Stourbridge Title Chances 2012-2013Beat Bideford 3-1, title odds up 3.8 to 7.4% 55 points 16-7-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | | Stourbridge 3 Bideford 1 | +1.4 | | +2.5 | | +0.4 | | | Gosport Borough 3 Leamington 0 | +1.2 | | +0.6 | | -0.1 | | | Hemel Hempstead 4 Bedford Town 3 | -0.3 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | Chippenham Town 1 Barwell 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | +0.0 | | | Chesham United 1 Cambridge City 0 | | | +0.2 | | +0.0 | | | Bashley 1 Arlesey Town 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | | Hitchin Town 1 Weymouth 2 | | | -0.2 | | | | | St Albans City 0 St Neots Town 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | | St Neots Town vs Stourbridge | -3.9-2.1+3.5 | | -4.6-1.9+3.9 | | -0.5-0.2+0.4 | | | Leamington vs Bashley | -2.0+1.4+3.5 | | -1.5+1.1+2.6 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | Bedworth United vs Hemel Hempstead | +0.9+0.5-0.6 | | +0.8+0.4-0.5 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | Barwell vs St Albans City | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | Cambridge City vs Gosport Borough | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | Weymouth vs Banbury United | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | | Arlesey Town vs Chippenham Town | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Stourbridge finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 89.1 | % | 91.8 | % | 89 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,633 | | | 86 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 78.7 | | 84.0 | | 79 | 21 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,460 | | | 85 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 70.8 | | 78.1 | | 71 | 29 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 65,148 | | | 84 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 62.6 | | 72.0 | | 63 | 37 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 134,542 | | | 83 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 53.3 | | 65.0 | | 53 | 45 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 296,787 | | | 82 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 43.8 | | 57.9 | | 44 | 53 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 184,923 | | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 43.2 | | 57.4 | | 43 | 54 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 162,686 | | | 81 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 33.7 | | 50.3 | | 34 | 60 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 611,707 | | | 80 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 24.4 | | 43.3 | | 24 | 63 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 667,417 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 25.0 | | 43.7 | | 25 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 169,265 | | | 79 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 16.8 | | 37.6 | | 17 | 64 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 745,069 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 16.2 | | 37.1 | | 16 | 63 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 240,942 | | | 78 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 10.2 | | 32.6 | | 10 | 58 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,212,071 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 10.7 | | 33.0 | | 11 | 61 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,169 | | | 77 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 5.5 | | 29.1 | | 5 | 48 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 874,263 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 5.8 | | 29.4 | | 6 | 51 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 592,181 | | | 76 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 2.8 | | 27.1 | | 3 | 39 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,286,278 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 2.6 | | 26.9 | | 3 | 37 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 284,921 | * | | 75 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1.1 | | 25.8 | | 1 | 25 | 47 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,385,530 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1.2 | | 25.9 | | 1 | 28 | 49 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 322,431 | | | 74 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.4 | | 25.2 | | 0 | 17 | 45 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 892,796 | * | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.4 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 14 | 43 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 739,164 | | | 73 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 24.7 | | 0 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,250,123 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 24.5 | | 0 | 7 | 32 | 41 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 157,681 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 9 | 39 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 122,616 | | | 72 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 23.7 | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 42 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,000,102 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 24.1 | | 0 | 4 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 401,467 | * | | 71 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 22.2 | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 705,167 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 21.5 | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 455,413 | * | | 70 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 18.6 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 752,155 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 18.9 | | | 0 | 7 | 28 | 41 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 194,576 | * | | 69 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 13.5 | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 476,835 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 15.0 | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 40 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 259,255 | * | | 68 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 9.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 338,382 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 8.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 190,497 | * | | 67 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 4.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 285,285 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 5.1 | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 82,880 | * | | 66 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 1.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150,078 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 2.3 | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 93,970 | * | | 65 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 147,437 | * | | 64 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 86,448 | * | | 63 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 47,392 | * | | 62 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 23,477 | * | | 61 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 11,019 | * | | 60 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,755 | * | | 59 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,758 | * | | 58 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 571 | * | | 57 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 29 | 41 | 20 | 3 | | | | | | | | No | 174 | | | 56 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 19 | 22 | 37 | 15 | | | | | | | | No | 27 | | | 55 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 2,069 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 7.4 | % | 27.9 | % | 7 | 27 | 25 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 18,290,992 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |