USL Professional Division Playoff Chances 2012 50/50

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												First-round bye			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Avg.	Change	RPI

Orlando	57		17	-	6	-	1	32	In			Yes			100											1.0		1	Orlando City
Rochester	41		12	-	5	-	7	4	In			Yes		+38.2		100										2.0	+0.38	4	Rochester Rhinos

Charleston	38		12	-	2	-	10	10	In			No					100									3.0	+1.00	5	Charleston Battery
Richmond	38		11	-	5	-	8	4	In			No		-38.2				100								4.0	-0.76	6	Richmond Kickers
Wilmington	37		10	-	7	-	7	2	In		+32.6	No							100							5.0	+0.94	2	Wilmington Hammerheads
Harrisburg	37		10	-	7	-	7	5	In		+52.8	No								100						6.0	+0.53	3	Harrisburg City Islanders

Charlotte	36		11	-	3	-	10	8	Out		-85.4	No									100					7.0	-2.09	7	Charlotte Eagles
Los Angeles	30		9	-	3	-	12	-3	Out			No										100				8.0		8	Los Angeles Blues
Dayton	22		4	-	10	-	10	-9	Out			No											100			9.0		9	Dayton Dutch Lions
Pittsburgh	17		4	-	5	-	15	-19	Out			No												100		10.0		11	Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Antigua	16		5	-	1	-	18	-34	Out			No													100	11.0		10	Antigua Barracuda FC

Week of 8/3
Harrisburg 3 Charleston 0
7:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			+6.1
Charleston	-3.8		-14.9		-0.8
Richmond	-2.5		+1.7
Wilmington	-3.6		+0.7
Harrisburg	+18.4		+5.7		+1.0
Charlotte	-5.3		+0.6
Los Angeles	-3.1

Richmond 2 Antigua 0
7:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			-0.5
Charleston	-0.3		-0.2
Richmond	+17.7		+0.8		+0.7
Wilmington	-4.0				-0.2
Harrisburg	-2.8
Charlotte	-5.8				-0.2
Los Angeles	-4.7
Antigua					-0.2

Charlotte 4 Antigua 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			-0.2
Charleston	-0.4
Richmond	-3.6
Wilmington	-6.7
Harrisburg	-4.1
Charlotte	+17.4		+0.3		+0.6
Los Angeles	-2.6

Wilmington 2 Charleston 1
7:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			+10.7
Charleston	-0.9		-13.6		-0.5
Richmond	-2.9		+0.7
Wilmington	+15.5		+1.4		+0.8
Harrisburg	-3.5		+0.7
Charlotte	-5.9
Los Angeles	-2.4

Los Angeles 1 Antigua 2
10:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston	+1.2
Richmond	+2.4
Wilmington	+1.6
Harrisburg	+2.6
Charlotte	+2.0
Los Angeles	-9.8		No		-0.4

Charleston 2 Wilmington 2
7:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester	*In		+5.2
Charleston	+0.3		-4.2		-0.0
Richmond	+1.0
Wilmington	-2.3		-1.4		-0.2
Harrisburg	+0.5		+0.4
Los Angeles	+0.4

Rochester 0 Orlando 1
7:35 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			-13.5		-0.2
Charleston			+10.4
Richmond			+0.5
Wilmington			+1.3
Harrisburg			+1.1
Charlotte			+0.2

Week of 8/10
Richmond 2 Harrisburg 1
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			+0.7
Charleston	-1.3		-0.2
Richmond	+23.5		+7.0		+1.1
Wilmington	-2.6		+0.2
Harrisburg	-16.7		-8.1		-1.0
Charlotte	-3.3		+0.4
Los Angeles	+0.4

Pittsburgh 0 Charlotte 3
7:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			-2.2
Charleston	-4.1		-0.5		-0.2
Richmond	-7.2		-0.4		-0.2
Wilmington	-4.4
Harrisburg	-4.2		-0.4		-0.2
Charlotte	+21.3		+3.5		+0.8
Los Angeles	-1.4
Pittsburgh					-0.3

Rochester 0 Charleston 4
7:05 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			-25.9		-0.5
Charleston	In		+14.0		+1.1
Richmond	-2.2		+3.1
Wilmington	-2.7		+1.4		-0.2
Harrisburg	-1.2		+3.3
Charlotte	-3.1		+4.1
Los Angeles	-0.5

Los Angeles 1 Antigua 0
10:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Richmond	-0.4
Wilmington	-2.9
Charlotte	-3.3
Los Angeles	+6.7
Pittsburgh					+0.2
Antigua					-0.3

Dayton 2 Charlotte 2
7:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			+2.3
Charleston	+1.8		+0.7
Richmond	+0.4		+0.3
Wilmington	+1.8
Harrisburg	*-0.1		+0.2
Charlotte	-4.2		-3.5		-0.4
Los Angeles	+0.2

Week of 8/19
Los Angeles 0 Harrisburg 1
8:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Wilmington	-29.2				-0.3
Harrisburg	In				+0.5
Charlotte	-23.6				-0.2

Charlotte 1 Wilmington 2
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Charleston					+0.4
Richmond					+0.2
Wilmington	In				+0.9
Harrisburg	-9.0
Charlotte	-23.6				-1.5

Antigua 2 Richmond 1
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First-round bye	100.0*	Average seed
Rochester			Yes		+0.4
Charleston					+0.6
Richmond			No		-1.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

USL Professional Division Playoff Chances 2012 50/50

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