How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/8100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Port Vale 2 Carlisle 1 +7.0
-0.7
Peterborough 4 Crewe 2 -0.8
+0.0
Gillingham 1 Crawley Town 0 +1.0
-0.1
Oldham 1 Preston 3 -0.7
+0.1
Stevenage 3 Tranmere 1 +0.6
Colchester 2 Coventry 1 +0.5
Brentford 2 Bradford City 0 -0.1
+0.0
Shrewsbury 2 Bristol City 3 +0.1
Notts County 0 Leyton Orient 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sheffield Utd vs Carlisle+7.3-1.1-15.1
-0.7+0.0+1.4
Peterborough vs Bristol City-0.7+0.2+1.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Notts County vs MK Dons+1.3-0.3-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Stevenage vs Preston+2.3-0.1-1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Walsall vs Crewe-0.9+0.1+2.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Oldham vs Rotherham+1.5-0.0-1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town+1.3-0.5-1.2
Brentford vs Tranmere-0.5+0.3+1.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Gillingham vs Coventry+0.6-0.1-0.6
Colchester vs Bradford City+0.2-0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Carlisle vs Stevenage-12.0+4.5+16.0
+1.0-0.4-1.2
Coventry vs Port Vale+0.2-0.0-0.2
Wolverhampton vs Shrewsbury-0.6+0.4+2.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Colchester vs Shrewsbury-0.7-0.1+1.6
Bristol City vs Swindon+1.1-0.2-1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Crewe vs Oldham+0.4-0.7-0.0
Tranmere vs Notts County+0.3-0.6+0.0
Bradford City vs Gillingham-0.3+0.1+0.6
Crawley Town vs Wolverhampton+0.3+0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Crawley Town vs Colchester-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Carlisle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
7312-0-0No18.2%04692700No38,681
7111-1-0No12.01474750No794
7011-0-1No8.1032551110No1,599
6910-2-0No6.1024591510No4,283
6810-1-1No3.50145625400No16,724
6710-0-2No1.90747341010No30,827*
669-2-1No0.83344018400No81,101
659-1-2No0.31213928102000No189,783*
648-3-1No0.10103034195100No332,734*
638-2-2No0.004183328133000No711,392*
628-1-3No0.001823322492000No1,282,597*
617-3-2No0.00031227311971000No2,088,224*
607-2-3NoNo00141528291751000No3,642,860*
597-1-4NoNo0016183028144100No5,540,571*
586-3-3NoNo00017203126123000No8,045,812*
576-2-4NoNo00029223124102000No11,836,825*
565-4-3NoNo0000311253121710000.0%8,496,911
6-1-5NoNo000210243223820000.07,098,909*
555-3-4NoNo0000312273119610000.015,817,896
6-0-6NoNo000312273119610000.04,092,805*
545-2-5NoNo00041429311751000.017,698,756*
4-5-3NoNo000141630291540000.07,346,359
534-4-4NoNo000151831281330000.317,924,918*
5-1-6NoNo00141630291540000.410,774,579*
524-3-5NoNo000172133261120002.124,863,818
3-6-3NoNo00018233324910001.64,181,346
5-0-7NoNo00161932281220002.62,853,117*
514-2-6NoNo0001924342481008.922,679,227
3-5-4NoNo00021026332261007.311,775,731*
503-4-5NoNo00031329331840022.020,838,377
4-1-7NoNo00021128341950024.313,254,340*
493-3-6NoNo00004173331132045.625,096,643
2-6-4NoNo0014173430122044.37,481,450*
483-2-7NoNo000162337267170.419,329,549
2-5-5NoNo00172537246167.010,652,439*
472-4-6NoNo000212323616285.915,431,831
3-1-8NoNo000211313617387.39,755,670*
462-3-7NoNo0004203930795.515,691,949
1-6-5NoNo0004213929795.24,543,139*
452-2-8NoNo001932411798.910,416,696
1-5-6NoNo0011133401598.75,111,153*
441-4-7NoNo000422462899.86,295,265
2-1-9NoNo00321453099.84,389,798*
431-3-8NoNo001124345100.06,895,017*
421-2-9NoNo0053461100.04,201,459*
411-1-10NoNo0022375100.02,195,453*
400-3-9NoNo011485Yes1,005,179*
390-2-10NoNo00793Yes428,634
380-1-11NoNo0397Yes133,084
370-0-12NoNo0199Yes57,264
Total:No0.0%0000001123457910111212108434.6%372,653,568

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship