Blue Square Bet North Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title											Promoted		Chance will finish season at seed																								Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Chester	104		33	-	5	-	3	70	Yes		Yes		100																						1.0		No			1	Chester

Guiseley	91		28	-	7	-	6	40	No		25.0	%		100																					2.0		No			2	Guiseley
Brackley Town	82		25	-	7	-	9	31	No		25.0				100																				3.0		No			3	Brackley Town
Altrincham	77		23	-	8	-	10	43	No		25.0					77	23																		4.2	+0.12	No			5	Altrincham
FC Halifax Town	75		21	-	12	-	8	49	No		25.0					23	77																		4.8	-0.12	No			4	FC Halifax Town

Harrogate Town	66		19	-	9	-	13	21	No		No							52	29	18															6.7		No			7	Harrogate Town
Bradford PA	65		19	-	8	-	14	23	No		No							25	36	39															7.1		No			8	Bradford Park Avenue
Gainsborough	65		18	-	11	-	12	23	No		No							23	34	43															7.2		No			6	Gainsborough Trinity
Solihull Moors	59		17	-	8	-	16	4	No		No										100														9.0	+0.05	No			11	Solihull Moors
Oxford City	54		13	-	15	-	13	5	No		No											60	28	10	1										10.5	+0.19	No			9	Oxford City
Gloucester City	54		16	-	6	-	19	-8	No		No											29	42	23	5										11.0		No			10	Gloucester City
Vauxhall Motors	52		15	-	7	-	19	-7	No		No											9	20	19	21	18	10	3	0						12.6	+0.03	No			14	Vauxhall Motors
Workington	51		16	-	7	-	18	-8	No		No											1	10	20	16	20	21	10	2						13.6	+0.07	No			12	Workington
Worcester City	50		14	-	8	-	19	-4	No		No													15	20	16	20	21	9						14.4	+0.06	No			17	Worcester City
Stortford	50		13	-	11	-	17	-14	No		No													7	17	16	19	25	16						14.9	+0.06	No			13	Bishops Stortford
Boston United	49		14	-	7	-	20	-4	No		No													3	11	16	16	23	29	1					15.4	+0.10	No			16	Boston United
Stalybridge	49		12	-	13	-	16	-8	No		No													2	9	14	14	17	38	4					15.7	-0.54	No			15	Stalybridge Celtic
Colwyn Bay	46		13	-	7	-	21	-22	No		No																	0	5	73	17	5			18.2	-0.03	4.7	%	-0.0	18	Colwyn Bay
Histon	43		11	-	10	-	20	-25	No		No																			11	46	43			19.3		43.3		+0.0	20	Histon

Corby Town	43		12	-	7	-	22	-26	No		No																			11	37	52			19.4		52.0		-0.0	19	Corby Town
Droylsden	22		5	-	7	-	29	-75	No		No																						100		21.0		Yes			21	Droylsden
Hinckley United	7		2	-	4	-	35	-108	No		No																							100	22.0		Yes			22	Hinckley United

Week of 4/13
Altrincham 2 Stortford 1
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Altrincham	+3.4				+0.3
Harrogate Town	-2.1
Stortford					-0.9

Solihull Moors 2 Harrogate Town 0
Tue	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Altrincham	+1.4
Harrogate Town	-2.0				-0.3
Solihull Moors					+0.7

Bradford PA 5 Droylsden 0
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bradford PA	+1.5				+0.4

Bradford PA 2 Altrincham 2
Wed	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Altrincham	+1.0
Bradford PA	-1.2
Gainsborough	No

Boston United 1 FC Halifax Town 2
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Boston United					-0.9

Oxford City 0 Harrogate Town 0
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Altrincham	+0.6
Harrogate Town	-0.9
Oxford City	*No		*No

Harrogate Town 1 FC Halifax Town 1
Thu	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Harrogate Town	-0.7

Colwyn Bay 1 Gainsborough 0
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gainsborough	-0.2				-0.3
Colwyn Bay			-11.1		+0.2
Histon			+2.5
Corby Town			+8.1

Gloucester City 1 Gainsborough 2
Tue	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gloucester City					-0.6

Colwyn Bay 3 Oxford City 1
Thu	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Oxford City					-0.9
Colwyn Bay			-21.0		+0.4
Histon			+5.2		-0.2
Corby Town			+15.3		-0.2

Brackley Town 1 Colwyn Bay 3
Tue	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Colwyn Bay			-18.8		+0.3
Histon			+4.4
Corby Town			+14.2		-0.2

Corby Town 1 Workington 3
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Oxford City			*No
Workington			No		+1.1
Colwyn Bay			-6.4
Corby Town			+7.7		-0.4

Vauxhall Motors 2 Histon 0
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vauxhall Motors					+1.0
Colwyn Bay			-1.7
Histon			+2.8		-0.7

Stortford 0 Worcester City 1
Tue	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Worcester City					+1.2
Stortford			+0.2		-0.9

Stalybridge 4 Gloucester City 0
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gloucester City					-0.4
Stalybridge					+1.1

Worcester City 3 Hinckley United 1
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Worcester City					+1.0

Droylsden 0 Workington 1
Tue	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Workington					+1.2

Solihull Moors 0 Brackley Town 1
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Solihull Moors					-0.5

Week of 4/20
Hinckley United 0 Altrincham 6
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Altrincham	+1.6				+0.2

Stortford 2 Bradford PA 1
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Stortford			No		+0.8

Harrogate Town 0 Stalybridge 0
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Stalybridge					-0.3

Gloucester City 0 Corby Town 1
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gloucester City					-0.7
Stortford			+1.3
Colwyn Bay			+14.2		-0.2
Histon			+10.1		-0.2
Corby Town			-25.7		+0.4

Workington 1 Colwyn Bay 2
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Workington					-1.1
Colwyn Bay			-18.5		+0.6
Histon			+4.7		-0.2
Corby Town			+13.1		-0.2

Bradford PA 1 Colwyn Bay 2
Mon	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bradford PA					-0.4
Colwyn Bay			-17.2		+0.7
Histon			+6.7		-0.2
Corby Town			+10.5		-0.2

Histon 1 Boston United 1
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Boston United					-0.3
Colwyn Bay			-0.1
Histon			+0.8		-0.2
Corby Town			-0.6

Solihull Moors 1 Histon 1
Tue	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Colwyn Bay			+0.5
Histon			-0.5
Corby Town			*+0.1

Hinckley United 1 Stortford 5
Tue	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Stortford					+1.3

Gainsborough 2 Vauxhall Motors 1
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Vauxhall Motors					-1.0

Brackley Town 2 Worcester City 0
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Worcester City					-1.1

Droylsden 1 Oxford City 3
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Oxford City					+1.1

Stalybridge 2 Oxford City 2
Thu	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Oxford City					+0.2
Stalybridge					-0.5

Chester 0 Solihull Moors 1
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Solihull Moors					+0.4

Altrincham 2 FC Halifax Town 0
Tue	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
FC Halifax Town					-0.4

Harrogate Town 1 Guiseley 2
Tue	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Harrogate Town					-0.3

Week of 4/27
Corby Town vs GainsboroughIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gainsborough					7.87.26.6
Colwyn Bay			12.7NoNo		18.418.118.1
Histon			74.137.116.9		19.719.219.0
Corby Town			13.362.983.1		18.819.619.8

Bradford PA vs HistonHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bradford PA					6.57.07.8
Colwyn Bay			NoNo12.7		18.118.118.4
Histon			79.937.111.1		19.819.418.8
Corby Town			20.162.976.2		19.119.519.7

Colwyn Bay vs Gloucester CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gloucester City					11.711.010.4
Colwyn Bay			NoNo12.7		17.818.018.7
Histon			45.545.539.7		19.519.519.1
Corby Town			54.554.547.7		19.519.519.2

Vauxhall Motors vs Harrogate TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Harrogate Town					7.36.76.0
Vauxhall Motors					11.012.914.1

Stalybridge vs FC Halifax TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Stalybridge					14.016.017.0

Oxford City vs StortfordHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Oxford City					10.010.411.1
Stortford					16.215.213.3

Worcester City vs ChesterHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Worcester City					12.814.715.8

Solihull Moors vs WorkingtonHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Workington					14.914.111.9

Boston United vs Brackley TownHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Boston United					13.815.616.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Blue Square Bet North Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50

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