Sydney Swans Playoff Chances 2011 50/50Did not play, playoff odds up 0.6 to 66.6% 30 points 7-1-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 7/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | | Crows 57 Swans 50 | -9.0 | | -0.7 | | | Tigers 81 Blues 184 | +1.4 | | | | | Bombers 115 Cats 111 | -1.2 | | -0.1 | | | Dockers 112 Suns 62 | -1.1 | | -0.1 | | | Kangaroos 70 Saints 79 | +0.5 | | +0.0 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 7/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | | Suns vs Swans | -10.9+1.5+10.8 | | -0.7+0.1+0.7 | | | Power vs Saints | +1.5+0.6-1.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Bulldogs vs Blues | -1.5+0.6+1.4 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | Magpies vs Kangaroos | +1.4+0.9-1.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | Eagles vs Cats | -0.4*+0.1+0.4 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | Hawks vs Lions | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Swans finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 2 | 19 | 47 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 33,112 | | | 60 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 6 | 36 | 44 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 13,260 | | | 58 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 2 | 20 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 254,068 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 1 | 20 | 47 | 28 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,446 | | | 56 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | | 0 | 9 | 38 | 41 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 93,505 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | | | 7 | 43 | 40 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 276 | | | 54 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 46 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 888,300 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 46 | 29 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 14,655 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | | | 4 | 21 | 46 | 29 | | | | | | | | | | | | 24 | | | 52 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 280,740 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | | | 0 | 9 | 39 | 44 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,255 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | | 50 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.8 | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,776,068 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 36,930 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 98.3 | | | | | 5 | 17 | 51 | 22 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | | | | 59 | | | 48 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 98.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 468,222 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.1 | | | | | 0 | 8 | 40 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2,597 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | | | | | | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | | 46 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 88.1 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 40 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 2,221,147 | | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 89.5 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 49,157 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 92.5 | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 42 | 33 | 5 | 2 | | | | | | | | 93 | | | 44 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 64.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 467,659 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 64.9 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 2,625 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 1 | | | 42 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 26.2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1,775,924 | | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 26.5 | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 36,853 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 24.2 | | | | | | | | 5 | 19 | 42 | 19 | 15 | | | | | | | 62 | | | 40 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 6.2 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | 279,962 | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 7.8 | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | 1,221 | | | 38 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.5 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | 888,030 | | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.5 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | 14,726 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 6 | 31 | 19 | 44 | | | | | | 16 | | | 36 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 93,484 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 31 | 8 | 0 | | | 241 | | | 34 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 254,048 | | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | 2,466 | | | 32 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 7 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 13,485 | | | 30 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 8 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 33,278 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 66.6 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10,000,000 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |