Australian Football League Playoff Chances 2011

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Cats	52		13	-	0	-	1	416	In			56	42	2	0	0	0	0	0										1.5	-0.08	1	.823	Geelong Cats
Magpies	48	1	12	-	0	-	1	623	100.0	%	+0.0	43	53	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0								1.6	+0.24	2	.812	Collingwood Magpies
Hawks	40		10	-	0	-	4	325	100.0		-0.0	0	1	44	35	18	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					3.7	-0.34	3	.662	Hawthorn Hawks
Blues	42		10	-	1	-	3	405	100.0		+0.0	0	3	37	32	25	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					3.9	+0.12	4	.689	Carlton Blues
Eagles	36	1	9	-	0	-	4	259	99.7		-0.1	0	1	14	31	44	8	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0				4.5	+0.05	5	.642	West Coast Eagles
Swans	30		7	-	1	-	6	28	83.4		-1.2		0	0	1	6	37	25	14	8	5	3	1	0	0	0	0		7.1	-0.05	6	.527	Sydney Swans
Dockers	32		8	-	0	-	6	-28	78.7		+0.6		0	0	1	5	30	27	16	9	6	3	2	1	0	0			7.4	+0.04	9	.554	Fremantle Dockers
Tigers	26		6	-	1	-	7	-159	40.7		+1.2			0	0	1	7	14	19	17	14	11	8	6	2	0	0		9.3	+0.02	11	.473	Richmond Tigers

Bombers	26		6	-	1	-	7	98	34.4		+2.0		0	0	0	1	6	12	16	17	16	13	10	7	3	0	0	0	9.5	+0.03	8	.473	Essendon Bombers
Saints	22	1	5	-	1	-	7	-78	22.1		+12.1			0	0	0	4	7	11	14	16	16	14	11	6	1	0	0	10.3	+1.19	7	.443	St. Kilda Saints
Bulldogs	24		6	-	0	-	8	-55	16.4		+1.3			0	0	0	2	5	9	12	15	17	18	16	5	0	0	0	10.7	+0.05	12	.446	Western Bulldogs
Kangaroos	24		6	-	0	-	8	58	15.5		-17.0			0	0	0	2	5	9	12	15	16	18	17	6	1	0	0	10.8	-1.16	13	.446	North Melbourne Kangaroos
Demons	22		5	-	1	-	8	-67	8.6		+1.0			0	0	0	1	2	6	9	12	17	21	23	9	1	0	0	11.4	+0.05	10	.419	Melbourne Demons
Crows	16		4	-	0	-	10	-307	0.6		+0.0					0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	16	48	15	4	1	13.7	-0.16	14	.338	Adelaide Crows
Lions	12		3	-	0	-	11	-289	0.0								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	14	45	27	11	15.3	+0.65	17	.284	Brisbane Lions
Suns	8	1	2	-	0	-	11	-751	0.0		+0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	26	39	31	16.0	-0.05	16	.245	Gold Coast Suns
Power	8		2	-	0	-	12	-478	0.0		-0.0							0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	11	29	57	16.4	-0.59	15	.231	Port Adelaide Power

Week of 7/1
Bombers 115 Cats 111
7:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	-1.0
Dockers	-2.7
Tigers	-3.3
Bombers	+13.7		+1.0
Saints	-1.5		-0.2
Bulldogs	-1.8		-0.2
Kangaroos	-2.6		-0.2
Demons	-0.7		-0.2

Kangaroos 70 Saints 79
4:40 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	+0.5
Dockers	+0.8
Tigers	+1.2
Bombers	+2.0
Saints	+6.9		+0.8
Bulldogs	+0.5
Kangaroos	-12.6		-0.8
Demons	+0.5

Bulldogs 127 Demons 63
7:40 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	+0.2
Dockers	+1.6
Tigers	+0.8
Bombers	+0.8
Saints	+0.2
Bulldogs	+5.1		+0.7
Kangaroos	+0.8
Demons	-9.6		-0.7

Tigers 81 Blues 184
2:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues	+0.2		+0.2
Swans	+0.4
Dockers	+1.6
Tigers	-7.7		-0.3
Bombers	+0.9
Saints	+0.7
Bulldogs	+1.3
Kangaroos	+1.9
Demons	+0.7

Crows 57 Swans 50
7:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	-5.8		-0.5
Dockers	+1.1
Tigers	+0.7
Bombers	+0.8
Saints	+0.8
Bulldogs	+0.8
Kangaroos	+1.0
Demons	+0.3
Crows	+0.2		+0.6

Dockers 112 Suns 62
1:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	-0.2
Dockers	+5.5		+0.3
Tigers	-1.4		-0.1
Bombers	-0.6
Saints	-0.6
Bulldogs	-0.8
Kangaroos	-1.2
Demons	-0.5
Suns			-0.1
Power			+0.1

Lions 99 Power 88
1:10 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Lions			+0.4
Power			-0.5

Magpies 106 Hawks 65
2:10 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Magpies	In		+0.2
Hawks			-0.2

Week of 7/8
Bombers vs TigersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tigers	23.243.358.1		10.19.18.4
Bombers	51.530.217.6		8.79.710.4
Saints	21.722.922.4

Magpies vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Magpies	In*In100.0		1.61.71.8
Swans	83.7*83.581.7		7.1*7.17.2
Dockers	79.278.276.5		7.37.47.4
Tigers	41.340.237.9		9.29.39.4
Bombers	35.132.431.2		9.59.79.7
Saints	22.421.720.3		10.310.410.5
Bulldogs	16.615.915.0		10.710.710.8
Kangaroos	12.620.230.0		11.010.49.8
Demons	8.87.87.3		11.411.511.6

Bulldogs vs BluesHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blues			4.34.03.8
Eagles			4.44.54.6
Swans	81.7*83.584.0
Dockers	77.177.879.4
Tigers	37.839.241.8		9.49.49.2
Bombers	32.3*34.535.2		9.79.69.5
Saints	20.4*22.322.7		10.510.310.3
Bulldogs	29.019.411.7		9.810.411.0
Kangaroos	14.3*15.315.9		10.910.810.8
Demons	7.57.89.0		11.511.511.3

Suns vs SwansHomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	70.580.387.3		7.87.36.9
Dockers	80.379.378.3		7.27.37.4
Tigers	43.141.940.0		9.29.29.3
Bombers	36.935.333.7		9.49.59.6
Saints	24.2*22.221.5		10.310.310.4
Bulldogs	18.2*16.415.8		10.6*10.710.7
Kangaroos	16.9*15.415.1		10.710.810.8
Demons	9.59.08.3
Suns			15.615.916.1

Power vs SaintsHomeDrawAway
2:40 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Swans	85.184.482.7		7.07.17.1
Dockers	80.779.078.0		7.3*7.37.4
Tigers	43.241.939.7		9.19.29.3
Bombers	36.0*34.633.9		9.49.59.6
Saints	10.417.926.6		11.310.610.0
Bulldogs	17.816.715.8		10.510.710.7
Kangaroos	16.715.715.0		10.710.810.9
Demons	9.89.48.1		11.311.311.4
Suns			16.116.115.9
Power	0.0*OutOut		16.016.216.5

Eagles vs CatsHomeDrawAway
6:40 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats			1.61.51.4
Eagles	99.999.899.6		4.14.44.7

Hawks vs LionsHomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hawks			3.73.94.1
Lions			15.415.214.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Australian Football League Playoff Chances 2011

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