"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toluca 0 Cruz Azul 3 +41.8
+1.2
Jaguares 0 Tijuana 0 +0.9
+0.1
Pachuca 1 Morelia 2 +0.5
Estudiantes Tec 1 Puebla 1 +0.2
+0.0
UANL 2 Guadalajara 1 +0.1
+0.0
Atlante 1 UNAM 2 +0.1
+0.0
Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
UNAM 0 Jaguares 3 -27.6
-0.3
Cruz Azul 5 Estudiantes Tec 2 +14.9
+0.3
Querétaro 2 Toluca 2 +1.8
+0.1
Monterrey 1 Pachuca 1 -1.3
-0.1
Guadalajara 0 Atlas 1 -0.9
San Luis 0 Tijuana 1 -0.6
-0.1
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaguares 1 Morelia 0 -25.1
-0.3
Pachuca 3 Guadalajara 1 -1.5
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
América vs Cruz AzulOutOutIn
-0.2-0.2+0.9
Tijuana vs UNAM-0.0-0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cruz Azul finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415161718Count
271-0-0In010906,900,804
24-25Out10028,389,080*
Total:19.6%02188035,289,884

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs