"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPI
Chicago630-0465.7%+3.91110108777666555436.7+0.4117Chicago Wolves
Manchester4120-0362.2+0.01010107777666655547.0-0.019Manchester Monarchs
Springfield4120-0662.2-0.19988777766665547.11Springfield Falcons
Norfolk4120-0362.2+0.210879877766665547.1+0.0221Norfolk Admirals
Bridgeport4120-0462.2+0.210888777666665547.1+0.0218Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Binghamton4120-0362.0+0.29878877766665547.1+0.015Binghamton Senators
Abbotsford4120-0761.8-0.210878877766665547.1-0.0219Abbotsford Heat
Texas4120-0261.7-0.29988777766665547.1-0.021Texas Stars
Milwaukee2210-0157.6-0.28887777776666657.5-0.0421Milwaukee Admirals
Syracuse3110-1057.4+0.07768877777666657.6+0.0124Syracuse Crunch
Hamilton2210-0157.4-0.38877777777666657.6-0.0321Hamilton Bulldogs
Charlotte3110-1157.0-0.18778777776666657.6-0.017Charlotte Checkers
Lake Erie421-0456.6-0.27768777777666657.7-0.028Lake Erie Monsters
Adirondack2111-0-152.6-0.36667777777777778.1-0.029Adirondack Phantoms
St. John's2111-0-152.6-0.26776677777777768.1-0.014St. John's IceCaps
Oklahoma City2111-0052.2-0.46676777777777778.1-0.033Oklahoma City Barons
San Antonio2111-0052.2-0.16676777777777778.1-0.0215San Antonio Rampage
Toronto2111-0-252.1-0.46667777777777778.1-0.0315Toronto Marlies
Albany0201-0-148.3-0.05566667777778888.59Albany Devils
W-B/Scranton0201-0-148.3+0.25556777777777888.6+0.026Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Portland0201-0-348.3+0.15675666777778888.5+0.0126Portland Pirates
Hershey0201-0-148.2-0.15556777777778888.628Hershey Bears
Worcester1101-1-347.7+0.05675666777778888.6-0.0128Worcester Sharks
Grand Rapids1101-1-247.4-0.15566666777778898.6-0.0228Grand Rapids Griffins
Rockford1101-1-347.4-0.45566667777778888.6-0.059Rockford IceHogs
Rochester212-0-346.6-0.24556667777888888.7-0.0214Rochester Americans
Connecticut0102-0-343.0-0.144556666778889109.120Connecticut Whale
Providence0102-0-442.8-0.345655666778889109.1-0.039Providence Bruins
Houston0102-0-342.6+0.044556667777889109.126Houston Aeros
Peoria102-1-841.7-1.044555666778899119.2-0.1125Peoria Rivermen

Stats are updated approximately once daily, usually around 9AM Eastern.
Let me know if things are wrong: matt dot grande at gmail dot com.

Last Updated: October 18, 2012 - 10:44:11

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Chicago 2 Peoria 1 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago+3.4
+0.4
Bridgeport*+0.1
Milwaukee*-0.0
Syracuse*-0.0
Lake Erie*+0.0
Rockford*-0.0
Peoria*-0.9
*-0.1
Friday
St. John's vs AdirondackIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester7.07.1*7.1*7.0*7.17.0
Bridgeport62.6*61.960.9*61.9*61.9*62.1
7.0*7.1*7.2*7.17.17.1
Adirondack47.4*51.5*51.756.756.856.9
8.68.2*8.27.77.77.7
St. John's56.956.557.3*51.7*51.947.2
7.67.77.68.2*8.18.6
Worcester8.68.6*8.6*8.6*8.68.5
Providence9.1*9.1*9.1*9.1*9.09.0
Portland vs WorcesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Syracuse*57.5*56.6*57.056.2*56.957.9
Portland52.652.452.6*47.9*47.443.0
8.08.18.1*8.5*8.69.0
Worcester42.4*47.0*46.951.851.752.2
9.1*8.6*8.78.28.28.1
Hamilton vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hamilton61.961.660.556.3*56.852.1
7.17.27.27.7*7.78.1
Toronto46.850.8*51.156.555.556.6
8.78.38.37.77.87.7
Springfield vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Springfield66.466.066.5*61.9*62.057.0
6.66.66.6*7.1*7.17.6
Norfolk7.1*7.2*7.17.1*7.17.1
Bridgeport7.17.2*7.1*7.1*7.17.0
Syracuse7.6*7.77.67.77.77.6
Lake Erie*7.7*7.6*7.87.67.7*7.7
W-B/Scranton42.9*47.6*47.652.552.152.8
9.18.68.68.18.28.1
Hershey8.5*8.58.68.6*8.68.6
Connecticut9.19.1*9.2*9.1*9.19.1
Rochester vs Grand RapidsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Abbotsford7.1*7.2*7.2*7.1*7.27.1
Milwaukee7.5*7.5*7.6*7.6*7.67.5
Charlotte*7.67.7*7.6*7.77.6*7.6
Lake Erie7.7*7.77.8*7.77.77.7
Toronto8.18.28.2*8.2*8.28.1
Grand Rapids42.1*46.7*46.651.151.351.8
9.2*8.7*8.78.38.28.2
Rochester51.151.050.644.9*45.941.2
8.38.38.3*8.9*8.89.2
Peoria9.2*9.3*9.29.2*9.29.2
Oklahoma City vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City56.556.456.550.851.047.0
7.77.77.78.28.28.7
San Antonio46.8*51.951.156.656.756.5
8.7*8.28.27.77.77.7
Norfolk vs ConnecticutHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norfolk66.566.266.5*61.7*61.856.8
6.76.76.77.2*7.17.7
Binghamton7.2*7.1*7.2*7.27.27.1
Syracuse7.6*7.7*7.6*7.67.67.6
Adirondack8.1*8.1*8.18.2*8.28.1
Hershey8.6*8.68.6*8.6*8.68.5
Connecticut37.8*42.341.947.147.447.3
9.6*9.1*9.28.68.78.6
Binghamton vs HersheyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norfolk7.1*7.2*7.1*7.2*7.17.1
Bridgeport*7.17.1*7.1*7.27.0*7.1
Binghamton66.266.466.060.7*61.257.1
6.76.76.77.3*7.27.7
Hershey42.6*48.0*48.152.651.952.5
9.18.6*8.68.18.28.1
Peoria vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockford42.1*47.2*47.150.951.151.6
9.28.7*8.78.28.28.2
Peoria46.246.145.3*41.140.336.5
8.78.78.89.3*9.39.7
Albany vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Springfield7.1*7.0*7.1*7.1*7.17.0
Norfolk7.1*7.1*7.1*7.17.27.1
Bridgeport7.1*7.27.1*7.1*7.17.1
Binghamton7.1*7.2*7.1*7.1*7.27.1
Syracuse52.456.356.261.161.661.7
8.1*7.77.77.27.27.2
Albany52.651.952.4*48.4*47.343.0
8.18.18.1*8.5*8.69.1
Hershey8.5*8.6*8.68.78.68.6
Houston vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Texas56.760.7*61.565.565.765.8
7.67.2*7.26.76.76.7
Charlotte7.6*7.6*7.7*7.67.77.6
Oklahoma City8.1*8.18.2*8.2*8.2*8.1
Houston47.046.246.741.3*42.537.3
8.78.88.79.3*9.29.7
Milwaukee vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago6.76.86.7*6.7*6.76.6
Texas7.1*7.1*7.1*7.2*7.27.1
Milwaukee61.761.860.756.5*56.752.6
7.17.17.2*7.6*7.68.1
Charlotte51.8*56.5*56.160.861.261.3
8.27.7*7.77.27.27.2
San Antonio8.1*8.2*8.2*8.2*8.28.1
W-B/Scranton*8.5*8.58.5*8.68.6*8.6
Grand Rapids8.6*8.6*8.6*8.7*8.68.6
Rockford8.6*8.7*8.7*8.6*8.78.6
Peoria9.2*9.3*9.29.2*9.29.2
Abbotsford vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago60.8*65.3*65.369.669.169.7
7.26.76.76.26.36.2
Abbotsford66.066.165.5*60.8*61.156.7
6.76.76.7*7.2*7.27.7
Milwaukee7.5*7.6*7.57.6*7.67.6
Hamilton7.6*7.6*7.6*7.6*7.77.6
Lake Erie7.7*7.77.8*7.7*7.77.7
Toronto8.28.2*8.2*8.2*8.28.1
Rockford8.6*8.6*8.78.68.78.6
Peoria9.29.2*9.2*9.29.39.2
Manchester vs ProvidenceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester66.265.566.1*61.7*61.357.4
6.66.66.6*7.1*7.17.5
Providence37.7*41.8*42.246.447.047.1
9.69.29.28.78.78.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Matt Grande for adding this league.