.3
Oldham vs Rotherham+0.3-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Gillingham vs Coventry+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stevenage vs Preston+0.4-0.0-0.2
Brentford vs Tranmere-0.1+0.1+0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Crawley Town vs Wolverhampton+0.2-0.0-0.1
-2.4-0.5+1.2
+1.4+0.1-0.6
Crawley Town vs Colchester+0.1-0.1-0.1
-2.0+0.4+2.7
+1.0-0.4-1.2
MK Dons vs Peterborough+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bristol City vs Swindon+0.2-0.0-0.2
Rotherham vs Walsall+0.0-0.0-0.1
Coventry vs Port Vale+0.0-0.0-0.1
Preston vs Sheffield Utd+0.0-0.0-0.1
Wolverhampton vs Shrewsbury-0.1+0.1+0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Colchester vs Shrewsbury-0.1-0.0+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Crewe vs Oldham+0.1-0.1-0.0
Carlisle vs Stevenage+0.0-0.1+0.1
Bradford City vs Gillingham-0.1+0.0+0.1
Tranmere vs Notts County+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crawley Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
8415-0-0No25.4%110473660No38,632
8214-1-0No24.733344201No158
8114-0-1No24.611248372No285
8013-2-0No24.511145422No842
7913-1-1No24.1438543No3,175
7812-3-0No23.402306160No6,062*
7712-2-1No22.212166110No16,758
7612-1-2No20.501468180No37,975*
7511-3-1No18.60866260No72,465*
7411-2-2No16.105603510No159,505*
7311-1-3No13.502524410No291,407*
7210-3-2No10.9014253300No518,748*
7110-2-3No8.2003260700No937,039*
709-4-2No5.80236412100No1,507,837*
699-3-3No3.700156220200No2,404,292*
689-2-4No2.10855306100No3,735,136*
678-4-3No1.004443812200No5,378,836*
668-3-4No0.4023141215100No7,633,704*
658-2-5No0.101183830112000No10,431,598*
647-4-4No0.000928352161000No13,452,077*
637-3-5No0.003173230143000No17,031,540*
627-2-6No0.0017223325102000No10,431,900
6-5-4No0.001824332381000No10,228,665*
616-4-5No0.00031227321961000No23,868,462*
606-3-6NoNo0141630301540000No26,916,547*
595-5-5NoNo00172132261120000No14,733,737
6-2-7NoNo0016193227123000No14,303,571*
585-4-6NoNo0002924332381000No20,508,543
6-1-8NoNo0002923322392000No9,450,165*
575-3-7NoNo00021126322171000No20,460,958*
4-6-5NoNo0003132832185100No9,540,830*
564-5-6NoNo0000415303016410000.0%15,175,596
5-2-8NoNo000313293117510000.013,523,588*
554-4-7NoNo001517312814400000.026,231,514*
544-3-8NoNo000162031261230000.023,168,758*
533-5-7NoNo000182232241020000.219,480,688*
523-4-8NoNo000210243222810001.515,573,084*
513-3-9NoNo00031227322061006.911,953,318*
502-5-8NoNo00041429311640020.98,676,703*
492-4-9NoNo00015183329122043.95,939,110*
482-3-10NoNo00172335258169.03,873,909*
471-5-9NoNo00211303618387.12,354,780*
461-4-10NoNo0004183732996.01,320,832*
451-3-11NoNo001829421999.1694,548*
441-2-12NoNo00318443599.9334,239*
430-4-11NoNo0193951100.0139,737*
420-3-12NoNo0032968100.052,385*
410-2-13NoNo011881Yes16,769
400-1-14NoNo01090Yes3,579
390-0-15NoNo0496Yes38,982
Total:No0.2%000014578910101098654321003.4%372,653,568

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship