| Week of 12/15 |
| Philadelphia 45 NY Jets 19 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +4.3 | | +0.0 | |
|
| St. Louis 13 Cincinnati 20 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +1.8 | | +0.2 | |
|
| Indianapolis 27 Tennessee 13 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +1.1 | | +0.3 | |
|
| San Diego 34 Baltimore 14 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | -0.1 | | -1.2 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | +0.6 | |
| Cincinnati | -0.7 | | -0.2 | |
|
| Oakland 27 Detroit 28 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +0.6 | | +0.1 | |
|
| Chicago 14 Seattle 38 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +0.2 | | | |
|
| Denver 23 New England 41 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | -0.1 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | -0.0 | |
| Cincinnati | +0.1 | | | |
|
| Buffalo 23 Miami 30 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | *-0.1 | | | |
| Cleveland | | | -0.2 | |
|
| Arizona 20 Cleveland 17 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cleveland | | | -0.2 | |
|
| San Francisco 20 Pittsburgh 3 |
| Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | +0.5 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | -0.7 | |
|
| Houston 13 Carolina 28 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | +0.1 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | +0.2 | |
|
| Atlanta 41 Jacksonville 14 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cleveland | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Week of 12/22 |
| NY Jets 14 NY Giants 29 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +20.5 | | +0.3 | |
|
| Cincinnati 23 Arizona 16 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +5.5 | | +0.4 | |
|
| Detroit 38 San Diego 10 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +2.7 | | +0.1 | |
|
| Kansas City 13 Oakland 16 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | -1.6 | | -0.1 | |
|
| Buffalo 40 Denver 14 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +0.5 | | | |
| Cleveland | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Baltimore 20 Cleveland 14 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | +0.2 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | -0.2 | |
| Cleveland | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Indianapolis 19 Houston 16 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | +0.2 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | +0.3 | |
|
| New England 27 Miami 24 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | -0.1 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | -0.1 | |
| Cleveland | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Pittsburgh 27 St. Louis 0 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | -0.1 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Tennessee 23 Jacksonville 17 |
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | | | -0.0 | |
| Cleveland | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Week of 1/1 |
| Cincinnati 16 Baltimore 24 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | +1.1 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | -1.1 | |
| Cincinnati | -24.0 | | -0.3 | |
|
| Miami 19 NY Jets 17 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +15.3 | | +0.3 | |
| Cleveland | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Denver 3 Kansas City 7 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +11.3 | | +0.2 | |
|
| Oakland 26 San Diego 38 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | +11.3 | | +0.2 | |
|
| Cleveland 9 Pittsburgh 13 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | -0.2 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | +0.2 | |
| Cleveland | | | -0.2 | |
|
| Houston 22 Tennessee 23 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cincinnati | | | -0.3 | |
|
| Jacksonville 19 Indianapolis 13 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cleveland | | | -0.2 | |
|
| New England 49 Buffalo 21 |
| Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Baltimore | | | -0.1 | |
| Pittsburgh | | | -0.1 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.