How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lyon 0 Ajax 0 +8.1
+0.1
Real Madrid 6 Dinamo Zagreb 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dinamo Zagreb vs LyonInIn-1.5
Ajax vs Real MadridInIn-1.2

What If

Chances based on how well Ajax finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
9-11In1003,632,141*
80-0-197.3%9734,578,345
Total:98.5%9828,210,486

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/22100.0*Lottery seed
Lyon 0 Ajax 0 +1.3
Bayer Leverkuse 2 Chelsea 1 +0.2
Marseille 0 Olympiacos 1 -0.2
CSKA 0 Lille 2 -0.1
Milan 2 Barcelona 3 -0.1
Shakhtar Donets 0 Porto 2 +0.1
Trabzonspor 1 Internazionale 1 -0.1
Valencia 7 Genk 0 +0.1
Napoli 2 Manchester City 1 +0.1
Otelul Galati 2 Basel 3 +0.1
Real Madrid 6 Dinamo Zagreb 2 +0.0
Arsenal 2 Borussia Dortmu 1 +0.0
Zenit 0 APOEL 0 +0.0
Week of 12/6100.0*Lottery seed
APOEL 0 Shakhtar Donets 2 -0.2
Porto 0 Zenit 0 -0.2
Borussia Dortmu 2 Marseille 3 +0.2
Viktoria Plzen 2 Milan 2 -0.1
Olympiacos 3 Arsenal 1 +0.1
Genk 1 Bayer Leverkuse 1 -0.1
Chelsea 3 Valencia 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ajax vs Real Madrid-4.4-0.8+1.8
Villarreal vs Napoli-0.5-0.1+0.1
Lille vs Trabzonspor+0.0-0.2+0.2
Benfica vs Otelul Galati+0.1-0.0-0.3
Dinamo Zagreb vs Lyon-0.1-0.1+0.1
Manchester City vs Bayern München+0.1-0.0-0.0
Basel vs Manchester Unit-0.0-0.1+0.1
Internazionale vs CSKA-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
111-0-057386
90-1-011649340
80-0-12365901110
Total:107141310203300100