MLS Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs											Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Avg.	Change	RPI

Galaxy	67		19	-	10	-	5	20	In		100																		1.0		1	Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting KC	51		13	-	12	-	9	10	In			100																	2.0		5	Sporting Kansas City
Sounders	63		18	-	9	-	7	19	In				100																3.0		2	Seattle Sounders
Dynamo	49		12	-	13	-	9	4	In					100															4.0	+3.69	8	Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake	53		15	-	8	-	11	8	In						100														5.0		6	Real Salt Lake
Union	48		11	-	15	-	8	8	In							100													6.0	-1.35	3	Philadelphia Union
FC Dallas	52		15	-	7	-	12	3	In								100												7.0		7	FC Dallas
Rapids	49		12	-	13	-	9	3	In									100											8.0		4	Colorado Rapids
Crew	47		13	-	8	-	13	-1	In										100										9.0	-2.02	9	Columbus Crew
Red Bulls	46		10	-	16	-	8	6	In											100									10.0	-0.33	10	New York Red Bulls

Fire	43		9	-	16	-	9	1	Out												100								11.0		11	Chicago Fire
Timbers	42		11	-	9	-	14	-8	Out													100							12.0		14	Portland Timbers
DC United	39		9	-	12	-	13	-3	Out														100						13.0		12	DC United
Earthquakes	38		8	-	14	-	12	-5	Out															100					14.0		13	San Jose Earthquakes
Chivas USA	36		8	-	12	-	14	-2	Out																100				15.0		15	CD Chivas USA
Toronto FC	33		6	-	15	-	13	-23	Out																	100			16.0		16	Toronto FC
New England	28		5	-	13	-	16	-20	Out																		100		17.0		17	New England Revolution
Whitecaps	28		6	-	10	-	18	-20	Out																			100	18.0		18	Vancouver Whitecaps

Week of 10/4
Red Bulls 2 Galaxy 0
7:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC	-0.8		-0.4
Dynamo	-6.8		-0.4
Crew	-3.5		-0.3
Red Bulls	+28.2		+1.9
Fire	-2.1
Timbers	-7.1		-0.2
DC United	-6.4		-0.2
Earthquakes	*Out
Chivas USA	Out

Sounders 0 Union 2
10:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC			-0.5
Union	+3.6		+1.6
Crew			-0.4
Red Bulls			-0.3
Timbers	-1.4

New England 1 Earthquakes 2
7:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes			+0.5
New England			-0.4

Week of 10/12
Timbers 0 Dynamo 2
10:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC	-0.7		-0.3
Dynamo	+25.0		+1.9
Crew	-1.0		-0.5
Red Bulls	+1.9		-0.3
Timbers	-24.3		-0.7

Sporting KC 2 Red Bulls 0
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC	In		+2.3
Dynamo	-0.1
Union			-0.3
Rapids	In
Crew	+3.3
Red Bulls	-16.0		-1.9
Fire	+0.5
Timbers	+5.1
DC United	+4.3

Whitecaps 2 DC United 1
10:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC	+1.3
Dynamo	+3.3
Crew	+2.7		+0.2
Red Bulls	+4.5		+0.2
Timbers	+2.3
DC United	-15.2		-0.9
Whitecaps			+0.3

DC United 1 Fire 2
7:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC	+2.0
Dynamo	In
Rapids	In
Crew	+3.4
Red Bulls	+4.0
Fire	+0.5		+0.9
DC United	-11.0		-0.9

New England 0 Crew 3
7:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC	-1.4		-0.5
Dynamo			-0.7
Crew	In		+2.2
Red Bulls	-1.3		-0.5
Timbers	-2.9
DC United	-2.8
New England			-0.3
Whitecaps			+0.2

Fire 1 FC Dallas 2
8:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dynamo	+1.4
FC Dallas	In		+0.5
Crew	+2.2
Red Bulls	+1.9
Fire	-6.1		-0.6

Rapids 0 Real Salt Lake 0
10:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rapids	+0.5

FC Dallas 2 Whitecaps 0
8:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Real Salt Lake			-0.4
FC Dallas			+0.4
Whitecaps			-0.4

Sounders 2 Earthquakes 1
10:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes			-0.5

Galaxy 1 Chivas USA 0
9:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chivas USA			-0.4

Union 1 Toronto FC 1
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Union			-0.1

Week of 10/19
Red Bulls 1 Union 0
8:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC			+0.4
Union			-1.4
Crew			+0.5
Red Bulls	In		+0.4
Fire	Out
Timbers	Out

DC United 1 Timbers 1
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls	+8.9
Fire	+1.0		+0.2
Timbers	-5.8		+0.0
DC United	Out		-0.2

Dynamo 3 Galaxy 1
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dynamo			+3.7
Union			-1.3
Crew			-2.0
Red Bulls			-0.3

Fire 3 Crew 2
8:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC			+0.7
Dynamo			+0.2
Union			+0.9
Crew			-1.9
Fire			+0.7
Timbers			-0.5

DC United 0 Sporting KC 1
7:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC			+1.3
Dynamo			-0.2
Union			-0.2
Crew			-0.9
Fire			+0.2
Timbers			+0.2
DC United			-0.4

Earthquakes 4 FC Dallas 2
10:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Real Salt Lake			+0.7
FC Dallas			-0.7
Earthquakes			+0.5
Chivas USA			-0.5

Whitecaps 1 Rapids 2
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rapids			+0.3
New England			+0.3
Whitecaps			-0.3

Real Salt Lake 1 Timbers 1
9:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Real Salt Lake			+0.0
FC Dallas			-0.0
Timbers			-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

MLS Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

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