Bashley Title Chances 2012-2013Beat Arlesey Town 1-0, title odds unchanged at 0.0001% 35 points 10-5-14 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | | Bashley 1 Arlesey Town 0 | | | -3.1 | | +0.8 | | | Hitchin Town 1 Weymouth 2 | | | -0.3 | | +0.1 | | | Redditch United 2 Frome Town 1 | | | -0.2 | | | | | Stourbridge 3 Bideford 1 | | | | | +0.0 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | | Leamington vs Bashley | No*No+0.0 | | +0.8-0.3-1.5 | | -0.4+0.0+0.9 | | | Bedworth United vs Hemel Hempstead | | | +0.5+0.0-0.2 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | | | Frome Town vs Hitchin Town | | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | | Arlesey Town vs Chippenham Town | | | -0.2*+0.0+0.3 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | AFC Totton vs Redditch United | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | Kettering Town vs Bideford | | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Weymouth vs Banbury United | | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bashley finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 74 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.2 | % | 25.7 | % | 1 | 24 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,071 | | | 72 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 20.0 | | | 3 | 31 | 26 | 23 | 11 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35 | | | 71 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 18.9 | | | | 5 | 36 | 38 | 16 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 74 | | | 70 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 14.4 | | | | 2 | 16 | 40 | 28 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 167 | | | 69 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 9.2 | | | | 1 | 7 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 688 | | | 68 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 5.2 | | | | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,236 | * | | 67 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 2.3 | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,146 | | | 66 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0.7 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,104 | * | | 65 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,943 | * | | 64 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,644 | * | | 63 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 44,301 | * | | 62 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 70,707 | * | | 61 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 123,166 | * | | 60 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 188,764 | * | | 59 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 273,546 | * | | 58 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 409,643 | * | | 57 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 550,906 | * | | 56 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 714,457 | * | | 55 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 929,677 | * | | 54 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 670,983 | * | | 53 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 1,276,094 | * | | 52 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 961,295 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 488,345 | * | | 51 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 991,992 | * | | 50 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 367,436 | * | | 49 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 564,425 | * | | 48 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 74,860 | * | | 47 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 303,255 | * | | 46 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | | 0.3 | | 13,789 | * | | 45 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 1 | | 1.4 | | 42,230 | * | | 44 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | | 0.6 | | 486,792 | * | | 43 | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 34 | 9 | | 9.2 | | 3,676 | | | 41 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | | 1.4 | | 554,239 | * | | 40 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 1,186,550 | | | 39 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 982,833 | | | 38 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 875,015 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | | 0.8 | | 476,178 | * | | 37 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 961,986 | | | 36 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 1 | | 0.5 | | 691,211 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 385,024 | | | 35 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | | 2.0 | | 821,005 | * | | 34 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 39 | 24 | 5 | | 4.7 | | 594,767 | * | | 33 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 35 | 11 | 0 | 10.8 | | 472,251 | * | | 32 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 0 | 20.8 | | 312,363 | * | | 31 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 45 | 34 | 0 | 33.7 | | 171,589 | * | | 30 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 49 | | 49.2 | | 112,651 | * | | 29 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 31 | 64 | 0 | 64.3 | | 57,451 | * | | 28 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 0 | 76.2 | | 20,569 | | | 27 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 86 | | 86.4 | | 10,524 | | | 26 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 0 | 93.1 | | 3,339 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | % | 18,290,992 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |