How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/23100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Levante 0 Osasuna 2 +0.1
-7.7
+0.9
Getafe 2 Real Zaragoza 0 -0.8
Deportivo 1 Real Madrid 2 -0.9
Real Zaragoza 2 Valencia 2 -0.2
+0.0
Celta 2 Granada 1 +1.3
Real Mallorca 1 Getafe 3 -1.1
Rayo Vallecano 1 Real Valladolid 2 +0.2
Atlético Madrid 1 Espanyol 0 -0.2
+0.1
Barcelona 2 Sevilla 1 -0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/2100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Liga Adelante100.0*Average seed
Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao+0.1-0.1-0.1
-5.9+0.4+5.7
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Valencia vs Levante-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Deportivo vs Rayo Vallecano+0.6-0.2-0.4
Espanyol vs Real Valladolid+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sevilla vs Celta-0.9-0.3+1.1
Granada vs Real Mallorca-0.0-0.3+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Osasuna finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLiga
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920AdelanteCount
6713-0-0No97.8%5435020No64,364
6512-1-0No89.8124651000No11,817
6412-0-1No78.2015632020No16,627
6311-2-0No69.5096127400No48,253
6211-1-1No51.20447381010No138,810
6110-3-0No35.702344418300No222,757*
6010-2-1No21.2002143287100No531,756
5910-1-2No9.90103337173000No979,043*
589-3-1No4.0042238279100No1,598,775*
579-2-2No1.101102935195100No2,923,375*
569-1-3No0.2003173330133000No4,475,505*
558-3-2No0.001723352581000No6,708,880*
548-2-3No0.0002112833206100No10,107,686*
537-4-2No0.00003153131153000No13,613,270*
527-3-3No0.000016203427112000No18,158,980*
517-2-4NoNo000182434237100No15,934,491
6-5-2NoNo0002102734216100No7,583,751*
506-4-3NoNo0003143032164000No17,982,791
7-1-5NoNo0002122933184000No10,205,544*
496-3-4NoNo00151934291120000.0%33,299,353*
486-2-5NoNo00018243624710000.022,311,963
5-5-3NoNo0001926362261000.015,446,827*
475-4-4NoNo00031432331530000.029,565,199*
6-1-6NoNo0021231351730000.010,696,614
465-3-5NoNo001521362891000.031,023,954
4-6-3NoNo001622372781000.011,028,806*
455-2-6NoNo0001102936194000.322,313,115
4-5-4NoNo0002113036184000.219,644,264*
444-4-5NoNo0004193630101001.126,965,046
5-1-7NoNo0004183630101001.212,653,411*
434-3-6NoNo00192838204003.927,732,369*
3-6-4NoNo000192937193003.68,691,847
424-2-7NoNo0003173732101010.415,940,131
3-5-5NoNo00031837319109.915,897,801*
413-4-6NoNo00193040192021.117,973,100
4-1-8NoNo00182940192021.48,350,871*
403-3-7NoNo00031941316036.821,036,774*
393-2-8NoNo00110344113154.97,970,656
2-5-6NoNo00110354113154.47,954,093*
382-4-7NoNo004244622271.111,294,866*
372-3-8NoNo001154533683.87,683,164*
362-2-9NoNo000738431192.14,889,761*
351-4-8NoNo00328491996.62,861,543*
341-3-9NoNo0119512998.71,576,772*
331-2-10NoNo0012484099.6799,007*
320-4-9NoNo006425299.9352,758*
310-3-10NoNo033463100.0139,728*
300-2-11NoNo022673100.048,493
290-1-12NoNo11882Yes11,564
280-0-13NoNo01288Yes64,395
Total:No0.1%00001123579111314131073110.2%507,524,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship