National Hockey League Playoff Chances 2012-2013-realign

Next year the NHL and its players are discussing a realignment.
The teams would shuffle around to be geographically closer, and the playoff seeding would change.

The current and proposed setups both have 2 conferences, each sending 8 teams to the playoffs.
But for each conference:

Current: 3 divisions, division winners + 5 next best conference wide make the playoffs.
The first round series are between the 1-8, 2-7, 3-6, and 4-5 seeds.
In the second round the best and worst remaining teams play, and the 2 middle teams play.

Proposed: 2 divisions, top 3 from each + 2 next best conference wide make the playoffs.
Each division's 2 and 3 seeds meet the first round.
The 1 seeds play a wildcard, with the best 1 seed (1a) playing the worst wildcard (WCa).
In the second round the 1-WC winner plays the 2-3 winner from the same division as the 1 seed.
Except for the wildcards, each division is having its own mini playoffs.

So, I show the 1, 2, and 3 division seeds below, plus the remaining conference seeds vying for the 2 wildcards.
The 1 seed is broken down to show which wildcard they would play.

																			100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Win Cup			Pres Trophy		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
	Saturday		P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		%	Change	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	RPI	Strength

Chicago	L	St. Louis 1-3	77		36	7		-	5	53	In			45.5	%	-3.2	Yes		100														2	.697	Chicago Blackhawks
Pittsburgh	W	Carolina 8-3	72		36	12		-	0	46	In			18.4		+2.5	No		100														1	.656	Pittsburgh Penguins
Anaheim	L	Phoenix 3-5	66		30	12		-	6	22	In			5.5		-0.3	No			100													3	.578	Anaheim Ducks
Montreal	W	Toronto 4-1	63		29	14		-	5	23	In			5.2		+1.4	No			100													5	.586	Montreal Canadiens
Boston	W	Tampa Bay 2-0 L Washington 2-3 (ot)	62		28	14		-	6	22	In			4.9		-2.1	No				100												6	.589	Boston Bruins
St. Louis	W	Chicago 3-1	60		29	17		-	2	14	In			2.8		+0.6	No				100												4	.545	St. Louis Blues
Los Angeles	W	San Jose 3-2	59		27	16		-	5	15	In			3.8		+1.0	No				100												7	.571	Los Angeles Kings
Washington	W	Boston 3-2 (ot)	57		27	18		-	3	19	In			2.6		+0.0	No				100												10	.563	Washington Capitals
Vancouver	L	Edmonton 2-7	59		26	15		-	7	6	In			1.3		-1.2	No					100											13	.533	Vancouver Canucks
Toronto	L	Montreal 1-4	57		26	17		-	5	12	In			2.5		-0.8	No					100											9	.567	Toronto Maple Leafs
NY Rangers	W	New Jersey 4-0	56		26	18		-	4	18	In		+21.9	3.1		+1.3	No					100											8	.577	New York Rangers
Minnesota	W	Colorado 3-1	55		26	19		-	3	-5	In			0.3		+0.1	No					100											14	.478	Minnesota Wild
San Jose	L	Los Angeles 2-3	57		25	16		-	7	8	In			0.8		-0.1	No						100										11	.522	San Jose Sharks
Detroit	W	Dallas 3-0	56		24	16		-	8	9	In		+34.8	1.6		+0.9	No						100										16	.553	Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa	L	Philadelphia 1-2	56		25	17		-	6	12	In		+12.7	1.5		+0.1	No							100									12	.556	Ottawa Senators
Winnipeg			51		24	21		-	3	-16	In			0.1		+0.0	No							100									19	.450	Winnipeg Jets
NY Islanders			55		24	17		-	7	0	Out		-59.6	No		-0.3	No								100								15	.502	New York Islanders
Phoenix	W	Anaheim 5-3	51		21	18		-	9	-6	Out			No			No								100								22	.490	Phoenix Coyotes
Columbus	W	Nashville 3-1	55		24	17		-	7	1	Out		-9.8	No		-0.0	No									100							17	.506	Columbus Blue Jackets
Dallas	L	Detroit 0-3	48		22	22		-	4	-12	Out			No			No									100							20	.458	Dallas Stars
Philadelphia	W	Ottawa 2-1	49		23	22		-	3	-8	Out			No			No										100						18	.480	Philadelphia Flyers
Edmonton	W	Vancouver 7-2	45		19	22		-	7	-9	Out			No			No										100						24	.475	Edmonton Oilers
New Jersey	L	NY Rangers 0-4	48		19	19		-	10	-17	Out			No			No											100					23	.458	New Jersey Devils
Calgary			42		19	25		-	4	-32	Out			No			No											100					26	.404	Calgary Flames
Buffalo			48		21	21		-	6	-18	Out			No			No												100				21	.427	Buffalo Sabres
Nashville	L	Columbus 1-3	41		16	23		-	9	-28	Out			No			No												100				28	.413	Nashville Predators
Carolina	L	Pittsburgh 3-8	42		19	25		-	4	-32	Out			No			No													100			25	.394	Carolina Hurricanes
Colorado	L	Minnesota 1-3	39		16	25		-	7	-36	Out			No			No													100			29	.375	Colorado Avalanche
Tampa Bay	L	Boston 0-2 L Florida 3-5	40		18	26		-	4	-2	Out			No			No														100		27	.506	Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida	W	Tampa Bay 5-3	36		15	27		-	6	-59	Out			No			No															100	30	.299	Florida Panthers

Big Games

Thursday
Dallas 1 Columbus 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Pittsburgh			+0.3
Anaheim			-0.1
Washington	-1.7		-0.1
NY Rangers	-6.4		-0.1
Detroit	-4.7
Ottawa	-1.5
Winnipeg	+12.1
NY Islanders	-1.3
Phoenix	+2.7
Columbus	+15.6		+0.1
Dallas	Out		No

Winnipeg 2 Montreal 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Chicago			-0.2
Montreal			+0.1
Boston			-0.1
Toronto			-0.1
Winnipeg	-22.7
Phoenix	+9.3
Dallas	+13.4

Carolina 3 NY Rangers 4 (ot)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Washington	-1.5		-0.2
Toronto	-0.3
NY Rangers	+19.7		+0.5
Detroit	-7.1		-0.1
Ottawa	-3.0		-0.1
NY Islanders	-3.9
Columbus	-3.9

Philadelphia 2 NY Islanders 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Washington	+0.9
Toronto	+0.1
NY Rangers	+4.9		+0.2
Detroit	+6.9		+0.1
Ottawa	+2.7
NY Islanders	-18.2		-0.2
Columbus	+2.6

Detroit 5 Nashville 2
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Washington	-1.2
Toronto	-0.2
NY Rangers	-6.3		-0.1
Detroit	+16.9		+0.2
Ottawa	-2.7		-0.1
NY Islanders	-3.7
Columbus	-2.9

Washington 1 Ottawa 2 (ot)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Washington	+0.9		*-0.1
NY Rangers	-2.7		*-0.1
Detroit	-4.1		-0.1
Ottawa	+9.6		+0.2
NY Islanders	-0.9
Columbus	-2.9

Florida 0 Toronto 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Toronto	In		+0.1
Detroit	*-0.1
Ottawa	-0.1
NY Islanders	-0.2

Vancouver 1 Anaheim 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Vancouver			-0.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.