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Eastern Conference Playoff Chances 2012-2013-realign
Next year the NHL and its players are discussing a realignment.
The teams would shuffle around to be geographically closer, and the playoff seeding would change.
The current and proposed setups both have 2 conferences, each sending 8 teams to the playoffs.
But for each conference:
Current: 3 divisions, division winners + 5 next best conference wide make the playoffs.
The first round series are between the 1-8, 2-7, 3-6, and 4-5 seeds.
In the second round the best and worst remaining teams play, and the 2 middle teams play.
Proposed: 2 divisions, top 3 from each + 2 next best conference wide make the playoffs.
Each division's 2 and 3 seeds meet the first round.
The 1 seeds play a wildcard, with the best 1 seed (1a) playing the worst wildcard (WCa).
In the second round the 1-WC winner plays the 2-3 winner from the same division as the 1 seed.
Except for the wildcards, each division is having its own mini playoffs.
So, I show the 1, 2, and 3 division seeds below, plus the remaining conference seeds vying for the 2 wildcards.
The 1 seed is broken down to show which wildcard they would play.
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance will make playoffs | Win Cup | Pres Trophy | Division seed | Conference seed (wildcard race) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Saturday | P | G | W | L | - | OT | GD | % | Change | % | Change | % | Change | 1a | 1b | 2 | 3 | WCb | WCa | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | RPI | Strength | |||||||||
| Pittsburgh | W | Carolina 8-3 | 72 | 36 | 12 | - | 0 | 46 | In | 18.4 | % | +2.5 | No | 100 | 1 | .656 | Pittsburgh Penguins | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Montreal | W | Toronto 4-1 | 63 | 29 | 14 | - | 5 | 23 | In | 5.2 | +1.4 | No | 100 | 5 | .586 | Montreal Canadiens | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Boston | W | Tampa Bay 2-0 L Washington 2-3 (ot) | 62 | 28 | 14 | - | 6 | 22 | In | 4.9 | -2.1 | No | 100 | 6 | .589 | Boston Bruins | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Washington | W | Boston 3-2 (ot) | 57 | 27 | 18 | - | 3 | 19 | In | 2.6 | +0.0 | No | 100 | 10 | .563 | Washington Capitals | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Toronto | L | Montreal 1-4 | 57 | 26 | 17 | - | 5 | 12 | In | 2.5 | -0.8 | No | 100 | 9 | .567 | Toronto Maple Leafs | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| NY Rangers | W | New Jersey 4-0 | 56 | 26 | 18 | - | 4 | 18 | In | +21.9 | 3.1 | +1.3 | No | 100 | 8 | .577 | New York Rangers | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Detroit | W | Dallas 3-0 | 56 | 24 | 16 | - | 8 | 9 | In | +34.8 | 1.6 | +0.9 | No | 100 | 16 | .553 | Detroit Red Wings | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Ottawa | L | Philadelphia 1-2 | 56 | 25 | 17 | - | 6 | 12 | In | +12.7 | 1.5 | +0.1 | No | 100 | 12 | .556 | Ottawa Senators | |||||||||||||||||||||
| NY Islanders | 55 | 24 | 17 | - | 7 | 0 | Out | -59.6 | No | -0.3 | No | 100 | 15 | .502 | New York Islanders | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Columbus | W | Nashville 3-1 | 55 | 24 | 17 | - | 7 | 1 | Out | -9.8 | No | -0.0 | No | 100 | 17 | .506 | Columbus Blue Jackets | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Philadelphia | W | Ottawa 2-1 | 49 | 23 | 22 | - | 3 | -8 | Out | No | No | 100 | 18 | .480 | Philadelphia Flyers | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| New Jersey | L | NY Rangers 0-4 | 48 | 19 | 19 | - | 10 | -17 | Out | No | No | 100 | 23 | .458 | New Jersey Devils | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Buffalo | 48 | 21 | 21 | - | 6 | -18 | Out | No | No | 100 | 21 | .427 | Buffalo Sabres | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Carolina | L | Pittsburgh 3-8 | 42 | 19 | 25 | - | 4 | -32 | Out | No | No | 100 | 25 | .394 | Carolina Hurricanes | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tampa Bay | L | Boston 0-2 L Florida 3-5 | 40 | 18 | 26 | - | 4 | -2 | Out | No | No | 100 | 27 | .506 | Tampa Bay Lightning | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Florida | W | Tampa Bay 5-3 | 36 | 15 | 27 | - | 6 | -59 | Out | No | No | 100 | 30 | .299 | Florida Panthers | |||||||||||||||||||||||
We use the real NHL tiebreakers.
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Thursday | ||||
| Carolina 3 NY Rangers 4 (ot) | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Stanley Cup | |
| Washington | -1.5 | -0.2 | ||
| Toronto | -0.3 | |||
| NY Rangers | +19.7 | +0.5 | ||
| Detroit | -7.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Ottawa | -3.0 | -0.1 | ||
| NY Islanders | -3.9 | |||
| Columbus | -3.9 | |||
| Philadelphia 2 NY Islanders 1 | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Stanley Cup | |
| Washington | +0.9 | |||
| Toronto | +0.1 | |||
| NY Rangers | +4.9 | +0.2 | ||
| Detroit | +6.9 | +0.1 | ||
| Ottawa | +2.7 | |||
| NY Islanders | -18.2 | -0.2 | ||
| Columbus | +2.6 | |||
| Detroit 5 Nashville 2 | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Stanley Cup | |
| Washington | -1.2 | |||
| Toronto | -0.2 | |||
| NY Rangers | -6.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Detroit | +16.9 | +0.2 | ||
| Ottawa | -2.7 | -0.1 | ||
| NY Islanders | -3.7 | |||
| Columbus | -2.9 | |||
| Dallas 1 Columbus 3 | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Stanley Cup | |
| Pittsburgh | +0.3 | |||
| Washington | -1.7 | -0.1 | ||
| NY Rangers | -6.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Detroit | -4.7 | |||
| Ottawa | -1.5 | |||
| NY Islanders | -1.3 | |||
| Columbus | +15.6 | +0.1 | ||
| Washington 1 Ottawa 2 (ot) | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Stanley Cup | |
| Washington | +0.9 | *-0.1 | ||
| NY Rangers | -2.7 | *-0.1 | ||
| Detroit | -4.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Ottawa | +9.6 | +0.2 | ||
| NY Islanders | -0.9 | |||
| Columbus | -2.9 | |||
| Florida 0 Toronto 4 | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Stanley Cup | |
| Toronto | In | +0.1 | ||
| Detroit | *-0.1 | |||
| Ottawa | -0.1 | |||
| NY Islanders | -0.2 | |||
| Winnipeg 2 Montreal 4 | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Stanley Cup | |
| Montreal | +0.1 | |||
| Boston | -0.1 | |||
| Toronto | -0.1 | |||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
First Round Opponents
Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs. Explain
| Pittsburgh | Montreal | Boston | Washington | Toronto | NY Rangers | Detroit | Ottawa | NY Islanders | Columbus | ||
| Pittsburgh | No | No | Yes | No | No | ||||||
| Montreal | No | No | Yes | No | No | No | |||||
| Boston | Yes | No | No | No | No | No | |||||
| Washington | Yes | No | |||||||||
| Toronto | No | Yes | |||||||||
| NY Rangers | No | No | No | Yes | |||||||
| Detroit | No | Yes | No | ||||||||
| Ottawa | Yes | No | No | ||||||||
| NY Islanders | No | No | No | No | |||||||
| Columbus | No | No | No | ||||||||