| Week of 12/13 |
| Philadelphia 13 Cincinnati 34 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | -1.3 | | | | -0.1 | |
|
| San Diego 7 Carolina 31 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | Out | | | | -0.8 | |
|
| Dallas 27 Pittsburgh 24 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | +0.9 | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Cleveland 21 Washington 38 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Oakland 15 Kansas City 0 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oakland | | | -11.4 | | +0.2 | |
| Kansas City | | | +24.0 | | -0.2 | |
|
| Miami 24 Jacksonville 3 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | -0.0 | |
| Oakland | | | -3.3 | | +0.0 | |
| Kansas City | | | -4.0 | | +0.1 | |
|
| New Orleans 41 Tampa Bay 0 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kansas City | | | *-0.1 | | | |
|
| Baltimore 17 Denver 34 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver | | | | | +0.3 | |
|
| New England 34 San Francisco 41 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver | | | | | +0.3 | |
|
| Tennessee 14 NY Jets 10 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | +0.1 | |
| Oakland | | | | | -0.2 | |
|
| Buffalo 17 Seattle 50 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Houston 29 Indianapolis 17 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver | | | | | -0.0 | |
|
| Week of 12/22 |
| Kansas City 13 Indianapolis 20 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oakland | | | No | | | |
| Kansas City | | | +20.1 | | -0.2 | |
|
| Jacksonville 16 New England 23 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver | | | | | -0.0 | |
| Oakland | | | No | | | |
| Kansas City | | | -1.5 | | +0.0 | |
|
| Carolina 17 Oakland 6 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | +0.0 | |
| Oakland | | | | | -0.1 | |
|
| NY Jets 17 San Diego 27 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | +1.1 | |
|
| Denver 34 Cleveland 12 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver | | | | | +0.1 | |
| San Diego | | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Houston 6 Minnesota 23 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver | | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Green Bay 55 Tennessee 7 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Pittsburgh 10 Cincinnati 13 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Miami 24 Buffalo 10 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | -0.0 | |
| Oakland | | | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Week of 12/30 |
| Denver 38 Kansas City 3 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver | | | | | +0.0 | |
| Kansas City | | | Yes | | -0.0 | |
|
| Tennessee 38 Jacksonville 20 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oakland | | | | | -0.1 | |
| Kansas City | | | -1.6 | | | |
|
| Indianapolis 28 Houston 16 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denver | | | | | +0.7 | |
|
| San Diego 24 Oakland 21 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | +0.3 | |
| Oakland | | | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Pittsburgh 24 Cleveland 10 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | -0.2 | |
|
| Buffalo 28 NY Jets 9 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | +0.1 | |
| Oakland | | | | | -0.1 | |
|
| New England 28 Miami 0 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | #1 Pick | 100.0* | Average seed |
| San Diego | | | | | +0.1 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.