"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/8100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Brentford 2 Bradford City 0 -0.3
+2.8
-1.1
Peterborough 4 Crewe 2 -0.1
-0.4
Walsall 0 Wolverhampton 3 +0.1
Port Vale 2 Carlisle 1 -0.2
Gillingham 1 Crawley Town 0 +0.2
Oldham 1 Preston 3 -0.2
+0.1
Stevenage 3 Tranmere 1 +0.2
Colchester 2 Coventry 1 +0.2
Shrewsbury 2 Bristol City 3 +0.1
Notts County 0 Leyton Orient 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Colchester vs Bradford City-0.1-0.1+0.2
+4.2+0.2-4.3
-1.2-0.2+1.4
Peterborough vs Bristol City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Notts County vs MK Dons+0.3-0.1-0.3
Port Vale vs Leyton Orient-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sheffield Utd vs Carlisle-0.4-0.1+0.4
Walsall vs Crewe-0.5-0.1+0.6
Swindon vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.0+0.1
Oldham vs Rotherham+0.4-0.1-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town+0.4-0.1-0.3
Gillingham vs Coventry+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stevenage vs Preston+0.6-0.1-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brentford vs Tranmere-0.3-0.1+0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bradford City vs Gillingham+0.2-0.1-0.1
-4.3+0.1+4.2
+1.4-0.2-1.2
Coventry vs Port Vale+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Preston vs Sheffield Utd+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bristol City vs Swindon+0.5-0.1-0.4
Crawley Town vs Wolverhampton+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Crawley Town vs Colchester-0.1-0.0+0.1
Rotherham vs Walsall+0.1+0.0-0.1
Colchester vs Shrewsbury-0.2-0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Wolverhampton vs Shrewsbury-0.4-0.1+0.5
Crewe vs Oldham+0.2-0.2-0.0
Carlisle vs Stevenage-0.0-0.2+0.1
Tranmere vs Notts County+0.1-0.2-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Bradford City finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
7712-0-0No24.6%001050382No13,864
7511-1-0No23.302335870No7,740
7411-0-1No21.712364130No11,420
7310-2-0No19.9015652010No28,061
7210-1-1No17.0008603020No84,613
7110-0-2No13.9045140400No126,028*
709-2-1No10.50240489100No282,093
699-1-2No7.101285317200No516,145*
688-3-1No4.401751265000No775,578*
678-2-2No2.309433511200No1,367,550*
668-1-3No1.0043040205100No2,017,777*
657-3-2No0.401183730112000No2,806,837*
647-2-3No0.100927342171000No4,082,412*
636-4-2No0.003173229144000No2,673,623*
7-1-4No0.0031430311751000No2,537,592
626-3-3No0.0017213226113000No5,255,834
7-0-5No0.0016203126123000No1,228,998*
616-2-4No0.000292331231020000No5,917,721
5-5-2No0.00021126312171000No2,120,255*
605-4-3NoNo0031326301971000No5,253,470
6-1-5NoNo0021024302292000No3,775,749*
595-3-4NoNo00141327291871000No7,893,537
4-6-2NoNo00151729281551000No1,169,125
6-0-6NoNo00031124302292000No893,037*
585-2-5NoNo000141326291871000No7,103,957
4-5-3NoNo00151729281551000No3,580,626*
574-4-4NoNo0001516282816510000.0%6,569,303
5-1-6NoNo001414262918710000.04,001,139*
564-3-5NoNo0001515272817610000.08,665,320*
3-6-3NoNo000171929261341000.01,558,301
554-2-6NoNo001515272817610000.15,913,463
3-5-4NoNo000161829261441000.13,616,174*
543-4-5NoNo000161728271541000.85,253,777
4-1-7NoNo000151527281761001.12,983,793*
533-3-6NoNo0000161729281541004.95,260,433
2-6-4NoNo000171829261441004.31,661,037*
523-2-7NoNo000161830281430017.73,381,937
2-5-5NoNo000282130251120014.02,174,911*
512-4-6NoNo00028223225102035.92,628,055
3-1-8NoNo0017203226112039.41,492,334*
502-3-7NoNo0002102534226162.02,937,949*
492-2-8NoNo000314313315282.11,987,673*
481-4-7NoNo0016223828693.51,219,113*
471-3-8NoNo0021133401498.2705,290*
461-2-9NoNo00523462699.6381,541*
450-4-8NoNo00114454099.9178,702*
440-3-9NoNo0073854100.074,270*
430-2-10NoNo0033067100.028,085
420-1-11NoNo012178Yes7,791
410-0-12NoNo01287Yes13,823
Total:No0.2%000013467889988765432107.1%124,217,856

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship