| Week of 4/20 | 100.0* | Down to League One | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Charlton 2 Wolverhampton 1 | +16.8 | | -0.8 | |
| Huddersfield 3 Millwall 0 | +6.3 | | -0.2 | |
| Derby 3 Peterborough 1 | -4.7 | | +0.1 | |
| Millwall 1 Blackburn 2 | +3.0 | | -0.1 | |
| Watford 4 Blackburn 0 | -1.0 | | +0.1 | |
| Burnley 1 Cardiff 1 | +0.4 | | | |
| Sheff Wed 1 Ipswich 1 | +0.2 | | +0.0 | |
| Brighton 6 Blackpool 1 | -0.1 | | +0.0 | |
| Nottm Forest 0 Barnsley 0 | *+0.1 | | | |
|
| Week of 4/27 | 100.0* | Down to League One | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 2 | +25.1 | | -0.8 | |
| Peterborough 1 Sheff Wed 0 | +10.8 | | -0.2 | |
| Barnsley 2 Hull 0 | +8.7 | | -0.3 | |
| Bristol City 1 Huddersfield 3 | +3.5 | | -0.1 | |
| Millwall 0 Nottm Forest 1 | -0.3 | | | |
| Blackpool 2 Derby 1 | +0.1 | | -0.0 | |
|
| Week of 5/4 | 100.0* | Down to League One | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Brighton 2 Wolverhampton 0 | Yes | | -0.1 | |
| Huddersfield 2 Barnsley 2 | Yes | | -0.1 | |
| Crystal Palace 3 Peterborough 2 | -2.2 | | +0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.