SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dockers 112 Suns 62 *In
Tigers 81 Blues 184 *In
Bombers 115 Cats 111 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Eagles vs Cats-0.2+0.1+0.2
Magpies vs Kangaroos-0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cats finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234567891011121314151617Count
82-84In10046,520*
807-0-1In1000253,499
6-2-0In10002,603
786-1-1In99193,863
5-3-0In100219
766-0-2In964888,676
5-2-1In97314,558
4-4-0In1009
745-1-2In946279,481
4-3-1In9551,305
3-5-0In1001
725-0-3In8416001,776,520
4-2-2In8614036,970
3-4-1In841662
704-1-3In762400467,687
3-3-2In792102,515
2-5-1In1001
684-0-4In5940202,220,745
3-2-3In60391049,381
2-4-2In60391118
663-1-4In4551400467,675
2-3-3In4749402,607
1-5-2In1002
643-0-5In265914101,776,750
2-2-4In2660141036,686
1-4-3In21601958
622-1-5In14582530279,996
1-3-4In16572331,256
0-5-3In1001
602-0-6In542401210889,208
1-2-5In5434012114,783
0-4-4In543331921
581-1-6In126452440093,473
0-3-5In22841246270
561-0-7In01136381410253,451
0-2-6In0936381512,521
540-1-7In0318413260013,411
520-0-8In062844192033,098
Total:In553393100010,000,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:25 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)