| Week of 6/29 |
| Red Stars 4 Madison 56ers 0 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Stars | +18.3 | | +0.6 | |
| FC Milwaukee | *+0.2 | | | |
| Eclipse Select | -1.7 | | | |
| Kings FC | -1.4 | | | |
| Madison 56ers | -15.7 | | -0.6 | |
| Iowa Rush | *+0.2 | | | |
|
| FC Milwaukee 2 Red Stars 4 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Stars | +16.7 | | +0.6 | |
| FC Milwaukee | -13.2 | | -0.5 | |
| Eclipse Select | -1.8 | | | |
| Kings FC | -1.7 | | | |
| Madison 56ers | +1.1 | | | |
| Iowa Rush | -1.2 | | | |
|
| Eclipse Select 0 Red Stars 3 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Stars | +4.4 | | +0.2 | |
| FC Milwaukee | +5.7 | | | |
| Eclipse Select | -9.9 | | -0.5 | |
| Kings FC | -1.0 | | +0.1 | |
| Madison 56ers | +0.9 | | +0.1 | |
| Iowa Rush | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Red Stars 5 Iowa Rush 0 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Stars | +10.9 | | +0.4 | |
| FC Milwaukee | -2.7 | | -0.1 | |
| Eclipse Select | -2.6 | | | |
| Kings FC | -2.5 | | +0.1 | |
| Madison 56ers | | | +0.2 | |
| Iowa Rush | Out | | -0.5 | |
|
| Madison 56ers 1 Kings FC 3 |
| Fri | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Stars | -1.1 | | | |
| FC Milwaukee | +2.3 | | | |
| Eclipse Select | +0.7 | | | |
| Kings FC | +5.8 | | +0.7 | |
| Madison 56ers | -7.8 | | -0.7 | |
| Iowa Rush | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Eclipse Select 1 Kings FC 1 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Stars | +1.9 | | | |
| FC Milwaukee | +4.2 | | +0.1 | |
| Eclipse Select | -3.2 | | -0.1 | |
| Kings FC | -4.3 | | -0.1 | |
| Madison 56ers | +0.7 | | | |
| Iowa Rush | +0.6 | | +0.1 | |
|
| Week of 7/6 |
| FC Milwaukee 6 Eclipse Select 2 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Stars | In | | | |
| FC Milwaukee | In | | +0.3 | |
| Eclipse Select | Out | | -0.5 | |
| Kings FC | Out | | +0.1 | |
| Madison 56ers | Out | | +0.1 | |
| Iowa Rush | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Madison 56ers 1 Eclipse Select 1 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FC Milwaukee | +4.9 | | | |
| Eclipse Select | -2.8 | | -0.1 | |
| Kings FC | +0.5 | | | |
| Madison 56ers | -2.6 | | -0.1 | |
|
| Eclipse Select 6 Kings FC 0 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Eclipse Select | | | +0.7 | |
| Kings FC | | | -0.7 | |
|
| Red Stars 5 Iowa Rush 0 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Red Stars | | | +0.1 | |
| FC Milwaukee | | | -0.1 | |
| Eclipse Select | | | +0.1 | |
| Kings FC | | | +0.1 | |
| Madison 56ers | | | +0.2 | |
| Iowa Rush | | | -0.5 | |
|
| Week of 7/13 |
| FC Milwaukee 5 Madison 56ers 0 |
| Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kings FC | | | +0.4 | |
| Madison 56ers | | | -0.4 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.