Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seed2. Bundesliga
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Bayern Munich7524-3-166YesYes1001.0No1.846FC Bayern Munich
Dortmund5516-7-532No100.0%+0.094600002.1No2.672Borussia Dortmund
Leverkusen4914-7-715No96.0+0.467813310000003.2+0.01No3.592Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Schalke4513-6-95No49.9+2.1011392214842100004.9+0.08No6.524FC Schalke 04
Freiburg4211-9-83No21.5+1.20219252114953100006.0+0.10No5.518SC Freiburg
Eintracht4212-6-102No20.9+1.203182320151063100006.1+0.11No4.507Eintracht Frankfurt
Monchengladbach4110-11-7-1No5.9+0.40051115181714106210007.6+0.090.0%8.485Borussia Mönchengladbach
Mainz3910-9-93No3.3-4.5003813161715139410008.1-0.670.09.5191. FSV Mainz 05
Nuremburg389-11-8-2No0.9+0.50013611161919157310009.1+0.980.0-0.07.4751. FC Nuremberg
Hannover3811-5-123No1.0-1.40013610141719178310009.2-0.580.010.511Hannover 96
Hamburger3811-5-12-12No0.6+0.10012471015192213620009.9+0.010.011.402Hamburger SV
Stuttgart339-6-13-17No0.0-0.00000113511242719810012.5+0.070.4-0.313.363VfB Stuttgart
Wolfsburg338-9-11-10No0.0+0.000000125102225231010012.7-0.060.5-0.012.417VfL Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen318-7-13-11No0.0000001261523292030013.4-0.061.8+0.014.427SV Werder Bremen
Dusseldorf297-8-13-10No0.0000000125112247112014.4-0.077.0+0.415.417Fortuna Düsseldorf
Augsburg245-9-14-19NoNo0000002105533116.260.7-0.216.337FC Augsburg
Hoffenheim236-5-17-19NoNo00000143064116.679.7+0.117.365TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Greuther152-9-17-28NoNo000029818.099.9+0.018.254SpVgg Greuther Fürth

16th-placed 1. Bundesliga team plays 3rd-placed 2. Bundesliga team in two-legged playoff

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/5
Eintracht 0 Bayern Munich 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern MunichYes
DortmundNo
Leverkusen+0.3
Schalke+2.6
Freiburg+1.5
Eintracht-7.4
-0.3
Monchengladbach+0.8
Mainz+1.2
Hannover+0.5
Hamburger+0.5
Dortmund 4 Augsburg 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Stuttgart-0.2
Wolfsburg-0.2
Werder Bremen-0.2
Dusseldorf-1.2
Augsburg+3.6
-0.1
Hoffenheim-1.8
Werder Bremen 0 Schalke 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leverkusen-0.7
Schalke+16.2
+0.8
Freiburg-2.8
Eintracht-6.3
Monchengladbach-1.4
Mainz-2.7
Nuremburg-0.2
Hannover-1.0
Hamburger-0.8
Werder Bremen+1.0
-0.7
Dusseldorf-0.2
Augsburg-0.5
Hoffenheim-0.3
Hamburger 0 Freiburg 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leverkusen-0.3
Schalke-2.3
Freiburg+10.8
*No
+1.1
Eintracht-3.0
Monchengladbach-0.7
Mainz-1.3
Hannover-0.3
Hamburger-2.7
-1.0
Nuremburg 2 Mainz 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leverkusen+0.3
Schalke+1.7
Freiburg+1.0
Eintracht+0.7
Monchengladbach+0.2
Mainz-4.5
-0.7
Nuremburg+0.4
+0.8
Monchengladbach 1 Greuther 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke-0.5
Freiburg-0.3
Eintracht-0.7
Monchengladbach+2.1
+0.5
Mainz-0.2
Hannover-0.1
Hamburger-0.1
Greuther+0.2
Hannover 0 Stuttgart 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leverkusen+0.2
Schalke+0.5
Freiburg+0.2
Eintracht+0.3
Hannover-1.5
-0.5
Stuttgart-0.2
+0.1
Leverkusen 1 Wolfsburg 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leverkusen-1.1
-0.1
Schalke+0.3
Eintracht+0.3
Stuttgart-0.0
Wolfsburg-0.4
+0.1
Augsburg+0.2
Hoffenheim 3 Dusseldorf 0
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
DusseldorfNo
+2.8
-0.4
Augsburg+2.9
Hoffenheim-5.9
+0.2
Week of 4/13
Schalke vs LeverkusenIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Leverkusen92.797.499.6
3.43.12.9
Schalke65.343.732.9
4.45.15.6
Freiburg17.023.326.5
6.15.95.9
Eintracht16.722.625.6
6.26.06.0
Monchengladbach4.46.57.6
7.67.57.5
Mainz2.23.64.5
8.28.18.1
Augsburg vs EintrachtHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke54.551.844.5
4.84.95.0
Freiburg24.522.718.0
5.85.96.1
Eintracht10.216.633.4
6.86.25.3
Monchengladbach7.06.34.7
7.47.57.7
Mainz3.83.52.6
0.00.0No
8.08.18.2
Dusseldorf10.76.04.4
14.514.414.4
Augsburg47.863.370.7
15.916.316.4
Hoffenheim87.278.873.5
16.716.616.5
Freiburg vs HannoverHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke46.153.354.8
5.04.84.8
Freiburg30.914.38.0
5.46.37.1
Eintracht18.622.923.9
6.16.06.0
Hannover0.10.63.5
0.00.0No
9.99.27.9
Stuttgart vs MonchengladbachHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Schalke51.350.647.8
4.94.95.0
Freiburg22.522.020.1
5.95.96.1
Eintracht21.821.419.6
6.06.06.2
Monchengladbach1.93.911.7
8.47.76.6
Stuttgart0.00.30.8
11.812.713.1
Mainz vs HamburgerHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz5.01.30.5
No*0.00.0
7.48.79.5
Hamburger0.10.52.3
10.59.78.4
Bayern Munich vs NuremburgHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Nuremburg0.41.15.0
0.00.0No
9.48.87.6
Wolfsburg vs HoffenheimHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg0.00.51.9
12.213.113.5
Dusseldorf6.06.89.9
14.514.414.4
Augsburg56.661.170.6
16.116.216.4
Hoffenheim85.979.764.4
16.716.616.2
Dusseldorf vs Werder BremenHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Werder BremenNoNo0.0
2.91.10.1
13.913.312.5
Dusseldorf2.78.814.3
14.014.715.1
Augsburg62.860.057.2
16.216.216.1
Hoffenheim80.779.477.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you KevinYoung90 for adding this league.