"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Chesham United 1 Cambridge City 0 -0.3
-2.8
-0.7
Gosport Borough 3 Leamington 0 +0.2
-0.4
-0.1
Stourbridge 3 Bideford 1 -0.3
-0.0
Chippenham Town 1 Barwell 1 +0.2
+0.0
Bashley 1 Arlesey Town 0 +0.2
+0.1
Hitchin Town 1 Weymouth 2 -0.2
-0.1
St Albans City 0 St Neots Town 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Cambridge City vs Gosport Borough+0.3-0.1-0.2
+3.7-0.5-2.4
+0.9-0.1-0.6
Leamington vs Bashley-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bedworth United vs Hemel Hempstead+0.3+0.1-0.2
St Neots Town vs Stourbridge+0.3+0.1-0.2
Barwell vs St Albans City-0.4+0.2+0.5
Weymouth vs Banbury United-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bedford Town vs Chesham United-0.1+0.2-0.0
Arlesey Town vs Chippenham Town-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cambridge City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
8412-0-075.3%81.5%75250No2,701
8211-1-052.064.0524530No4,374
8111-0-137.953.4385480No6,588
8010-2-030.147.63057131No13,223
7910-1-118.038.518552430No39,818
7810-0-210.532.9114933700No54,310*
779-2-15.529.1539411310No111,039
769-1-22.226.6226432450No195,599*
758-3-10.825.311639331010No264,702*
748-2-20.224.308304019300No431,967*
738-1-30.022.603183931910No394,321
7-4-10.123.204214028700No202,027
727-3-20.020.40110323817200No751,299*
717-2-30.016.6004224028500No1,012,731*
707-1-4No11.50111343913100No616,671
6-4-2No12.60213363711100No570,241*
696-3-3No7.60052543224000No1,082,665
7-0-5No7.3005244323400No260,552*
686-2-4No3.800213393411100No1,160,959
5-5-2No4.40021541329100No367,977*
675-4-3No1.80073039194000No876,929
6-1-5No1.5006294021500No692,483*
665-3-4No0.500217383011200No1,245,474
4-6-2No0.500218383010200No320,037*
655-2-5No0.10082837215100No1,054,276
4-5-3No0.20193037194000No477,110*
644-4-4No0.000317353012200No832,107
5-1-6No0.000316343113200No543,850*
634-3-5No0.000182535237100No933,724
3-6-3No0.00182636237100No266,248*
624-2-6No0.0002133133164000No649,047
3-5-4NoNo00315323215300No361,855*
613-4-5NoNo00162135279100No492,100
4-1-7NoNo01520342810200No293,391*
603-3-6NoNo00210283520500No593,671*
593-2-7NoNo00316333213200No267,859
2-5-5NoNo00418353011200No160,525*
582-4-6NoNo0017243724710No283,385*
572-3-7NoNo00212323516300No179,689*
562-2-8NoNo005213728810No108,765*
551-4-7NoNo00110303718300No59,192*
540-6-6NoNo04183731810No6,041*
531-2-9NoNo018294019300No14,481*
520-4-8NoNo0021638321010No5,780*
511-0-11NoNo1725352560No347
500-2-10NoNo02173334122No703
490-1-11NoNo527352751No168
480-0-12NoNo212323516300.2%2,085
441-3-8NoNo003183831810No24,138
410-3-9NoNo1730372040No1,768
Total:0.2%6.0%014711171714118532100000000.0%18,290,992

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship