Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change1234567891011121314151617Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Cats5213-0-1416In56422000001.5-0.081.823Geelong Cats
Magpies48112-0-1623100.0%+0.04353300000001.6+0.242.812Collingwood Magpies
Hawks4010-0-4325100.0-0.001443518200000003.7-0.343.662Hawthorn Hawks
Blues4210-1-3405100.0+0.003373225300000003.9+0.124.689Carlton Blues
Eagles3619-0-425999.7-0.1011431448210000004.5+0.055.642West Coast Eagles
Swans307-1-62883.4-1.20016372514853100007.1-0.056.527Sydney Swans
Dockers328-0-6-2878.7+0.6001530271696321007.4+0.049.554Fremantle Dockers
Tigers266-1-7-15940.7+1.200171419171411862009.3+0.0211.473Richmond Tigers
Bombers266-1-79834.4+2.000016121617161310730009.5+0.038.473Essendon Bombers
Saints2215-1-7-7822.1+12.100047111416161411610010.3+1.197.443St. Kilda Saints
Bulldogs246-0-8-5516.4+1.30002591215171816500010.7+0.0512.446Western Bulldogs
Kangaroos246-0-85815.5-17.00002591215161817610010.8-1.1613.446North Melbourne Kangaroos
Demons225-1-8-678.6+1.0000126912172123910011.4+0.0510.419Melbourne Demons
Crows164-0-10-3070.6+0.0000012481648154113.7-0.1614.338Adelaide Crows
Lions123-0-11-2890.0000000021445271115.3+0.6517.284Brisbane Lions
Suns812-0-11-7510.0+0.000000000426393116.0-0.0516.245Gold Coast Suns
Power82-0-12-4780.0-0.00000001311295716.4-0.5915.231Port Adelaide Power

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/1
Bombers 115 Cats 111
7:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swans-1.0
Dockers-2.7
Tigers-3.3
Bombers+13.7
+1.0
Saints-1.5
-0.2
Bulldogs-1.8
-0.2
Kangaroos-2.6
-0.2
Demons-0.7
-0.2
Kangaroos 70 Saints 79
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swans+0.5
Dockers+0.8
Tigers+1.2
Bombers+2.0
Saints+6.9
+0.8
Bulldogs+0.5
Kangaroos-12.6
-0.8
Demons+0.5
Bulldogs 127 Demons 63
7:40 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swans+0.2
Dockers+1.6
Tigers+0.8
Bombers+0.8
Saints+0.2
Bulldogs+5.1
+0.7
Kangaroos+0.8
Demons-9.6
-0.7
Tigers 81 Blues 184
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues+0.2
+0.2
Swans+0.4
Dockers+1.6
Tigers-7.7
-0.3
Bombers+0.9
Saints+0.7
Bulldogs+1.3
Kangaroos+1.9
Demons+0.7
Crows 57 Swans 50
7:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swans-5.8
-0.5
Dockers+1.1
Tigers+0.7
Bombers+0.8
Saints+0.8
Bulldogs+0.8
Kangaroos+1.0
Demons+0.3
Crows+0.2
+0.6
Dockers 112 Suns 62
1:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swans-0.2
Dockers+5.5
+0.3
Tigers-1.4
-0.1
Bombers-0.6
Saints-0.6
Bulldogs-0.8
Kangaroos-1.2
Demons-0.5
Suns-0.1
Power+0.1
Lions 99 Power 88
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lions+0.4
Power-0.5
Magpies 106 Hawks 65
2:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MagpiesIn
+0.2
Hawks-0.2
Week of 7/8
Bombers vs TigersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tigers23.243.358.1
10.19.18.4
Bombers51.530.217.6
8.79.710.4
Saints21.722.922.4
Magpies vs KangaroosHomeDrawAway
1:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MagpiesIn*In100.0
1.61.71.8
Swans83.7*83.581.7
7.1*7.17.2
Dockers79.278.276.5
7.37.47.4
Tigers41.340.237.9
9.29.39.4
Bombers35.132.431.2
9.59.79.7
Saints22.421.720.3
10.310.410.5
Bulldogs16.615.915.0
10.710.710.8
Kangaroos12.620.230.0
11.010.49.8
Demons8.87.87.3
11.411.511.6
Bulldogs vs BluesHomeDrawAway
4:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blues4.34.03.8
Eagles4.44.54.6
Swans81.7*83.584.0
Dockers77.177.879.4
Tigers37.839.241.8
9.49.49.2
Bombers32.3*34.535.2
9.79.69.5
Saints20.4*22.322.7
10.510.310.3
Bulldogs29.019.411.7
9.810.411.0
Kangaroos14.3*15.315.9
10.910.810.8
Demons7.57.89.0
11.511.511.3
Suns vs SwansHomeDrawAway
7:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swans70.580.387.3
7.87.36.9
Dockers80.379.378.3
7.27.37.4
Tigers43.141.940.0
9.29.29.3
Bombers36.935.333.7
9.49.59.6
Saints24.2*22.221.5
10.310.310.4
Bulldogs18.2*16.415.8
10.6*10.710.7
Kangaroos16.9*15.415.1
10.710.810.8
Demons9.59.08.3
Suns15.615.916.1
Power vs SaintsHomeDrawAway
2:40 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Swans85.184.482.7
7.07.17.1
Dockers80.779.078.0
7.3*7.37.4
Tigers43.241.939.7
9.19.29.3
Bombers36.0*34.633.9
9.49.59.6
Saints10.417.926.6
11.310.610.0
Bulldogs17.816.715.8
10.510.710.7
Kangaroos16.715.715.0
10.710.810.9
Demons9.89.48.1
11.311.311.4
Suns16.116.115.9
Power0.0*OutOut
16.016.216.5
Eagles vs CatsHomeDrawAway
6:40 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cats1.61.51.4
Eagles99.999.899.6
4.14.44.7
Hawks vs LionsHomeDrawAway
2:10 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hawks3.73.94.1
Lions15.415.214.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Paul Harvey for adding this league.