SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

Jaguares de Chiapas Playoff Chances 2012Apertura

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.1 to 44.4%

22 points 6-4-6

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/26	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
León 4 Jaguares 1	-10.5		-0.6

Week of 11/2	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jaguares 3 UNAM 0	+12.9		+1.3
Querétaro 0 Guadalajara 1	-4.7		-0.2
Monterrey 0 UANL 1	+2.7		-0.0
Atlante 2 León 3	+2.4		+0.2
Monterrey 2 Toluca 2	+2.4		-0.0
Santos Laguna 2 Cruz Azul 1	-1.5		-0.3
Toluca 0 Morelia 0	-0.1		-0.0
América 4 Pachuca 0			+0.2

Week of 11/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Morelia 2 Santos Laguna 0	+2.2		+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Pachuca vs Jaguares	Out-17.1In		-1.8-0.1+1.9
UANL vs América	-6.9+4.7+4.7		-0.5+0.3+0.3
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey	+4.3-6.9-4.8		+0.1-0.2-0.1
UNAM vs Atlante	+2.6+1.9-6.9		+0.0+0.3-0.4
Guadalajara vs Tijuana	-0.4-0.3+0.9		-0.2+0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well Jaguares finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Count

25		1	-	0	-	0	In								54	46											16,807,354
23		0	-	1	-	0	27.3	%							5	22	25	24	20	5							11,313,075
22		0	-	0	-	1	Out											15	55	30							16,728,068

Total:							44.4	%							22	23	6	12	25	13							44,848,497

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs