Arlesey Town Title Chances 2012-2013Lost to Bashley 0-1, title odds down 0.03 to 0.02% 41 points 12-5-11 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | | Bashley 1 Arlesey Town 0 | -1.4 | | -0.8 | | | Gosport Borough 3 Leamington 0 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | Hemel Hempstead 4 Bedford Town 3 | | | +0.0 | | | Stourbridge 3 Bideford 1 | -0.1 | | | | | Chippenham Town 1 Barwell 1 | +0.1 | | | | | Chesham United 1 Cambridge City 0 | +0.1 | | | | | Hitchin Town 1 Weymouth 2 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | St Albans City 0 St Neots Town 1 | +0.1 | | | | | Kettering Town 1 AFC Totton 1 | | | +0.0 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | | Arlesey Town vs Chippenham Town | +0.7-0.4-0.8 | | +0.7-0.3-0.9 | | | Bedworth United vs Hemel Hempstead | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | | | | St Neots Town vs Stourbridge | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | Barwell vs St Albans City | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | Cambridge City vs Gosport Borough | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | Weymouth vs Banbury United | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | | Bedford Town vs Chesham United | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | AFC Totton vs Redditch United | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Arlesey Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 53.5 | % | 65.1 | % | 53 | 45 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,140 | | | 81 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 33.3 | | 49.9 | | 33 | 60 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 523 | | | 80 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 22.3 | | 41.6 | | 22 | 59 | 18 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 791 | | | 79 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 16.4 | | 37.3 | | 16 | 60 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,994 | | | 78 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 8.7 | | 31.5 | | 9 | 51 | 33 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,921 | | | 77 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 4.7 | | 28.5 | | 5 | 40 | 41 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,115 | * | | 76 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2.0 | | 26.4 | | 2 | 29 | 44 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,322 | | | 75 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.7 | | 25.3 | | 1 | 17 | 40 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,887 | * | | 74 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.2 | | 24.5 | | 0 | 9 | 32 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,933 | * | | 73 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 23.2 | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,149 | * | | 72 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 20.7 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 170,949 | * | | 71 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 17.1 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 39 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 246,857 | * | | 70 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 12.3 | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 373,375 | * | | 69 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 7.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 496,925 | * | | 68 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 3.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 648,166 | * | | 67 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 1.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 839,896 | * | | 66 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 994,937 | * | | 65 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,163,051 | * | | 64 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,317,370 | * | | 63 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 903,248 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 493,368 | * | | 62 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,453,770 | * | | 61 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 822,609 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 637,411 | * | | 60 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,382,176 | * | | 59 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,279,526 | * | | 58 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 621,391 | * | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 518,013 | | | 57 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 959,001 | * | | 56 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 782,772 | * | | 55 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 612,337 | * | | 54 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 352,618 | * | | 53 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 324,465 | * | | 52 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 219,629 | * | | 51 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 106,703 | * | | 50 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 23,513 | * | | 49 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 21,830 | * | | 48 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 1 | | | No | 1,469 | | | 47 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | 0.3 | | 2,782 | * | | 44 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 100,393 | * | | 41 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | | 3.4 | | 34,948 | * | | 40 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | No | 61,219 | | | 39 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | No | 27,237 | | | 38 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 24,175 | * | | 37 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 9,963 | | | 36 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 1 | | 1.5 | | 5,826 | * | | 35 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 23 | 5 | | 4.8 | | 2,281 | * | | 34 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 14 | 38 | 35 | 10 | | 10.3 | | 697 | | | 33 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 28 | 49 | 17 | | 16.9 | | 255 | | | 32 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 17 | 39 | 42 | | 42.4 | | 66 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 1.5 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 18,290,992 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |