Manchester United Playoff Chances 2011

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 75.3%
9 points   2-3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Otelul Galati 2 Basel 3 -2.8
-0.0
Manchester Unit 2 Benfica 2 -1.6
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Basel vs Manchester Unit-68.5InIn
-1.2+0.1+0.6
Benfica vs Otelul Galati-1.8-1.8+17.9
-0.2+0.2+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester Unit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
121-0-0In83173,914,516
100-1-0In35652,116,624
90-0-16.8%7932,179,346
Total:75.3%4927258,210,486
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/22100.0*Lottery seed
Marseille 0 Olympiacos 1 -0.2
Bayer Leverkuse 2 Chelsea 1 -0.2
Zenit 0 APOEL 0 -0.2
Otelul Galati 2 Basel 3 +0.2
Trabzonspor 1 Internazionale 1 -0.1
Arsenal 2 Borussia Dortmu 1 +0.1
Lyon 0 Ajax 0 -0.1
CSKA 0 Lille 2 -0.1
Bayern München 3 Villarreal 1 +0.1
Milan 2 Barcelona 3 -0.0
Napoli 2 Manchester City 1 +0.0
Week of 12/6100.0*Lottery seed
Olympiacos 3 Arsenal 1 -0.1
Viktoria Plzen 2 Milan 2 -0.1
APOEL 0 Shakhtar Donets 2 -0.1
Genk 1 Bayer Leverkuse 1 -0.1
Porto 0 Zenit 0 -0.1
Borussia Dortmu 2 Marseille 3 +0.0
Chelsea 3 Valencia 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Basel vs Manchester Unit+8.0-0.6-4.1
Benfica vs Otelul Galati+0.6-0.8-1.7
Internazionale vs CSKA+0.3-0.1-0.2
Villarreal vs Napoli-0.2-0.1+0.1
Manchester City vs Bayern München+0.2-0.0-0.0
Ajax vs Real Madrid+0.2-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
121-0-0463717
100-1-0102417408
90-0-102221046408
Total:221836121020100012112