SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Being true to yourself,
80’s style

Club Tijuana Playoff Chances 2012Clausura 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.0006 to 99.999%

27 points 7-6-3

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 4/13	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toluca 0 Cruz Azul 3	-0.9		-0.0
Jaguares 0 Tijuana 0	-0.3		-0.2
Estudiantes Tec 1 Puebla 1	+0.2
Pachuca 1 Morelia 2	-0.1		+0.1
América 3 Santos Laguna 1	-0.1		-0.2
Atlante 1 UNAM 2	-0.1
UANL 2 Guadalajara 1	-0.1

Week of 4/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
San Luis 0 Tijuana 1	+5.5		+0.7
Cruz Azul 5 Estudiantes Tec 2	-4.4		-0.2
Querétaro 2 Toluca 2	+0.5
Monterrey 1 Pachuca 1	*+0.1		+0.1
Puebla 2 América 3			-0.1

Week of 4/27	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pachuca 3 Guadalajara 1			-0.4
Atlante 0 Monterrey 3			-0.2
Jaguares 1 Morelia 0			-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tijuana vs UNAM	In-0.0In		+1.0+0.0-1.0
América vs Cruz Azul	InIn-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tijuana finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Count

30		1	-	0	-	0	In							100													16,990,566
28		0	-	1	-	0	100.0	%							100		0										11,464,656
27		0	-	0	-	1	In									100											16,992,974

Total:							100.0	%						37	25	37	0										45,448,196

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs