| Week of 7/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nashville 0 West Virginia 0 | -3.6 | | -0.6 | |
| Maryland 1 Northern Virginia 0 | -1.6 | | | |
| Maryland 2 Carolina 4 | +0.2 | | +0.0 | |
| West Virginia 2 Northern Virginia 0 | Out | | | |
| Baltimore 3 Express 2 | +0.2 | | | |
| Bermuda 3 Long Island 1 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | |
| River City 1 Inferno 2 | -0.2 | | | |
| West Virginia 1 Palmetto 1 | +0.2 | | | |
| Ft. Lauderdale 1 Jax 0 | +0.1 | | | |
| Tampa 2 Ocala 2 | -0.1 | | -0.0 | |
| Ottawa 4 Worcester 0 | -0.1 | | +0.1 | |
| Orlando City 2 Mississippi 1 | +0.1 | | | |
| Nashville 2 Virginia Beach 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | |
| Kansas City 5 St. Louis 1 | +0.1 | | | |
| NJ Rangers 4 Spartans 0 | +0.1 | | | |
| Reading 4 Brooklyn 0 | -0.1 | | +0.1 | |
| Hamilton 1 Fire-PDL 4 | -0.1 | | | |
| Toronto Lynx 1 Fire-PDL 0 | +0.1 | | | |
| Virginia Beach 1 SW Virginia 3 | -0.1 | | | |
| BYU 3 Ogden 1 | +0.1 | | | |
| Mississippi 1 Tampa 0 | +0.1 | | | |
| West-Texas 1 El Paso 4 | -0.1 | | | |
| Hamilton 2 Forest City 4 | -0.1 | | | |
| Crossfire 0 Sounders-U23 1 | -0.1 | | | |
| Kitsap 2 North Sound 1 | +0.1 | | | |
| Brooklyn 1 Westchester 0 | *+0.1 | | | |
| NJ Rangers 3 Baltimore 2 | | | -0.1 | |
| Seacoast 1 Boston 1 | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Week of 7/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ottawa 1 Western Mass 1 | | | -1.0 | |
| Spartans 0 NJ Rangers 1 | | | -1.0 | |
| Vermont 2 Azul 4 | | | -1.0 | |
| Seacoast 0 Worcester 2 | | | -0.9 | |
| Carolina 1 Northern Virginia 1 | | | -0.9 | |
| Portland Phoenix 5 Boston 0 | | | -0.8 | |
| Long Island 0 Express 2 | | | -0.6 | |
| Nashville 0 Palmetto 0 | | | -0.6 | |
| Ottawa 1 Azul 0 | | | +0.2 | |
| Bermuda 2 Baltimore 1 | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Week of 7/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nashville 5 Fredericksburg 0 | | | +1.4 | |
| Baltimore 2 Long Island 1 | | | +0.4 | |
| Palmetto 4 Northern Virginia 0 | | | +0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.